Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

-$416

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$322

Open exposure

$1.63K

1 position

First seen

2026-08-29

last 09-16 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% +$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes		+2,543	$2,050	64¢	$1.6K	-$416	09-16 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	4	$2.1K	2,543	0	+2,543	open	—	09-16 12:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	2	$921	523	523	+0	No	+$21	09-05 05:34
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	2	$569	590	0	+590	Yes	+$21	09-05 10:32
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	09-05 05:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	08-29 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 12:00:00	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	145	72¢	$104	0x6e7102…
09-11 10:19:37	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1,013	85¢	$861	0xd7b15f…
09-11 10:09:06	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	631	79¢	$500	0xc76e6b…
09-08 01:21:25	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	753	78¢	$585	0x37d7a5…
09-05 10:32:55	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x2d8045…
09-05 05:39:39	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5c930a…
09-05 05:37:13	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	495	96¢	$475	0x03cbb5…
09-05 05:34:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	SELL	523	90¢	$471	0xbb4441…
08-29 15:45:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	523	86¢	$450	0x3aa4ec…
08-29 13:43:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6b8caa…
08-29 13:43:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f2b8d…