Innocent-Tunic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$196

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-05 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% $-1

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$7	7	6	+1	open	—	04-29 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$4	5	2	+4	open	—	05-03 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+2	open	—	05-01 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$4	5	3	+1	open	—	04-29 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$4	3	3	+1	open	—	05-03 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	05-04 19:04
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-28 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+2	open	—	05-03 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$2	4	2	+2	open	—	04-27 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-01 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-04 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-01 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-03 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+1	open	—	05-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+1	open	—	04-28 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 20:00:58	btc updown 5m 1780689600	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x922658…
06-05 18:36:12	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x375f6f…
06-05 18:33:00	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9684dc…
05-26 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6e1fc6…
05-26 20:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7b7502…
05-25 16:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa595ec…
05-25 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbaec0a…
05-25 10:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x12e78f…
05-24 13:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdac458…
05-24 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x22ac69…
05-08 20:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2088b5…
05-05 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9fe510…
05-05 10:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc13b20…
05-05 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5d8b15…
05-05 10:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x947257…
05-05 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4a92d9…
05-05 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfc61bd…
05-04 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x052697…
05-04 19:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x478c7f…
05-04 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe8fbf0…
05-04 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x832798…
05-04 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x35c8c9…
05-04 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x089521…
05-04 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcde819…
05-04 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeb9340…
05-04 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x44a082…
05-04 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd4a16c…
05-04 18:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3abe94…
05-04 18:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x31081d…
05-04 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xefb294…
05-04 18:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0b8776…
05-04 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x25b99d…
05-04 18:11:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x56ce2c…
05-04 12:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x82e210…
05-04 11:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfe1968…
05-04 08:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd50fe1…
05-04 07:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc1ad91…
05-04 07:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x067e88…
05-03 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x116d15…
05-03 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbb6a53…
05-03 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf0275d…
05-03 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x545e7a…
05-03 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x44f3ff…
05-03 11:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6ea90f…
05-03 11:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6dc636…
05-03 11:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xbc39ee…
05-03 11:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xc28c59…
05-03 11:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x66c442…
05-03 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4abb38…
05-03 11:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb49816…
05-03 09:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa01861…
05-03 09:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x49093d…
05-03 09:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x481d8a…
05-03 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31fc78…
05-03 09:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x997ad2…
05-03 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x14420e…
05-03 09:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0e407a…
05-03 09:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x51596b…
05-03 08:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa2cc95…
05-03 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa0b355…
05-03 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7cc242…
05-02 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xde1d4c…
05-02 12:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ae278…
05-02 12:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xec19cc…
05-02 11:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe153c2…
05-02 11:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa405fc…
05-02 11:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa70b4d…
05-02 08:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9df01c…
05-02 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5b5ea1…
05-02 07:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7984d2…
05-01 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9624ba…
05-01 21:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaed523…
05-01 19:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x15f303…
05-01 18:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ae3b7…
05-01 17:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4e213d…
05-01 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b55c1…
05-01 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc77e4a…
05-01 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf53d60…
05-01 16:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5fb1ee…
05-01 16:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x8944ae…
05-01 16:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc2a8a8…
05-01 16:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x50b0dc…
05-01 16:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x50aba4…
05-01 15:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf0cfd9…
05-01 15:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34e860…
05-01 14:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6006d7…
05-01 13:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x42ff37…
05-01 13:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x284e8f…
05-01 13:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9a4dac…
05-01 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9cdb43…
05-01 12:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf0c4d7…
05-01 12:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0dfc4f…
05-01 12:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9652a4…
05-01 12:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb323a5…
05-01 12:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa6a844…
05-01 12:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa36b93…
05-01 12:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc8d682…
04-30 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f3281…
04-30 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa8f222…
04-30 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2b5a83…