Untrue-Problem — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$912

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,518

lifetime

Volume

$439.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-21 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% -$33,938

Sports

34% 100% +$32,911

Other

10% 60% -$5,213

Tech

8% 100% +$7,499

Crypto

0% 0% -$347

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	319	$180.0K	404,236	404,236	+0	Yes	-$17,239	09-20 20:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	235	$151.5K	128,406	128,406	+0	Yes	+$32,911	05-30 19:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	58	$37.0K	34,465	34,465	+0	No	+$7,499	06-12 16:54
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	68	$11.4K	40,873	40,873	+0	Yes	-$4,451	07-05 23:36
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	57	$11.0K	45,566	45,566	+0	No	-$6,365	09-20 20:05
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	309	$8.4K	194,755	194,755	+0	No	-$5,649	09-20 22:29
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	5	$6.2K	3,674	3,674	+0	Yes	+$1,082	07-05 21:52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	23	$4.7K	10,123	10,123	+0	No	-$518	07-11 22:32
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	18	$3.7K	14,252	14,252	+0	No	+$94	07-04 23:02
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	13	$3.4K	2,264	2,264	+0	Yes	+$770	07-04 22:50
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	12	$2.8K	4,456	4,456	+0	Yes	-$51	09-19 04:13
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	2	$2.6K	3,538	3,538	+0	No	+$677	07-05 21:35
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	77	$2.4K	34,056	34,056	+0	No	-$1,588	09-21 05:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	8	$2.0K	3,977	3,977	+0	Yes	+$20	07-15 20:10
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	122	$1.9K	59,763	29,764	+29,999	No	-$1,519	09-21 10:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$1.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$1,400	07-05 21:42
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	3	$1.6K	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$239	07-11 21:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	7	$1.2K	649	649	+0	No	+$75	07-11 23:48
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$1.0K	609	609	+0	Yes	+$177	07-11 23:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$956	7,354	0	+7,354	No	-$956	09-16 17:59
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	96	$881	82,116	82,116	+0	No	-$713	09-20 20:24
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	3	$866	1,415	1,415	+0	No	-$808	07-15 20:53
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1,048	$706	287,601	8,934	+278,667	No	-$652	09-18 10:59
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	5	$454	242	242	+0	No	+$29	07-19 22:07
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	10	$394	1,337	1,337	+0	Yes	-$160	09-20 20:06
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	2	$243	445	0	+445	Over	-$243	07-18 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 10:50 UTC	2	$218	500	0	+500	Up	-$218	07-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$120	1,220	1,220	+0	Up	-$96	09-15 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 21:20 UTC	2	$34	2,454	0	+2,454	Up	-$34	09-14 21:24
Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$24	104	104	+0	No	-$2	09-20 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 10:39:35	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa14ba6…
09-21 10:39:09	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xfbb5e3…
09-21 09:07:35	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x84249e…
09-21 09:07:35	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x238012…
09-21 08:48:20	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x8dd8e7…
09-21 08:46:15	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x627091…
09-21 08:40:11	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x49328c…
09-21 08:40:09	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xbaf993…
09-21 08:25:50	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xaeccb9…
09-21 08:13:29	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf298cd…
09-21 05:52:20	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbf7a78…
09-21 05:39:46	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x628c44…
09-21 05:31:04	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	8,122	0¢	$8	0xf723c6…
09-21 05:24:01	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa0f4f4…
09-21 05:09:49	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	630	0¢	$1	0x56cd76…
09-21 03:30:28	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xddf72b…
09-21 03:30:28	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xafe825…
09-21 03:30:28	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x50ab11…
09-21 03:30:28	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x28b683…
09-21 03:30:11	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5996de…
09-21 03:30:11	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0b074b…
09-21 02:23:16	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xa6f564…
09-21 02:23:16	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa66e6e…
09-21 02:23:16	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x2eb3bd…
09-21 02:23:14	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf65f4e…
09-20 22:30:53	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a53d3…
09-20 22:29:46	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	155,438	0¢	$155	0x8e37fb…
09-20 22:02:56	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	842	0¢	$1	0x4cb09e…
09-20 22:02:34	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x98c8ae…
