Ragged-Gaiters — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved

895

Trades

1,947

lifetime

Volume

$7.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$166

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-09 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

61% 0% -$2,921

Crypto

35% 42% -$233

Other

4% 7% -$255

Sports

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+3,500	$210	5¢	$166	-$44	09-05 18:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	155	$2.6K	158,524	158,524	+0	No	-$1,485	04-30 20:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	82	$547	49,885	1,507	+48,378	No	-$504	06-22 18:54
Trump out as President by May 31?	88	$398	43,974	43,974	+0	No	-$310	05-29 18:39
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	11	$284	30,796	0	+30,796	No	-$284	07-13 20:01
Trump out as President before 2027?	5	$210	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	09-05 18:58
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	3	$193	23,343	0	+23,343	No	-$193	08-10 06:33
Trump out as President by September 30?	4	$164	10,855	0	+10,855	No	-$164	09-09 19:39
trump out as president by march 31	9	$156	13,234	1,001	+12,233	No	-$144	03-27 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 20:00 UTC	4	$28	28	26	+2	Down	+$26	04-05 20:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	15	$24	10,667	0	+10,667	Yes	-$24	04-29 17:31
2026 the players championship winner ludvig aberg win	1	$21	350	0	+350	No	-$21	03-15 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:05 UTC	4	$18	15	14	+0	Down	+$10	03-27 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$16	117	5	+113	Down	-$10	04-26 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:15 UTC	1	$16	27	0	+27	Up	+$11	04-03 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 06:40 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	04-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:50 UTC	3	$15	13	12	+0	Down	+$9	03-27 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:40 UTC	2	$15	15	14	+1	Up	+$2	04-15 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 18:55 UTC	2	$14	14	13	+1	Up	+$13	04-14 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 06:55 UTC	2	$14	18	17	+0	Down	+$3	03-26 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 10:40 UTC	3	$12	14	8	+6	Up	+$1	04-10 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:45 UTC	5	$12	25	22	+3	Up	+$4	03-26 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:55 UTC	3	$12	16	13	+3	Up	$0	04-15 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$12	13	12	+1	Up	+$5	04-26 20:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$12	7,869	0	+7,869	No	-$12	04-29 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:25 UTC	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-15 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC	2	$12	9	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-05 23:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:50 UTC	2	$12	56	52	+4	Up	+$2	04-08 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$12	11	7	+4	Down	$0	04-27 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$11	12	12	+1	Up	+$2	04-27 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:40 UTC	1	$11	19	0	+19	Down	-$11	04-03 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 19:39:42	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x135b64…
09-09 09:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5488e1…
09-05 18:58:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0fdca2…
09-05 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1cdbd4…
09-04 18:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x966355…
09-04 18:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x25ad23…
09-04 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x46b443…
09-04 18:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x314f7d…
09-04 18:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x02d78d…
09-04 17:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x949808…
09-04 17:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa9508e…
09-04 17:33:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x76dba6…
09-04 17:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xb009d1…
09-04 17:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x02eb9b…
09-04 17:29:27	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x493728…
09-04 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbaec7a…
09-04 17:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x17cf96…
09-04 10:30:18	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	1,063	2¢	$20	0x7d2e1e…
09-04 06:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb9d968…
09-03 16:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa4a2be…
09-03 16:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a2f1a…
09-03 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6248bd…
09-03 16:41:15	dtrump out as president by september 30	Yes	BUY	8,667	1¢	$130	0xba873f…
09-03 16:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5113da…
09-03 16:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe75d79…
09-03 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad36b7…
09-03 10:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x51800d…
09-03 10:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa5456f…
09-02 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3de4a7…
09-02 09:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xac318d…
09-02 09:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f547c…
09-01 20:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x038e07…
09-01 20:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xd9de08…
09-01 20:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x385bbb…
09-01 20:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfc1efb…
09-01 20:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x240814…
09-01 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8f9cca…
09-01 09:37:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x81da1c…
09-01 09:36:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xb06af2…
09-01 09:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8b5a44…
09-01 09:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xcb0796…
09-01 09:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfc1497…
09-01 08:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc39473…
09-01 08:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x393086…
09-01 08:17:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	6¢	$180	0x0e8098…
08-10 06:33:42	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	2,520	1¢	$18	0x5d0840…
08-10 06:07:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	11,429	1¢	$80	0x0d5892…
08-01 20:47:05	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	9,395	1¢	$96	0x3d78d8…
07-13 20:01:52	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0xccb221…
07-13 19:09:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x3e0817…
07-13 19:09:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x958fe1…
07-12 20:33:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x1a692b…
07-12 20:32:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xfa4ed4…
07-12 20:32:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	4,314	1¢	$30	0x63bbca…
07-07 20:01:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xba1a3e…
07-07 20:01:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xd62cc2…
07-07 19:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeeb5d9…
07-07 19:51:05	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,531	1¢	$9	0x5e5ff1…
07-07 19:50:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xfc9478…
07-05 18:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xd0c540…
07-05 18:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x528b4d…
07-05 15:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x19cff8…
07-05 15:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa81620…
07-03 10:46:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	20,331	1¢	$219	0x14790d…
07-01 16:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8bd298…
07-01 16:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x41b12b…
07-01 16:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe6d7f6…
06-30 21:19:17	Sweden to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x939887…
06-24 20:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x925b78…
06-24 20:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe9c564…
06-23 20:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1dd1c4…
06-23 04:02:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x140a2b…
06-23 04:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9f0ea2…
06-22 18:54:19	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,250	0¢	$25	0x76c4ca…
06-22 18:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e3bce…
06-21 15:11:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x575cf6…
06-20 21:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2ca55…
06-20 21:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ca406…
06-20 19:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe10abe…
06-20 19:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xde531b…
06-20 07:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf4ad81…
06-19 22:01:40	Scotland to score first vs. Morocco?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfa456f…
06-19 20:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x09c10c…
06-19 20:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9a1c08…
06-19 20:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x64787e…
06-19 20:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4421c0…
06-19 17:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x0c44a1…
06-19 17:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x745838…
06-19 16:17:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x39de26…
06-19 16:15:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd50d7d…
06-18 21:07:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x778e79…
06-18 21:07:43	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe93458…
06-18 20:22:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd6730b…
06-18 20:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x376f21…
06-18 20:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xc9bb6b…
06-18 20:17:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4ebc90…
06-18 20:11:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x2886ee…
06-18 20:11:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf03c8…
06-18 20:08:38	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x597d13…
06-18 20:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5a806a…