Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

984

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-19 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% $-2

Sports

25% — —

Other

10% 0% $-1

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	11	$55	49	70	-21	open	—	02-28 12:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$35	49	49	+0	open	—	02-28 12:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$32	44	44	+0	Yes	$-2	02-28 12:39
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$31	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$31	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	02-22 20:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$16	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	8	$15	42	0	+42	open	—	02-22 20:20
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	9	$14	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$13	65	0	+65	open	—	02-28 06:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	12	$7	57	57	-0	open	—	02-28 12:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$6	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	9	$6	44	44	+0	No	$-1	02-28 12:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	13	$5	65	65	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$5	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-19 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-19 18:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	10	$4	47	47	+0	open	—	02-28 12:39
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	9	$4	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	10	$4	49	49	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	10	$3	49	49	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
GTA VI released before June 2026?	9	$2	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$2	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:41
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$2	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:41
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$2	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:42
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$1	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:40
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$1	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	9	$1	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:48
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$1	44	44	+0	open	—	02-28 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 18:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd8a599…
05-19 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x697ca2…
05-19 18:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x61138a…
02-28 12:50:47	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x57b53f…
02-28 12:50:45	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xc7ebcd…
02-28 12:50:43	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x6ec8d7…
02-28 12:50:41	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x75ff4c…
02-28 12:49:07	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x4a155a…
02-28 12:49:05	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x598191…
02-28 12:49:03	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xa2d6fd…
02-28 12:49:01	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x486d23…
02-28 12:48:57	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x194336…
02-28 12:48:55	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xcb5ca0…
02-28 12:48:53	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xdb6d75…
02-28 12:48:43	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x2bf017…
02-28 12:48:39	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xf4d65f…
02-28 12:48:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x3c9862…
02-28 12:48:25	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xfbef0a…
02-28 12:48:19	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x84e875…
02-28 12:48:17	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xae6ea7…
02-28 12:48:13	Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x09beac…
02-28 12:48:11	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xd59b1a…
02-28 12:48:09	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x9b875b…
02-28 12:48:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x71216e…
02-28 12:48:07	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x29f575…
02-28 12:48:03	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x4b2d0e…
02-28 12:48:01	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xbaf465…
02-28 12:47:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x3a787c…
02-28 12:47:55	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xa4c13a…
02-28 12:47:53	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xbebff4…
02-28 12:47:39	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xece170…
02-28 12:47:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xeb7694…
02-28 12:47:03	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x0f4878…
02-28 12:46:57	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xa5f28c…
02-28 12:46:53	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x88752d…
02-28 12:46:47	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x89f41d…
02-28 12:42:07	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0xe3e704…
02-28 12:42:01	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$1	0x49e45a…
02-28 12:41:55	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x4bcda6…
02-28 12:41:53	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0x3f6009…
02-28 12:41:09	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x4f6eba…
02-28 12:40:23	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x5fb009…
02-28 12:40:19	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x081715…
02-28 12:40:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x8d81fe…
02-28 12:40:07	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	No	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x8662d1…
02-28 12:40:05	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x67ced1…
02-28 12:40:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0xa6e5be…
02-28 12:39:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x76ab2d…
02-28 12:39:55	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0xa5048e…
02-28 12:39:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x2a5ba0…
02-28 12:39:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	57	7¢	$4	0xddd0f9…
02-28 12:39:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xd80845…
02-28 12:39:37	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x9aef1e…
02-28 12:39:31	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0x591a68…
02-28 12:39:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	44	26¢	$12	0x9a3924…
02-28 12:39:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	42	36¢	$15	0x315b25…
02-28 12:39:15	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0x5fe620…
02-28 12:39:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0xc3a629…
02-28 12:38:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0x4c9cfe…
02-28 12:38:47	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	63¢	$27	0x930cc5…
02-28 06:25:41	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc0f9b0…
02-28 06:12:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd10796…
02-22 20:49:52	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30796c…
02-22 20:48:52	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xabd4dd…
02-22 20:48:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7fd686…
02-22 20:48:52	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x67d136…
02-22 20:47:52	Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7ad493…
02-22 20:46:56	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfe4296…
02-22 20:45:58	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb0a67c…
02-22 20:44:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe331b2…
02-22 20:43:12	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb4c71b…
02-22 20:41:28	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x361a1a…
02-22 20:41:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x486512…
02-22 20:40:36	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfc309b…
02-22 20:40:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8a88e5…
02-22 20:39:44	Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x803a46…
02-22 20:38:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8e576a…
02-22 20:38:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x895815…
02-22 20:38:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x75fcad…
02-22 20:37:56	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbe3b5f…
02-22 20:37:02	Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x372d80…
02-22 20:36:06	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x52d232…
02-22 20:35:06	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2e31f8…
02-22 20:33:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaf2620…
02-22 20:32:24	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc5018c…
02-22 20:30:38	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd1734b…
02-22 20:30:36	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0af6ca…
02-22 20:29:46	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8640c3…
02-22 20:29:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf4516a…
02-22 20:28:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d3cba…
02-22 20:28:46	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x599317…
02-22 20:28:46	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4047a7…
02-22 20:21:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x65ea8c…
02-22 20:21:44	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x243c1e…
02-22 20:21:42	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd195fd…
02-22 20:21:42	will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc0950f…
02-22 20:21:42	Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xae89eb…
02-22 20:21:42	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x839ed9…
02-22 20:21:42	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x419aa2…
02-22 20:21:42	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3803c2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	98	$62.8K	36,600	04-16 20:33
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	92	$192.5K	2,102	05-21 21:26
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	85	$1.67M	71,750	04-09 19:50
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	85	$967.2K	12,658	03-09 10:16
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	84	$132.5K	2,929	04-06 19:42
Honorable-Bather 0xc82f…66a7	84	$24.6K	1,156	04-19 05:54
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	82	$10.8M	102,612	04-28 09:54
Candid-Sneeze 0x8646…ed78	82	$573	467	03-27 00:15