Bronze-Hostess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.15K

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$5.09K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-11 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-1,224

Politics

25% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$2,278

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes		+24,637	$6,216	20¢	$5.1K	$-1,166	06-04 10:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+706	$25	5¢	$38	+$13	06-11 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	52	$6.2K	24,637	+24,637	open	—	06-04 10:55
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	3,245	+3,245	Yes	$-1,224	04-02 16:38
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.0K	5,092	+5,092	open	—	02-24 19:54
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$1000	9,370	+9,370	open	—	05-15 18:11
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$1000	8,642	+8,642	open	—	02-24 20:26
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$1000	16,667	+16,667	open	—	02-24 19:51
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$500	2,778	+2,778	Sean Strickland	+$2,278	05-08 07:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	13	$25	706	+706	open	—	06-11 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 10:58:43	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	4¢	$10	0x23b184…
06-10 22:45:43	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9dc555…
06-10 20:11:58	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x45a95f…
06-10 19:24:37	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x8fb839…
06-10 09:06:34	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8febc1…
06-09 22:13:13	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xff9e1d…
06-09 11:27:18	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x462950…
06-08 17:32:33	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$2	0xdc0239…
06-06 16:54:13	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x560851…
06-05 12:49:48	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xcc184b…
06-04 17:38:15	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xeaadba…
06-04 17:28:34	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x17071c…
06-04 11:05:03	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xb86189…
06-04 10:55:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,000	24¢	$1,460	0x55ac16…
06-01 02:46:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,171	26¢	$824	0x61ffb0…
06-01 02:39:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	26¢	$520	0x10f6fb…
06-01 02:39:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	26¢	$390	0xc02801…
05-31 20:47:04	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	26¢	$14	0xe0b555…
05-31 20:30:09	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x54b88b…
05-31 20:22:36	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6cc620…
05-31 20:21:42	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9d59ef…
05-31 20:21:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x865ca5…
05-31 20:20:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x85ba1b…
05-31 20:18:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x930d37…
05-31 20:15:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe0d3ee…
05-31 20:10:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6d72cb…
05-31 20:08:41	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	26¢	$42	0x12e739…
05-31 20:05:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x7a82ef…
05-31 20:04:12	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xae299e…
05-31 20:03:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x142718…
05-31 20:02:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xb75724…
05-31 20:01:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x72fb21…
05-31 20:01:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x7a2aa2…
05-31 20:01:26	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xbff719…
05-31 20:01:24	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xd3fe10…
05-31 20:01:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,641	26¢	$426	0xbf7441…
05-31 20:00:40	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x25da8a…
05-31 20:00:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa28ebe…
05-31 20:00:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x8ec9f6…
05-31 20:00:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3cd147…
05-31 20:00:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x241f4b…
05-31 20:00:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,099	24¢	$747	0x5931ba…
05-28 08:02:11	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x4af18d…
05-28 08:01:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4c9963…
05-28 07:58:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x9de392…
05-28 07:58:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x08248b…
05-28 07:57:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd43597…
05-28 07:57:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8de70a…
05-28 07:57:42	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2768ed…
05-28 07:57:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xad7fe1…
05-28 07:57:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xa393a3…
05-28 07:57:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x43d9f8…
05-28 07:57:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,081	27¢	$566	0x117a6c…
05-28 07:50:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,915	25¢	$475	0x8027d4…
05-28 07:15:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x28a110…
05-28 06:54:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3eeb47…
05-28 06:02:27	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0x781658…
05-28 00:50:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	532	23¢	$122	0x75cb84…
05-28 00:45:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0xec9c22…
05-27 21:45:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xed87ef…
05-27 21:25:08	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	206	23¢	$47	0xb2ec75…
05-27 21:20:42	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x602ac2…
05-27 20:11:39	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xeff7b1…
05-27 20:10:47	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x03800f…
05-27 20:09:11	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x91f85b…
05-15 18:11:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,370	11¢	$1,000	0x7de9f9…
05-08 07:29:39	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	2,778	18¢	$500	0xbf0d89…
04-02 16:38:41	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,245	38¢	$1,224	0x8e4b23…
02-24 20:26:14	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	8,642	12¢	$1,000	0x739fc0…
02-24 19:54:18	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,092	20¢	$1,000	0xfe3bd4…
02-24 19:51:20	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	16,667	6¢	$1,000	0x9a4723…