Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$152

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-24 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

64% 97% -$72

Other

25% 100% +$20

Tech

4% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes		+77	$74	100¢	$77	+$4	10-24 03:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes		+75	$73	100¢	$75	+$1	10-24 03:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$292	148	148	+0	Yes	+$4	10-23 00:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	+$0	07-17 06:45
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$236	236	0	+236	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$223	224	0	+224	No	+$0	06-01 17:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$216	108	108	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 12:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	05-23 02:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$212	216	0	+216	No	+$4	05-21 02:19
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$211	212	0	+212	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$209	209	0	+209	Yes	+$0	04-29 04:10
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	1	$209	211	0	+211	No	+$3	04-30 03:30
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$203	204	0	+204	No	+$0	04-21 02:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$201	201	0	+201	Yes	+$0	04-09 14:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	04-07 17:55
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	03-24 13:51
mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	1	$186	188	0	+188	Team Liquid PH	+$2	03-20 11:07
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$186	186	0	+186	Yes	+$0	03-11 13:29
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$185	185	0	+185	Yes	+$0	01-30 15:57
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$185	186	0	+186	Yes	+$1	03-01 11:15
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	1	$183	185	0	+185	No	+$2	01-24 22:36
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$143	144	0	+144	Yes	+$0	08-21 01:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$143	143	0	+143	Yes	+$0	08-15 01:56
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$142	143	0	+143	No	+$1	08-04 03:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	1	$142	142	0	+142	Yes	+$0	07-28 01:31
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	08-01 03:20
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$129	130	0	+130	Yes	+$1	07-20 01:53
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	07-11 02:21
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	07-09 12:16
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	1	$120	129	0	+129	Yes	+$9	07-17 06:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	07-02 06:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$118	134	0	+134	Yes	-$118	06-19 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:17:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x0acafc…
10-24 03:17:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	77	95¢	$74	0x5784f4…
10-23 00:32:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x132d1a…
08-27 06:49:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	148	98¢	$144	0x38e6e1…
08-21 01:43:48	Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x80a957…
08-15 01:56:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xeb4597…
08-04 03:00:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0xe637e5…
08-01 03:20:23	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x8b5626…
07-28 01:31:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x9b57d6…
07-24 04:34:52	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x0eb549…
07-24 03:07:19	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x02e688…
07-20 01:53:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x7e6418…
07-17 06:46:31	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0xed83b1…
07-17 06:45:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xc798fb…
07-13 12:55:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xedac92…
07-11 02:21:20	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x8c5e9a…
07-09 12:16:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x220fc8…
07-02 06:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x328a68…
06-19 11:42:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xac5064…
06-19 11:42:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	134	88¢	$118	0xffd29e…
06-08 08:35:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xaaa915…
06-04 11:12:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0x8cfe2c…
06-04 11:05:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0xbb1e43…
06-01 17:12:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x5829cb…
05-31 13:30:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x924f18…
05-31 13:29:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc31734…
05-31 12:48:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$111	0xe65ca3…
05-31 12:43:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x41e5e0…
05-31 02:38:54	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x18f4b4…
05-31 02:36:51	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x71c84f…
05-25 04:18:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa50ff0…
05-25 04:13:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x9c0235…
05-23 02:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xc47025…
05-21 02:19:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x44aaaf…
05-12 16:30:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xbef6a9…
04-30 03:30:40	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0xb153f1…
04-29 04:10:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x5c99e4…
04-23 07:48:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x39a74b…
04-23 07:45:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x58791c…
04-21 02:10:14	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0x87d224…
04-14 15:51:59	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0f31ed…
04-14 14:36:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$101	0x540d52…
04-09 14:40:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x4b7d4c…
04-07 17:55:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x2a89fa…
03-24 13:51:25	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	170	94¢	$160	0x0fd755…
03-24 13:20:27	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x06409a…
03-20 11:07:59	mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	Team Liquid PH	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xb91939…
03-11 13:29:13	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0x6aad61…
03-01 11:15:21	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x7ec04a…
01-30 15:57:46	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x273be4…
01-24 22:36:40	fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x1137c5…