Clumsy-Moat-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$350

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-30 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 34% $-31

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$31	43	29	+14	Up	+$14	05-05 00:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$27	9,242	0	+9,242	open	—	04-30 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$22	15	13	+2	Up	+$2	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$17	212	12	+200	Up	+$1	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$14	103	103	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	5	$14	12	10	+2	Up	+$4	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$12	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$10	110	9	+101	Up	$-2	05-07 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$8	206	4	+202	Up	$-1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$8	206	2	+204	Up	$-4	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$8	10	6	+4	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$8	71	4	+67	Down	+$0	05-05 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$8	31	0	+31	open	—	05-30 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$7	29	0	+29	Down	$-7	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$6	7	5	+2	Up	+$3	05-07 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$6	8	4	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$6	52	2	+50	Down	$-2	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$6	27	2	+25	Down	$-2	05-05 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$6	160	0	+160	Down	$-6	05-05 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$6	6	2	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$6	9	7	+2	Down	$-0	05-07 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-05 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$5	7	2	+5	Down	$-0	05-07 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$4	26	0	+26	Up	$-4	05-05 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$4	57	0	+57	Down	$-4	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$4	205	0	+205	Up	$-4	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$4	28	0	+28	Up	$-1	05-05 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x670f12…
05-07 09:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1ee84f…
05-07 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbc3c8a…
05-07 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7956c5…
05-07 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc0b749…
05-07 09:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc920f8…
05-07 09:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbe92f2…
05-07 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5318b2…
05-07 09:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa5d133…
05-07 09:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac05e2…
05-07 09:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf6742f…
05-07 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x233cea…
05-07 09:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$3	0x1f82ee…
05-07 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd1dec3…
05-07 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xa92d30…
05-07 09:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd06ccc…
05-07 09:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb79fec…
05-07 09:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x23287b…
05-07 09:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae5507…
05-07 09:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x54645d…
05-07 08:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x69d4e4…
05-07 08:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa92191…
05-07 08:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdf3d2d…
05-07 08:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xea98e0…
05-07 08:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4b5742…
05-07 08:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x285d05…
05-07 08:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe69b76…
05-07 08:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbbf09c…
05-07 08:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa20916…
05-07 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9021c2…
05-07 08:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1b9e46…
05-07 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x40fba0…
05-07 08:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x0e368c…
05-07 08:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x646cd9…
05-07 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb79fee…
05-07 08:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12da70…
05-07 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdf2181…
05-07 08:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x798e92…
05-07 08:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa041f7…
05-07 08:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x064052…
05-07 08:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x19fe58…
05-07 08:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xabf7fa…
05-07 08:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4de7d9…
05-07 08:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0c6933…
05-07 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x702ed8…
05-07 08:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8af956…
05-07 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x498f5c…
05-05 03:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5ff44a…
05-05 03:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8d8eef…
05-05 03:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xacd640…
05-05 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8c83f1…
05-05 03:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xf0e013…
05-05 03:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0684db…
05-05 03:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xaffdc6…
05-05 03:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0f58a5…
05-05 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0860ea…
05-05 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa7575c…
05-05 03:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x45e1de…
05-05 03:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x63adf5…
05-05 03:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2edec9…
05-05 03:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x59220c…
05-05 03:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc59174…
05-05 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc396dd…
05-05 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb71549…
05-05 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xb180ed…
05-05 02:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4a295b…
05-05 02:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf48d81…
05-05 02:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x21cd73…
05-05 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x52aeb5…
05-05 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x287aff…
05-05 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3bc4ef…
05-05 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7ac316…
05-05 02:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x84d9c3…
05-05 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x92e28c…
05-05 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xedc1b3…
05-05 02:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdfa942…
05-05 02:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xdb888a…
05-05 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x6abaca…
05-05 02:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x186355…
05-05 02:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x603ffa…
05-05 02:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xff20a1…
05-05 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xde7fe8…
05-05 02:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x64128a…
05-05 02:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xda69c2…
05-05 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfb214f…
05-05 02:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x68c8d4…
05-05 02:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0835d8…
05-05 02:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x73c8d6…
05-05 02:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xeecbf4…
05-05 02:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x25390e…
05-05 02:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xe4ad2e…
05-05 02:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x74d0a1…
05-05 02:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x68df83…
05-05 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x35588f…
05-05 02:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x8d0cbe…
05-05 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe07c47…
05-05 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc77145…
05-05 01:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6a1c2c…
05-05 01:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x55f121…
05-05 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3d2b42…