Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-23 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

56% 85% +$69

Politics

34% 79% $-176

Tech

5% 0% $-3

Sports

4% 100% +$18

Crypto

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	3	$829	421	421	+0	No	+$12	02-09 16:15
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	2	$612	323	323	+0	No	+$30	01-25 15:59
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	2	$590	596	0	+596	No	+$6	01-30 17:23
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	1	$571	600	0	+600	Yes	+$29	06-16 19:10
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$343	0	343	-343	No	$-0	01-04 14:23
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	4	$321	330	0	+330	Yes	+$9	01-25 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$276	0	300	-300	No	$-24	06-07 20:14
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	1	$273	0	276	-276	No	$-3	06-02 02:34
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026 472 372 198 219 761 197	1	$245	250	0	+250	Yes	+$5	01-04 15:29
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$241	259	0	+259	No	+$18	02-11 05:11
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$7	03-01 06:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$167	176	0	+176	No	+$10	02-27 17:36
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$162	167	0	+167	No	+$5	02-24 16:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	1	$130	140	0	+140	No	$-130	05-25 16:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$97	100	0	+100	Yes	$-97	02-24 16:04
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	04-02 16:38
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$44	63	0	+63	No	+$19	03-09 15:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$32	0	36	-36	open	—	06-23 16:09
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-09 16:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$28	34	0	+34	No	+$6	03-09 15:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$27	29	0	+29	No	+$2	05-25 15:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	02-15 01:52
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	01-23 16:45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$20	0	20	-20	No	$-0	01-20 22:15
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	02-09 16:16
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$13	17	0	+17	No	+$3	01-27 10:58
Will the US strike Syria next?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-11 05:11
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-27 10:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-11 05:11
will grok 4pt20 not be released by february 14 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	02-11 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:09:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xa87bda…
06-16 19:10:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	Yes	BUY	600	95¢	$571	0xf1c643…
06-07 20:14:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xaf50d8…
06-02 02:34:10	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	276	99¢	$273	0xd5f24e…
05-25 16:00:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x198d9c…
05-25 15:50:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xf222cc…
04-02 16:38:49	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xe0e9fa…
03-09 15:41:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x833356…
03-09 15:41:25	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x87d23f…
03-01 06:10:49	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x403d08…
02-27 17:36:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	176	94¢	$167	0x410e84…
02-24 16:04:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	100	98¢	$97	0x612855…
02-24 16:04:02	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x9c8688…
02-15 01:52:49	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcfda74…
02-11 05:13:03	will grok 4pt20 not be released by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xad8e77…
02-11 05:11:47	Will the US strike Syria next?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7ba12…
02-11 05:11:37	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x299350…
02-11 05:11:19	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	259	93¢	$241	0xbc7501…
02-11 05:10:15	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x3642e9…
02-10 05:17:09	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x25aff7…
02-09 16:16:33	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbf1bb7…
02-09 16:16:15	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x84844c…
02-09 16:15:25	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	No	SELL	421	100¢	$421	0x93807d…
01-30 17:23:36	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	501	99¢	$496	0xc834c8…
01-30 17:20:04	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xa0a008…
01-27 10:58:07	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x4c7091…
01-27 10:56:57	us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd9d6ef…
01-25 20:21:18	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0x58c389…
01-25 18:17:22	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6216d6…
01-25 17:00:42	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x690645…
01-25 15:59:42	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xabf44f…
01-25 15:59:14	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	No	SELL	323	99¢	$321	0x565bfa…
01-23 16:45:36	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x3d062d…
01-20 22:15:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9e799a…
01-20 22:01:06	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xdb56b4…
01-20 21:47:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfac83c…
01-15 05:05:14	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x984a41…
01-04 15:40:47	will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	No	BUY	323	90¢	$291	0x8c16e1…
01-04 15:37:49	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0x139aa3…
01-04 15:29:01	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026 472 372 198 219 761 197	Yes	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x119e9f…
01-04 14:23:19	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	343	100¢	$343	0x8b81d7…