Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$8.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-27 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

50% 18% -$379

Politics

50% 50% -$1,203

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.2K	2,937	0	+2,937	No	-$1,218	10-25 23:10
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	4	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-27 18:06
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	13	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-22 17:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	9	$926	600	600	+0	open	—	10-23 20:56
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	7	$740	500	500	+0	open	—	10-08 02:16
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	7	$710	400	400	+0	open	—	10-23 20:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	5	$424	350	350	+0	open	—	10-09 01:14
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	4	$420	529	29	+500	open	—	10-27 17:59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	5	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	10-10 17:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$275	900	0	+900	No	-$275	09-14 14:23
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	3	$271	200	200	+0	open	—	10-01 10:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	9	$240	187	187	+0	open	—	10-07 13:28
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	2	$222	189	189	+0	open	—	10-27 10:39
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	2	$165	100	100	+0	No	+$15	09-17 11:31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	4	$80	100	100	+0	open	—	10-08 22:01
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	6	$77	300	300	+0	open	—	09-17 11:45
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	2	$69	72	72	+0	open	—	10-26 21:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$56	150	0	+150	No	-$56	09-30 16:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	4	$42	37	37	+0	Yes	+$22	07-07 17:36
pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	7	$38	24	24	+0	No	+$6	09-29 16:51
pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 15 2026 20260925	2	$36	120	0	+120	Yes	-$36	09-26 23:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	3	$24	150	150	+0	open	—	10-08 01:40
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	-$10	10-01 03:02
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	07-10 17:23
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	07-10 17:21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	07-13 14:18
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	07-08 16:37
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 12pt5	1	$5	22	0	+22	Under	-$5	07-09 19:16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	07-10 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:06:30	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0xe5e9d1…
10-27 17:59:32	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x0217b4…
10-27 10:39:54	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	189	59¢	$111	0x6944d8…
10-27 02:55:14	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xae096b…
10-26 21:22:32	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	SELL	72	53¢	$38	0xd4bf29…
10-26 19:12:56	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x459d1e…
10-26 16:13:33	Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	189	59¢	$111	0x6be009…
10-26 16:09:30	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0xffbb9b…
10-26 00:54:14	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	BUY	29	75¢	$22	0x4c6242…
10-25 23:10:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x00e39a…
10-25 22:51:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	33¢	$198	0x7f3eb6…
10-25 22:43:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,502	33¢	$500	0x5f4b39…
10-25 22:16:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xe6e8b9…
10-24 18:28:03	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x803027…
10-23 20:57:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$386	0x7b431c…
10-23 20:56:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	82¢	$492	0xb40666…
10-23 18:15:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0xf86516…
10-23 04:13:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0xedd36d…
10-23 03:37:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb72869…
10-23 03:30:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe6050b…
10-23 03:13:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9a24f5…
10-23 01:51:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	76¢	$458	0xf5787e…
10-23 01:19:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x41a6d9…
10-22 21:04:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x12e2c7…
10-22 17:47:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x2f2ff9…
10-22 17:43:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x1b48a3…
10-22 17:38:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0x2362f6…
10-22 17:36:03	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x882113…
10-22 13:59:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x275aaa…
10-21 13:36:45	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	148	80¢	$118	0xe736ab…
10-21 13:35:35	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$16	0xd5ce86…
10-21 13:35:35	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0x81288f…
10-20 13:07:33	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa7df21…
10-20 12:20:30	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x186140…
10-20 05:50:20	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x2d8c84…
10-18 14:19:56	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x91c3b3…
10-12 16:02:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x6565f4…
10-10 17:04:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	199	72¢	$143	0xb1ace6…
10-10 10:45:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x07af98…
10-10 02:30:08	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x0002d2…
10-09 11:37:16	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x1496e8…
10-09 11:03:48	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x86d12d…
10-09 01:14:42	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	350	62¢	$218	0xb44da0…
10-08 22:01:14	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x9e35ca…
10-08 16:48:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xa93dcc…
10-08 13:40:48	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x6765c4…
10-08 13:01:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xb61e55…
10-08 12:31:18	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x39790e…
10-08 11:25:02	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x54da15…
10-08 11:24:15	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	117	68¢	$79	0x0025a6…
10-08 10:33:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0x252836…
10-08 10:32:41	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x0135f4…
10-08 02:16:29	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	500	74¢	$370	0x4bea53…
10-08 01:56:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x0e61ea…
10-08 01:44:04	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x77384b…
10-08 01:40:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x961b4d…
10-08 01:09:32	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x2883e5…
10-08 01:09:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x33bf3a…
10-08 00:10:59	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0d8d34…
10-07 21:14:34	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x087b3d…
10-07 13:28:46	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	77¢	$22	0xecaf92…
10-07 13:28:40	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	77¢	$45	0xd4f79c…
10-06 05:13:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xd09abc…
10-06 02:54:36	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xce82af…
10-06 01:54:05	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x31348a…
10-05 19:03:46	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0x91fd26…
10-05 18:48:34	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	75¢	$52	0x053428…
10-04 14:06:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x860b2f…
10-01 10:17:06	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xef36f1…
10-01 03:02:17	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x575545…
10-01 02:18:32	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x6d2fa3…
09-30 16:38:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xce2f04…
09-29 16:51:17	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	SELL	22	90¢	$19	0x8976f0…
09-29 16:51:15	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa9416b…
09-29 06:25:17	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x193b6b…
09-29 06:14:18	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc45d35…
09-26 23:56:02	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 15 2026 20260925	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x211a23…
09-26 23:05:12	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe8e883…
09-26 19:43:51	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5fbe0a…
09-26 19:43:48	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3dcb9c…
09-26 19:42:33	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x47954f…
09-26 19:41:33	pakistan military action against afghanistan by october 15 2026 20260925	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xead6d7…
09-26 18:25:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x14987e…
09-26 17:57:09	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2c2eec…
09-26 14:15:11	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe64442…
09-26 13:47:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x7dbb1a…
09-23 12:19:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xbc710d…
09-22 19:03:04	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0x5d7335…
09-22 12:35:13	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x65a31a…
09-17 11:45:36	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$32	0xf6f82b…
09-17 11:31:25	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x16acaa…
09-17 01:31:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x2a464f…
09-17 01:18:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0x8faaca…
09-14 14:23:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x26ddcc…
09-11 19:20:58	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x6fb705…
09-11 19:20:22	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb09489…
09-11 19:20:19	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x15121f…
09-11 19:20:18	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x70110d…
09-11 19:20:16	Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0xd0d841…
09-10 18:28:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xbc9019…