Calculating-Ingredient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$425

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-17 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% +$38

Sports

6% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$61	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$30	53	0	+53	Up	+$23	05-11 17:55
btc updown 5m 1781628300	2	$26	57	57	+0	open	—	06-16 16:48
btc updown 5m 1781628600	1	$25	61	0	+61	open	—	06-16 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-13 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Up	+$12	05-12 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-29 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$18	25	25	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$15	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 17:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	04-22 15:58
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$9	7	6	+0	open	—	04-26 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$5	45	45	+0	open	—	06-03 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$5	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 06:29
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 21:06
btc updown 5m 1781628000	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	06-16 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-12 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	39	0	+39	Down	$-5	05-13 21:44
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	06-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Up	+$15	05-12 22:38
ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	06-10 21:06
btc updown 5m 1780642200	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	06-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-12 22:07
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-03 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-11 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-12 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-29 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-11 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-29 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:36:02	btc updown 5m 1781674500	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x229dd7…
06-16 16:50:10	btc updown 5m 1781628600	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xf8bbaa…
06-16 16:48:47	btc updown 5m 1781628300	Up	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xaa2583…
06-16 16:45:32	btc updown 5m 1781628300	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1ac5fa…
06-16 16:40:43	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c8cfc…
06-16 16:17:08	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0d9dc4…
06-10 21:06:33	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd7659a…
06-10 21:06:06	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x621c7d…
06-10 21:04:40	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1d3642…
06-05 06:50:52	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5bf12b…
06-03 06:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x58ff5b…
06-03 06:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd5d24b…
06-03 05:46:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5802cf…
06-03 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x804583…
06-03 05:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4b84ae…
05-29 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x9b36eb…
05-29 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb5d260…
05-29 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9d37da…
05-29 01:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x13cc4a…
05-29 01:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9c523c…
05-13 22:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xacc8a2…
05-13 22:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	80¢	$13	0xf61577…
05-13 22:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x22b84a…
05-13 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x03b21d…
05-13 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x6db476…
05-13 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x954eda…
05-13 08:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x92be1f…
05-12 22:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe3097b…
05-12 22:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xe3caba…
05-12 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4e98e4…
05-12 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd2f590…
05-12 22:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6a2dde…
05-12 22:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc9bf1b…
05-12 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x820ea7…
05-12 22:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa51178…
05-12 22:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xedcb35…
05-12 22:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3e50ea…
05-12 21:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x28fc45…
05-12 17:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xb8e5b8…
05-12 17:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x496bdb…
05-12 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xda4733…
05-12 17:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb460df…
05-11 22:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9ead92…
05-11 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcb09ff…
05-11 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x32e71a…
05-11 18:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd8769a…
05-11 17:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xba81e2…
05-11 17:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x826bb8…
04-26 04:43:10	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Aljamain Sterling	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd32aec…
04-26 01:08:08	UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	Aljamain Sterling	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x55a69f…
04-24 15:08:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf6512b…
04-24 15:07:42	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	No	BUY	847	0¢	$1	0x4cae18…
04-24 15:06:42	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa04e51…
04-24 15:03:22	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3d75ce…
04-22 16:01:04	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6247c4…
04-22 15:58:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0b99d8…
04-22 15:54:34	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2c8549…
04-22 15:54:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa881aa…