Multicolored-Osprey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

22,070

Trades

33,135

lifetime

Volume

$81.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 11-01 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 74% +$0

Other

3% 63% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 695 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	—	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	11-01 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:20 UTC	5	$117	82	64	+18	Down	+$5	08-31 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:25 UTC	5	$116	85	59	+27	Down	+$1	08-27 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	7	$114	77	77	+0	Up	+$12	08-27 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	6	$106	78	66	+12	Up	+$4	08-27 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	6	$104	79	65	+14	Down	+$2	08-27 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 09:35 UTC	9	$101	108	30	+78	Up	-$46	08-28 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	5	$94	62	51	+11	Down	+$3	08-31 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$93	97	32	+64	Down	-$31	09-01 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:35 UTC	5	$93	72	48	+24	Down	+$0	08-28 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	4	$92	74	36	+38	Down	-$21	08-22 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:50 UTC	13	$90	62	62	+0	Up	+$13	08-27 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:20 UTC	5	$89	63	46	+17	Down	+$1	08-30 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:10 UTC	12	$88	58	48	+10	Down	+$3	08-31 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	9	$87	61	38	+23	Up	-$13	08-22 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:05 UTC	5	$87	60	47	+13	Down	+$1	08-31 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:55 UTC	3	$87	50	45	+5	Up	+$2	08-22 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:35 UTC	10	$84	72	61	+11	Up	+$16	08-27 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:35 UTC	13	$84	64	54	+10	Up	+$4	08-27 05:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:20 UTC	5	$84	54	45	+9	Down	+$0	08-28 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC	5	$83	58	45	+13	Down	+$3	08-31 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:15 UTC	5	$82	62	53	+9	Up	+$4	08-27 06:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 22:00 UTC	11	$81	86	36	+50	Down	-$14	08-31 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	6	$80	54	54	+0	Down	+$9	08-27 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:45 UTC	5	$80	57	48	+10	Down	-$1	08-27 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 19:45 UTC	5	$79	56	44	+13	Up	+$3	08-31 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	6	$78	55	42	+14	Down	$0	08-29 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:10 UTC	5	$76	54	42	+12	Down	+$3	08-31 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 10:15 UTC	5	$75	57	47	+10	Up	+$4	08-27 10:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 04:45 UTC	5	$75	52	40	+12	Up	$0	08-29 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:00 UTC	5	$75	56	46	+10	Up	+$4	08-27 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfe6050…
11-01 03:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa3dd7…
11-01 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8d3509…
11-01 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb3533f…
11-01 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe7aa69…
11-01 02:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb5e663…
11-01 02:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa05ab5…
11-01 02:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xee23fb…
11-01 01:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x937ee7…
11-01 01:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2bb619…
11-01 01:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5a52b6…
11-01 01:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x93ec2e…
11-01 00:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9f3260…
11-01 00:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1ec013…
11-01 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfd2341…
11-01 00:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1138ea…
10-31 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xff9a05…
10-31 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb23f83…
10-31 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa950d…
10-31 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6d22e8…
10-31 22:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd3cf66…
10-31 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa1d3f9…
10-31 22:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xae25aa…
10-31 22:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd434ee…
10-31 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x802c62…
10-31 21:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x717868…
10-31 21:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x405a19…
10-31 21:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x008763…
10-31 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6438ff…
10-31 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb09bc3…
10-31 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8b1bb4…
10-31 20:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x588b0b…
10-31 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x80de01…
10-31 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe17bd3…
10-31 19:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x67c97d…
10-31 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa28327…
10-31 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4c2f78…
10-31 18:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd77ef8…
10-31 18:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0f5458…
10-31 18:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5c4b72…
10-31 17:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe69468…
10-31 17:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x95d3b5…
10-31 17:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb02d57…
10-31 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb7e374…
10-31 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa38b29…
10-31 16:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6415c8…
10-31 16:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x265392…
10-31 16:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x595189…
10-31 15:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0f4c09…
10-31 15:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1531aa…
10-31 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd06736…
10-31 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a963d…
10-31 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3a091e…
10-31 14:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3858b6…
10-31 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x65f260…
10-31 14:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x996920…
10-31 13:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdb477b…
10-31 13:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc49366…
10-31 13:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x75c7d6…
10-31 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x04c3b9…
10-31 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xea9e8b…
10-31 12:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xda7961…
10-31 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4ee66c…
10-31 12:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa42a36…
10-31 11:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x330e7b…
10-31 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x35c287…
10-31 11:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x60b4b3…
10-31 11:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0d4ddf…
10-31 10:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x06d311…
10-31 10:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3350e6…
10-31 10:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc55f9…
10-31 10:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xbe3181…
10-31 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe751e6…
10-31 09:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x51e4ac…
10-31 09:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4d1627…
10-31 09:07:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0d51a1…
10-31 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9cb8d9…
10-31 08:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9b6c1f…
10-31 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x41f23e…
10-31 08:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdff908…
10-31 07:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6f1e3a…
10-31 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4cbbbb…
10-31 07:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7010db…
10-31 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x311c7a…
10-31 06:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xdfae8f…
10-31 06:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x950736…
10-31 06:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x534f9e…
10-31 06:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9db095…
10-31 05:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd851fc…
10-31 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd3a924…
10-31 05:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4caaa6…
10-31 05:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa83992…
10-31 04:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfcc014…
10-31 04:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd06bb4…
10-31 04:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8c21ec…
10-31 04:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7511d6…
10-31 03:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x689d7f…
10-31 03:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9e936e…
10-31 03:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x023a2a…
10-31 03:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa9068a…