Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

919

Trades

3,822

lifetime

Volume

$9.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$136

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-27 08:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

84% 33% -$1,593

Crypto

10% 10% -$342

Sports

3% 33% -$115

Politics

3% 33% -$17

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+55	$25	48¢	$27	+$1	10-24 01:09
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+53	$19	42¢	$22	+$4	10-27 08:54
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+56	$22	38¢	$21	-$1	10-19 12:20
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+56	$14	30¢	$17	+$3	10-19 12:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+29	$15	58¢	$17	+$2	10-24 20:43
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	+53	$8	18¢	$9	+$1	10-27 08:54
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+56	$6	14¢	$8	+$2	10-19 12:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+29	$6	21¢	$6	$0	10-24 20:43
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+56	$3	9¢	$5	+$2	10-19 12:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	+29	$3	8¢	$2	$0	10-24 20:43
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+56	$2	3¢	$2	+$0	10-19 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 4 2026	25	$429	750	0	+750	Up	-$39	04-04 15:01
will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	15	$181	319	150	+169	Yes	-$101	07-09 18:23
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	14	$140	175	175	+0	open	—	08-21 15:25
bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	9	$139	270	0	+270	Down	-$19	04-04 19:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 19:30 UTC	28	$100	221	0	+221	Down	+$10	04-04 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	27	$80	381	15	+366	Yes	-$50	08-17 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 22?	38	$77	2,590	0	+2,590	No	-$77	05-21 10:21
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?	8	$67	272	272	+0	Yes	-$10	08-24 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	12	$64	188	0	+188	No	+$18	08-31 22:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 21c	3	$60	66	0	+66	No	+$6	04-19 00:03
will the announcers say golden goal during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901504	7	$51	178	148	+30	No	-$33	07-10 01:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?	74	$50	1,660	0	+1,660	No	-$50	05-21 07:59
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	6	$49	68	68	+0	open	—	09-17 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?	59	$48	1,862	0	+1,862	No	-$48	05-21 07:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	2	$46	67	0	+67	open	—	10-25 15:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	6	$44	66	32	+34	Yes	+$4	09-24 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?	37	$43	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$43	05-21 06:46
highest temperature in nyc on april 7 2026 50 51f	8	$42	59	0	+59	No	+$16	04-05 21:51
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 34c	2	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	04-16 20:12
highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 14c	5	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	04-13 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 29?	3	$39	29	15	+14	No	+$3	04-28 09:13
highest temperature in tokyo on april 12 2026 23corhigher	20	$37	89	101	-12	No	-$17	04-09 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 29?	4	$37	35	26	+9	Yes	-$13	04-28 10:45
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	2	$37	47	47	+0	open	—	09-21 14:00
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	4	$36	38	38	+0	No	+$2	09-17 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 22?	92	$35	1,666	0	+1,666	No	-$35	05-21 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 27?	5	$34	23	15	+8	No	+$3	04-27 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 22?	52	$33	3,300	0	+3,300	No	-$33	05-21 05:47
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	2	$33	47	47	+0	open	—	09-21 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 22?	29	$33	3,300	0	+3,300	No	-$33	05-21 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:54:42	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0x92527a…
10-27 08:54:41	Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0xac49da…
10-27 08:54:41	Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x65fc71…
10-27 08:54:39	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x6f4174…
10-27 08:54:39	Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x5c17a3…
10-27 08:54:38	Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0x078d11…
10-25 15:13:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xb656a5…
10-25 15:12:30	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x8f2f0e…
10-25 15:12:29	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x5e5a52…
10-24 20:43:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0xd1352c…
10-24 20:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x426246…
10-24 20:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x1ff4fa…
10-24 20:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xc9b0f5…
10-24 20:43:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4b42aa…
10-24 01:09:05	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x8e2db6…
10-24 01:09:03	Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x8e65cc…
10-24 01:09:03	Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x118772…
10-24 01:09:02	Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0x452523…
10-24 01:09:02	Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x063fc0…
10-21 13:50:41	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xf4fd29…
10-21 13:50:39	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x1344fd…
10-21 13:50:38	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$6	0xc3937b…
10-21 13:50:38	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	Yes	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x3b5b79…
10-20 18:15:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x6b7ffb…
