Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$781

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$111

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-13 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$1

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-65	$-56	90¢	$-59	$-3	06-04 11:59
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	+26	$26	100¢	$26	+$0	06-12 21:13
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	+21	$20	97¢	$20	+$0	05-30 12:31
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	$-9	6¢	$-6	+$3	06-02 23:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	1	$252	265	0	+265	open	—	02-05 21:58
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	1	$116	771	0	+771	open	—	01-12 23:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$56	0	65	-65	open	—	06-04 11:59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	03-10 01:49
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	01-12 23:30
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	01-11 19:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	01-12 23:26
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$26	673	0	+673	open	—	03-10 01:43
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	06-12 21:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	01-12 23:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$22	23	0	+23	Yes	$-22	04-29 14:58
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-30 12:31
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-12 21:14
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	06-12 21:13
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-05 21:30
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	02-05 21:31
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-30 13:03
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	0	100	-100	open	—	06-02 23:55
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$7	60	0	+60	open	—	03-10 04:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	01-12 23:25
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-30 12:32
boxing tommy fury vs eddie hall	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-13 06:31
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$2	50	0	+50	open	—	01-13 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 06:31:49	boxing tommy fury vs eddie hall	Hall	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xaa9528…
06-12 21:14:04	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x38d09b…
06-12 21:13:42	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xb4ee6a…
06-12 21:13:31	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf256b8…
06-04 11:59:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x8a2bb9…
06-02 23:55:35	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	9¢	$8	0xdf94eb…
05-31 03:35:25	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x310bf9…
05-30 13:03:36	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3a3bbd…
05-30 12:32:48	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0xf12b02…
05-30 12:31:20	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x91b50f…
04-29 14:58:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x189032…
03-10 04:26:33	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0xec85c0…
03-10 04:11:37	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3e53af…
03-10 04:03:23	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xabd529…
03-10 01:49:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x64e467…
03-10 01:43:47	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	673	4¢	$26	0xcfda8c…
02-05 21:58:29	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	BUY	265	95¢	$252	0x37c494…
02-05 21:31:57	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xf67d7d…
02-05 21:30:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xac07cb…
01-13 00:22:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x287df0…
01-12 23:33:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xbd1fb9…
01-12 23:30:37	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x3dab4e…
01-12 23:28:51	will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	771	15¢	$116	0xed104c…
01-12 23:26:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x117f07…
01-12 23:26:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x9c68cd…
01-12 23:25:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9909f8…
01-11 19:44:52	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xd82cba…