Unfit-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

214

Trades

540

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-23 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1784832900	4	$28	25	25	+0	open	—	07-23 18:55
btc updown 5m 1781005800	13	$25	76	70	+6	open	—	06-09 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$16	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$16	33	20	+13	open	—	05-16 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	7	$15	13	10	+4	Up	$-1	05-07 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$13	36	34	+2	Up	$-3	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$12	15	4	+11	Down	$-1	05-07 07:39
btc updown 5m 1784840100	5	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	07-23 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$11	14	0	+14	Up	$-1	05-07 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$11	12	7	+5	Up	$-3	05-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	8	$10	12	8	+3	Up	+$2	05-09 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$9	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	7	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$9	104	15	+89	Up	$-4	05-06 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 21:00
btc updown 5m 1784832000	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	07-23 18:41
btc updown 5m 1784832300	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	07-23 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$8	6	5	+1	open	—	05-16 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	6	$8	15	8	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$8	8	4	+4	Down	$-0	05-06 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 17:14
btc updown 5m 1784830500	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	07-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$8	17	7	+10	open	—	05-16 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 20:57:45	btc updown 5m 1784840100	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x49f060…
07-23 20:57:36	btc updown 5m 1784840100	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x83dd96…
07-23 20:57:04	btc updown 5m 1784840100	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x1e2eb8…
07-23 20:55:45	btc updown 5m 1784840100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x665c25…
07-23 20:55:03	btc updown 5m 1784840100	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf13d28…
07-23 18:55:45	btc updown 5m 1784832900	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xa20215…
07-23 18:55:09	btc updown 5m 1784832900	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xcdc952…
07-23 18:54:52	btc updown 5m 1784832900	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5c3577…
07-23 18:52:04	btc updown 5m 1784832900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7e4098…
07-23 18:45:15	btc updown 5m 1784832300	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x404277…
07-23 18:45:00	btc updown 5m 1784832300	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x78c0c2…
07-23 18:41:04	btc updown 5m 1784832000	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x869b2e…
07-23 18:39:57	btc updown 5m 1784832000	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa28c56…
07-23 18:35:15	btc updown 5m 1784831700	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xefc9d2…
07-23 18:34:57	btc updown 5m 1784831700	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdc69f0…
07-23 18:33:28	btc updown 5m 1784831400	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x227a0f…
07-23 18:33:12	btc updown 5m 1784831400	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa2e49d…
07-23 18:19:48	btc updown 5m 1784830500	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xae3c83…
07-23 18:19:36	btc updown 5m 1784830500	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7e62e6…
07-23 18:16:13	btc updown 5m 1784830500	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x776201…
07-23 18:15:42	btc updown 5m 1784830500	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x399a7f…
07-23 18:13:31	btc updown 5m 1784830200	Up	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x5cae79…
07-23 18:11:18	btc updown 5m 1784830200	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x64542d…
07-23 18:10:57	btc updown 5m 1784830200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x33ba16…
07-23 18:10:04	btc updown 5m 1784830200	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14eacb…
06-09 11:54:36	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1e135d…
06-09 11:54:27	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa4c394…
06-09 11:54:25	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7aec…
06-09 11:54:16	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x84dd7a…
06-09 11:53:40	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6a28a0…
06-09 11:53:40	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x67e4f0…
06-09 11:53:39	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6124ff…
06-09 11:52:42	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x61294f…
06-09 11:52:00	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x88bf13…
06-09 11:51:55	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd1b07b…
06-09 11:51:39	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xacd1e9…
06-09 11:51:10	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc10c68…
06-09 11:50:58	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd2a89e…
05-16 21:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xec3bae…
05-16 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa748d7…
05-16 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x61a730…
05-16 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x292b76…
05-16 20:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x90719b…
05-16 20:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xed1ab3…
05-16 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb8622d…
05-16 19:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9ce460…
05-16 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x786d71…
05-16 19:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfbb493…
05-16 19:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x16dc2c…
05-16 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x59ddbf…
05-16 17:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x0b14b0…
05-16 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x188611…
05-16 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa32f52…
05-16 17:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x14796c…
05-16 17:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x6850e5…
05-16 17:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x090cd0…
05-16 17:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x43430b…
05-16 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfb9601…
05-16 17:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x92c2d4…
05-16 17:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x744cf3…
05-16 17:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcd41d9…
05-16 17:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x506be9…
05-16 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x92d581…
05-16 17:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xb15b3c…
05-16 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xd6530e…
05-16 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8ed381…
05-16 17:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdb6650…
05-16 17:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x93eb1d…
05-16 17:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xccb9f8…
05-16 17:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc4eb4b…
05-16 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x32514d…
05-16 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x40b37e…
05-16 16:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfa1628…
05-16 16:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x56fe28…
05-16 15:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x7118c6…
05-16 14:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9fdc7e…
05-16 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x85b802…
05-16 14:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x797d27…
05-16 13:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2a909e…
05-16 13:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcb7a6d…
05-16 13:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe9fa0c…
05-16 12:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x2795cb…
05-16 12:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xa9040e…
05-16 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x66173d…
05-16 12:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe0bdf0…
05-16 12:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xcc83be…
05-16 12:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x99c6eb…
05-16 12:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa99ad1…
05-16 12:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xd2c30b…
05-16 12:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbaa598…
05-16 12:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$5	0x8705ac…
05-16 12:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x2dd147…
05-16 12:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x0c7097…
05-16 11:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x3a5bf9…
05-16 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x317c92…
05-16 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xd51fed…
05-16 11:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x7525fc…
05-16 08:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xba661b…
05-16 08:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x8858b8…
05-16 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4044e3…