10-20 18:15:26	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	BUY	53	14¢	$7	0xe6028f…
10-20 18:15:26	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	53	71¢	$38	0xc18e19…
10-19 12:20:36	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x7f6fe7…
10-19 12:20:35	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x750d3b…
10-19 12:20:35	Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	40¢	$22	0x6d2641…
10-19 12:20:33	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0xee0dba…
10-19 12:20:33	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x0ae0cb…
10-19 12:20:32	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xd7d8e9…
10-19 12:20:30	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x041089…
10-09 17:06:27	Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0x44aa4b…
10-09 00:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x34e179…
10-09 00:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3fcbb5…
10-09 00:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x450e0a…
10-09 00:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc39c45…
10-09 00:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xea2df9…
10-09 00:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4c10d4…
10-08 22:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3087ce…
10-08 22:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x044688…
10-08 22:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5ce93b…
10-08 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xeb63e9…
10-08 22:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xda2196…
10-08 22:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda8c96…
10-08 21:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x506b51…
10-08 21:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2bbb3b…
10-08 21:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf394c6…
10-08 21:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9cfc31…
10-08 21:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x210210…
10-05 14:00:20	Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0ff062…
09-30 02:42:30	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x961d31…
09-30 01:44:41	Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0xa78d10…
09-30 01:44:41	Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x46faae…
09-28 14:00:26	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x3b2dc4…
09-28 14:00:17	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	10¢	$5	0x802d68…
09-28 08:45:54	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xf58170…
09-25 19:58:36	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8debf8…
09-24 10:02:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xebf351…
09-23 14:23:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6939a4…
09-23 03:34:04	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x2c2742…
09-23 01:29:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xf5f7c0…
09-21 14:00:39	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xddade0…
09-21 14:00:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	13	71¢	$10	0xd93aaa…
09-21 14:00:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x7fced6…
09-21 14:00:24	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	38¢	$18	0x82c9a4…
09-21 14:00:21	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	30¢	$14	0x67c6fd…
09-20 02:59:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xcdbb99…
09-20 02:21:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x6ca974…
09-20 02:21:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x6a0d6d…
09-20 02:13:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xeea4fb…
09-20 02:13:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x7a91b0…
09-20 01:11:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0x801584…
09-17 20:38:43	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x8355f8…
09-17 14:24:31	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0xf52bb8…
09-17 14:24:31	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x4d4167…
09-17 14:24:30	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x5a3400…
09-17 13:45:46	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0x41960d…
09-17 13:36:54	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x9f35c4…
09-17 13:35:39	will the announcers say wild during the lions vs bills game 20260918	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf84f0d…
09-17 13:35:36	Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x810419…
09-17 13:35:33	Will the Labour Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x4479a9…
09-17 13:35:30	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	No	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0x669135…
09-17 13:35:25	Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xf67f69…
09-17 13:35:21	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x2e4042…
09-17 13:35:12	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	52	21¢	$11	0x655dd0…
09-16 23:23:16	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcab50a…
09-16 18:46:48	will the announcers say wild during the lions vs bills game 20260918	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xaf4de3…
09-16 01:16:43	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x291549…
09-16 01:16:15	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xedb479…
09-16 00:08:13	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x2eb8ff…
09-15 23:31:40	israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$7	0x928969…
09-15 15:30:28	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x9007f3…
09-15 15:25:33	Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$8	0x1f573a…
09-15 13:54:37	Will Dylan Frazier reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x5b0bd0…
09-15 13:39:43	Will Mohaned Alhouni advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe6739d…
09-15 13:11:37	Will Mary Brascia / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0x97c852…
09-15 13:00:10	Will Mary Brascia / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x3add73…
09-15 12:03:43	Will Dylan Frazier reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x60e125…