Neat-Shortwave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$485

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-25 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 50% $-4

Politics

25% — —

Other

20% 100% +$5

Sports

14% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782406500	2	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	06-25 16:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	04-20 21:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	05-08 20:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 12:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 12:40
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$26	30	0	+30	Thunder	+$4	05-05 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$25	31	0	+31	Up	+$6	05-06 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-26 16:01
btc updown 5m 1782409200	1	$25	83	0	+83	open	—	06-25 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 19:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 15:51
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-08 20:04
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-26 16:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	05-05 23:41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	$-10	05-05 23:46
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$10	18	0	+18	Knicks	+$8	05-08 19:57
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	13	0	+13	Thunder	+$3	05-08 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-29 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$10	172	0	+172	open	—	05-29 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-20 18:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-29 18:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	05-29 18:42
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 18:54
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	05-29 18:50
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	06-23 23:28
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 15:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	05-29 18:51
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$1	128	0	+128	open	—	06-23 23:27
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	06-23 23:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 17:43:26	btc updown 5m 1782409200	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xa4d103…
06-25 16:59:01	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x751795…
06-25 16:58:04	btc updown 5m 1782406500	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x7b38b5…
06-23 23:28:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf754e1…
06-23 23:28:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb238e0…
06-23 23:27:56	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xf50508…
06-23 23:27:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdc5126…
06-23 23:23:52	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d8402…
05-29 18:54:47	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x34b593…
05-29 18:53:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x12c266…
05-29 18:53:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa250d4…
05-29 18:51:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x1f688b…
05-29 18:50:35	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x74b4ea…
05-29 18:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x769745…
05-29 18:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc43243…
05-29 18:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x845d5a…
05-29 18:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa5ba35…
05-29 18:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1096ef…
05-29 18:42:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xeeeba6…
05-26 16:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x327c58…
05-26 16:00:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x907051…
05-26 15:59:20	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6becd2…
05-20 18:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x58feba…
05-08 20:09:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf596e8…
05-08 20:04:58	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe0c1d1…
05-08 20:00:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0x7fd046…
05-08 19:58:52	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x608fc1…
05-08 19:57:41	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfff9ab…
05-06 18:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x39a3fb…
05-05 23:47:20	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x5f1df9…
05-05 23:46:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcb6c5d…
05-05 23:41:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x322ddd…
04-30 19:53:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xdb5ef2…
04-30 19:53:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0e5e40…
04-30 19:52:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x168038…
04-30 19:51:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x360502…
04-30 15:51:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xbf10ab…
04-29 12:40:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x6d6248…
04-29 12:40:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa153a8…
04-20 21:08:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	37	86¢	$32	0xe0d1c9…
04-20 21:00:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x3d50d2…
04-20 21:00:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xaae3ec…
04-20 20:59:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xb6c3d0…
03-27 20:40:43	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd9ff1c…