Equal-Pier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-14 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$3

Crypto

31% 100% +$0

Politics

26% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+5	$3	3¢	$0	$-3	06-14 11:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$240	241	0	+241	open	—	03-17 09:33
footballfun fdv above 200m one day after launch xh08	2	$222	118	118	+0	open	—	01-16 16:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$217	110	110	+0	open	—	02-05 09:28
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	02-21 05:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	04-05 10:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$148	150	0	+150	open	—	03-30 12:19
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	02-06 10:22
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-10 03:31
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$110	113	0	+113	open	—	01-22 14:17
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	01-16 16:39
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$107	111	0	+111	open	—	03-21 08:17
ethereum above 2600 on february 5	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	02-05 09:29
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	02-22 06:54
ethereum above 1600 on february 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 08:55
lol gen fox1 2026 02 21	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	02-21 05:50
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-11 09:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-11 09:35
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-10 12:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	01-27 08:43
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-14 05:56
mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 11:42
lol jdg al 2026 02 26	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	02-26 07:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 07:06
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$5	8	0	+8	T1	+$3	05-10 03:35
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-03 06:16
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-13 08:56
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-20 11:42
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-13 08:55
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 11:30
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-22 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 11:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb02df3…
05-22 08:28:23	LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7c1cc5…
05-18 07:33:22	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x90a05a…
05-14 06:42:42	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x8ce557…
05-10 03:35:31	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0336dc…
05-03 04:07:20	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcfd787…
04-29 11:30:14	LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x30678c…
04-21 07:06:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x5edfea…
04-05 10:27:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x1ca998…
03-30 12:19:12	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xbfcc27…
03-21 08:17:21	lol gen g2 2026 03 21	Gen.G	BUY	111	96¢	$107	0xc541ab…
03-17 09:33:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x10f7df…
03-11 09:42:23	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbd0732…
03-11 09:35:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x82d00e…
02-26 07:17:20	lol jdg al 2026 02 26	Anyone's Legend	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xbbf4ad…
02-22 06:54:24	lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	T1	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x8add9c…
02-21 05:50:36	lol gen fox1 2026 02 21	Gen.G	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x7261c9…
02-21 05:50:16	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x2a1c9a…
02-17 12:19:57	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7aba2f…
02-17 11:45:09	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0470df…
02-17 11:44:47	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x586dc8…
02-13 08:56:01	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x664c5d…
02-13 08:55:55	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c6d6b…
02-13 08:55:29	ethereum above 1600 on february 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9ddc13…
02-10 03:31:19	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf1a90f…
02-10 03:31:03	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6ef5bc…
02-07 11:38:15	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd44d93…
02-07 11:38:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6e835…
02-06 10:22:35	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x71b644…
02-05 09:29:15	ethereum above 2600 on february 5	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x254189…
02-05 09:28:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x981e12…
02-03 06:16:42	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0eaac…
02-03 06:16:26	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfe008…
02-03 06:14:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc32956…
01-30 12:40:56	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f152f…
01-30 12:40:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe3649a…
01-27 08:44:27	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecfd17…
01-27 08:43:41	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xadc903…
01-22 14:17:58	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16e2a0…
01-22 14:17:46	Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x5f4ee9…
01-20 11:42:40	Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee1a2b…
01-20 11:42:12	mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc2359b…
01-16 16:40:18	Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa17b20…
01-16 16:39:48	Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x06e6a8…
01-16 16:38:10	footballfun fdv above 200m one day after launch xh08	No	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0x2e5fb4…
01-15 17:37:58	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfea330…
01-15 17:37:28	footballfun fdv above 300m one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ff5a2…
01-15 17:36:38	footballfun fdv above 200m one day after launch xh08	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x97a8c1…
01-14 05:57:02	wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt68	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x04b1a6…
01-14 05:56:44	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb95f1e…
01-10 12:45:18	over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6308fd…