09-20 21:58:34	Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	13,472	0¢	$13	0x626dee…
09-20 20:27:37	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x53bd2e…
09-20 20:24:46	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5,489	0¢	$5	0xf22e2f…
09-20 20:19:34	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7a56cc…
09-20 20:12:44	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8c1b2d…
09-20 20:11:23	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6,000	0¢	$6	0x1b1308…
09-20 20:11:13	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf8a504…
09-20 20:09:32	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0xa7309d…
09-20 20:06:34	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x678b71…
09-20 20:06:25	Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	207	1¢	$2	0x203397…
09-20 20:05:59	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	23,787	1¢	$120	0x8a1e64…
09-20 20:03:55	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x3015c3…
09-20 20:03:29	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	25,481	0¢	$30	0x3bf5ee…
09-20 20:03:14	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	2,291	0¢	$3	0xce4274…
09-20 20:03:02	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15,000	0¢	$15	0x0d088f…
09-20 20:02:34	Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0xe1ab9e…
09-20 20:01:38	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x438585…
09-20 20:01:32	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	820	0¢	$1	0xf95a9a…
09-20 20:01:29	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6,894	2¢	$145	0xfacaf1…
09-20 20:01:17	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10,894	2¢	$174	0xf4d76d…
09-20 20:01:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9,710	2¢	$204	0x6c233f…
09-20 20:01:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	190	2¢	$4	0x22096b…
09-20 20:00:08	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc5644…
09-20 20:00:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	227	2¢	$5	0x4428cd…
09-20 19:59:59	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf44fd6…
09-20 19:59:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	355	2¢	$8	0xd8ddff…
09-20 19:59:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2,227	2¢	$49	0x48cc42…
09-20 19:59:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	63,026	2¢	$1,400	0x0585e2…
09-20 19:59:04	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	397	2¢	$8	0x8ab33b…
09-20 19:59:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	475	2¢	$9	0xe989d9…
09-20 19:58:46	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3,508	0¢	$4	0x010238…
09-20 19:58:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x0f2d86…
09-20 19:58:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9,615	3¢	$250	0xf5bfad…
09-20 19:58:43	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	226	3¢	$6	0x9d1c30…
09-20 19:58:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0xfeaeb9…
09-20 19:58:38	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	338	3¢	$9	0x1cc8c0…
09-20 19:58:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0xc5ca7e…
09-20 19:58:34	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0x1bd5ad…
09-20 19:58:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	769	3¢	$20	0xd1256d…
09-20 19:58:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0x595d97…
09-20 19:58:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	223	3¢	$6	0x4dac67…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	446	3¢	$12	0xfc1185…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	440	3¢	$11	0x9ac27a…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0x989e94…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	276	3¢	$7	0x8fb8ce…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x715bd9…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1,999	3¢	$52	0x53b10b…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0x44b432…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3,773	3¢	$102	0x2acb74…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	666	3¢	$17	0x2a935c…
09-20 19:58:31	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	290	3¢	$8	0x1c4a89…
09-20 19:05:56	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xb26e60…
09-20 19:05:56	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9c29ea…
09-20 19:05:56	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x183266…
09-20 19:04:23	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2afe7e…
09-20 19:00:31	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x72e526…
09-20 19:00:31	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x1c6e0a…
09-20 19:00:31	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x129ab3…
09-20 18:54:28	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb7a3d5…
09-20 18:50:07	Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xcc324f…
09-20 18:32:16	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x72bce0…
09-20 18:32:16	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2cac83…
09-20 18:32:16	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x20bb2c…
09-20 18:24:58	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x46b86d…
09-20 18:24:58	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x217590…
09-20 18:24:58	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x12f91b…
09-20 18:24:49	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xad4811…
09-20 18:24:49	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa15691…
09-20 18:24:49	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b20b0…
09-20 18:24:49	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x64fc77…
09-20 18:24:49	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3fa76b…