Nervous-Survey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-06 23:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$14	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$11	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$11	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$11	20	20	+0	Up	$-9	05-04 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$8	05-04 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Up	$-4	05-06 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-04 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$7	8	4	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-04 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 23:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x4de778…
05-06 23:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6275fb…
05-06 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x1ffb9e…
05-06 23:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xd64e86…
05-06 23:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4f3bcc…
05-06 23:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9bf3c8…
05-06 23:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xc2b390…
05-06 23:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xcc0901…
05-06 23:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x3605ac…
05-06 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x9716d7…
05-06 23:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x114362…
05-06 23:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x9e0157…
05-06 23:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa10c4e…
05-06 23:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x0d533a…
05-06 23:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0bc456…
05-06 23:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x88c554…
05-06 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x51db9a…
05-06 23:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xccf1d8…
05-06 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x644e09…
05-06 23:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x441d17…
05-06 23:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x73d1e2…
05-06 23:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x643897…
05-06 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8759ac…
05-06 22:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf1c6c6…
05-06 22:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x441105…
05-06 22:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b81ab…
05-06 22:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x99d6b3…
05-06 22:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x563872…
05-06 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x79f1eb…
05-06 22:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb341a1…
05-06 22:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x833750…
05-06 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x50107e…
05-06 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6651f8…
05-05 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xae4187…
05-05 20:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xaf22bd…
05-05 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb767aa…
05-05 20:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa0c0d6…
05-05 20:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbbe1b1…
05-05 20:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xe7add0…
05-05 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0a564a…
05-05 20:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc7dbf0…
05-04 23:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xf4bd13…
05-04 23:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x2ec697…
05-04 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xde44e6…
05-04 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xce9f54…
05-04 23:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa3c484…
05-04 21:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4a47fa…
05-04 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x18ec16…
05-04 21:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdd694c…
05-04 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x899208…
05-04 20:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x53ffe5…
05-04 20:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb962e3…
05-04 20:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4f9004…
05-04 20:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4661ba…
05-03 23:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0dc5b4…
05-03 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x272f87…
05-03 23:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x6bd2ca…
05-03 22:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xaa3b0b…
05-03 22:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfc3fb1…