Crisp-Hobbit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved (90d)

265

Trades (90d)

275

2,071 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.35K

$10.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$2

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	—	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-27 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-20 05:04
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-10 10:43
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:49
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e78a6…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82271a…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e4a3e…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ff45c…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75c22d…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb73be…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95e8dd…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c247e…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc891ef…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2690…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6be96…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeee46b…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf822f7…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4528e4…
10-13 16:14:30	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50daf2…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x783c5f…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x700c6a…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43cd92…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa82e0…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd5656…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd226a9…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x101b3f…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3800b…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x467332…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e9f11…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a086a…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab3bd9…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23f537…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fa6fd…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd26179…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb401ae…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d674…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63d89f…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a43ca…
10-01 14:40:24	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6afe1…
10-01 14:20:24	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25c4e6…
10-01 12:04:12	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fd639…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe46cfd…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x894dff…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3653b2…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc20915…
09-29 06:34:48	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x269667…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27a3e6…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x971a46…
09-27 20:12:02	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17616f…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55ec4e…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76cb79…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x014173…
09-26 19:47:30	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3404e…
09-26 16:12:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea4bd5…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7653f…
09-25 10:14:14	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f427b…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98c81d…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf45ca2…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb9669…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x230dec…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x124561…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4470cb…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa41bd0…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b4fd9…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x730408…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce74fa…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50ba4b…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80d3b9…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9a542…
09-17 20:00:06	Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x941cef…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2563e4…
09-17 17:27:06	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa5994c…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x593059…
09-17 00:30:48	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe89770…
09-16 22:20:37	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf47e1d…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0013c1…
09-16 01:34:49	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8acfc3…
09-16 01:14:21	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x461140…
09-16 01:14:15	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x91d1da…
09-15 17:50:18	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7b1af…
09-14 20:06:43	Hanshin Tigers vs. Chunichi Dragons	Chunichi Dragons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1386a…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf981c5…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75868b…
09-13 04:03:22	Cal Poly vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x74d313…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd02a75…
09-13 00:54:40	Incarnate Word vs. Northern Arizona	Northern Arizona	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2a871…
09-12 19:13:09	South Florida vs. Army	South Florida	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2b9d3…
09-12 18:46:13	Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Regina Tarin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x084b62…
09-12 13:09:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x221704…
09-12 11:23:00	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd261c…
09-12 09:53:12	Will Daegu FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf77228…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4d84b…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49dea9…
09-11 20:35:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cd00b…
09-11 02:58:34	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e6d01…
09-10 18:48:21	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cbb92…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ea61…
09-10 01:18:07	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7120e4…
09-09 22:45:57	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c6146…
09-09 20:03:10	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07280b…
09-09 07:41:51	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f0f89…
09-09 04:10:22	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa684db…
09-09 00:21:49	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x047d55…
09-08 23:11:40	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdea4c…