Fatal-Raise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$423

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,339

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-18 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% +$423

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	7	$713	492	492	+0	open	—	05-14 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$569	392	392	+0	open	—	05-14 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$536	317	317	+0	open	—	05-14 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	8	$525	340	340	+0	open	—	05-14 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$522	300	300	+0	open	—	05-14 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$507	323	323	+0	Up	+$7	05-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$506	287	287	+0	Down	+$56	05-08 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	5	$481	281	281	+0	Up	+$31	05-08 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$445	474	305	+169	Down	$-86	05-08 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$431	494	380	+114	open	—	05-14 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$418	320	320	+0	open	—	05-14 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$403	288	288	+0	Down	+$103	05-08 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$395	269	269	+0	open	—	05-14 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$380	232	232	+0	open	—	05-14 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$376	424	178	+247	open	—	05-14 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$374	226	226	+0	open	—	05-14 06:44
btc updown 5m 1774670400	2	$366	194	193	+0	open	—	03-28 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$356	208	208	+0	Up	+$56	05-08 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$353	242	242	+0	open	—	05-14 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$333	205	205	+0	open	—	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$324	193	193	+0	open	—	05-14 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$321	202	202	+0	Up	+$21	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$317	194	194	+0	open	—	05-14 07:33
btc updown 5m 1774670100	3	$317	177	176	+1	open	—	03-28 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$316	199	199	+0	open	—	05-14 07:27
btc updown 5m 1776641100	5	$308	201	196	+5	open	—	04-19 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$293	215	215	+0	open	—	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$288	191	191	+0	open	—	05-16 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$281	158	158	+0	Down	+$31	05-08 14:24
btc updown 5m 1775270700	5	$275	216	208	+9	open	—	04-04 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:16:46	btc updown 5m 1781759700	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xd71d86…
06-18 05:16:19	btc updown 5m 1781759700	Up	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x098b60…
06-18 05:15:19	btc updown 5m 1781759700	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xb755a0…
06-18 05:10:43	btc updown 5m 1781759100	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xec3fcf…
06-18 05:05:34	btc updown 5m 1781759100	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xac10f3…
06-18 05:04:14	btc updown 5m 1781758800	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x29dbcd…
06-18 05:01:08	btc updown 5m 1781758800	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0xfd4830…
06-18 04:57:17	btc updown 5m 1781758500	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x299da5…
06-18 04:56:58	btc updown 5m 1781758500	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x020396…
06-18 04:54:35	btc updown 5m 1781758200	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x486ec0…
06-18 04:52:50	btc updown 5m 1781758200	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5286b6…
06-18 04:04:34	btc updown 5m 1781755200	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xeadd0b…
06-18 04:03:38	btc updown 5m 1781755200	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x883d98…
06-18 03:50:22	btc updown 5m 1781754300	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x991901…
06-18 03:45:44	btc updown 5m 1781754300	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xda58a6…
06-18 03:45:19	btc updown 5m 1781754300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1a2a8e…
06-18 03:38:22	btc updown 5m 1781753700	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9ce8c6…
06-18 03:36:04	btc updown 5m 1781753700	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1b8252…
06-18 03:35:02	btc updown 5m 1781753400	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x4722c1…
06-18 03:33:22	btc updown 5m 1781753400	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xea3d72…
06-18 03:29:25	btc updown 5m 1781753100	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc63dd2…
06-18 03:27:49	btc updown 5m 1781753100	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x242d0c…
06-18 03:27:38	btc updown 5m 1781753100	Up	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x06d6d7…
06-18 03:26:49	btc updown 5m 1781753100	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8950e8…
06-18 03:24:07	btc updown 5m 1781752800	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb4a5b5…
06-18 03:22:44	btc updown 5m 1781752800	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x702e09…
06-18 03:17:37	btc updown 5m 1781752500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7f1dd2…
06-18 03:17:17	btc updown 5m 1781752500	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2132fc…
06-18 03:12:37	btc updown 5m 1781752200	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x262849…
06-18 03:12:22	btc updown 5m 1781752200	Up	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xb510d7…
06-18 03:11:46	btc updown 5m 1781752200	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe9a443…
06-18 03:09:01	btc updown 5m 1781751900	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0f4ea6…
06-03 01:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x06114c…
06-03 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xe89b02…
06-03 01:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x727891…
06-03 01:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x9406b0…
06-03 01:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x6caa1e…
06-03 01:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x50888a…
06-02 06:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x75264a…
06-02 06:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfcd139…
06-02 06:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x461ede…
06-02 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc0eac6…
06-02 06:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe5bd07…
06-02 06:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd66fc6…
06-02 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x11a28e…
06-02 06:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd8189a…
06-02 06:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf9750f…
06-02 05:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8ad4f1…
06-02 05:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc25d4e…
06-02 05:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0b9ee0…
06-02 05:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7a6d5b…
06-02 05:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2973e7…
06-02 05:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1f5ba7…
06-02 05:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x08ec8d…
06-02 05:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x7e7aa0…
05-22 02:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc3ad4d…
05-22 02:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4aae5b…
05-22 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xd2a873…
05-22 02:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x96e36f…
05-22 02:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xb5395f…
05-22 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3e3918…
05-22 02:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	44	25¢	$11	0x469488…
05-22 02:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xb97bac…
05-22 02:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x354460…
05-22 02:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x5bce8c…
05-22 02:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x68b5af…
05-22 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	34¢	$14	0x7ea84a…
05-22 02:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x068030…
05-22 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x38af82…
05-16 16:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x2e11eb…
05-16 16:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x99c71b…
05-16 16:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	83	40¢	$33	0x921d87…
05-16 16:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1f4e30…
05-16 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6b8c2a…
05-16 16:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	66	99¢	$66	0x3f05be…
05-16 16:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xa38952…
05-16 16:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xb223d8…
05-16 15:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x7fd1b0…
05-16 15:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x4a9335…
05-16 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x8c90bc…
05-16 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0xb38804…
05-16 15:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x94b827…
05-16 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x3a4709…
05-16 15:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xaa5230…
05-16 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc31ebc…
05-16 14:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0x5c615c…
05-16 14:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0xe232db…
05-16 14:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xa0ab4d…
05-16 14:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0xfd4b02…
05-16 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xe9a0c1…
05-16 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	55	29¢	$16	0xc1bd38…
05-16 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x78b092…
05-16 14:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	163	99¢	$161	0x7bf9d9…
05-16 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	81¢	$28	0x68e305…
05-16 14:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x53f60a…
05-16 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0x0f3b4f…
05-16 14:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0xb2f46e…
05-16 14:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	81	88¢	$72	0xe4ae56…
05-16 14:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x69d21d…
05-16 14:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfcfc66…