Warm-Reaction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$371

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

186

Trades

4,279

lifetime

Volume

$58.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-06 05:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-370

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 1047 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776866400	25	$375	744	+744	open	—	04-22 14:03
btc updown 5m 1776864600	25	$375	722	+722	open	—	04-22 13:34
btc updown 5m 1776951300	24	$360	720	+720	open	—	04-23 13:39
btc updown 5m 1776968400	21	$315	600	+600	open	—	04-23 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776872400	21	$315	596	+596	open	—	04-22 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776870900	19	$285	562	+562	open	—	04-22 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776868500	19	$285	559	+559	open	—	04-22 14:38
btc updown 5m 1776865800	18	$270	533	+533	open	—	04-22 13:52
btc updown 5m 1776865500	18	$270	530	+530	open	—	04-22 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776974100	18	$270	481	+481	open	—	04-23 19:59
btc updown 5m 1776951000	17	$255	539	+539	open	—	04-23 13:34
btc updown 5m 1776965100	17	$255	479	+479	open	—	04-23 17:29
btc updown 5m 1776867900	17	$255	490	+490	open	—	04-22 14:29
btc updown 5m 1776970800	17	$255	535	+535	open	—	04-23 19:04
btc updown 5m 1776863100	17	$255	520	+520	open	—	04-22 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776968100	15	$225	425	+425	open	—	04-23 18:18
btc updown 5m 1776873600	15	$225	475	+475	open	—	04-22 16:03
btc updown 5m 1776884700	15	$225	438	+438	open	—	04-22 19:08
btc updown 5m 1776860100	15	$225	469	+469	open	—	04-22 12:19
btc updown 5m 1777038300	15	$225	432	+432	open	—	04-24 13:47
btc updown 5m 1776865200	15	$225	434	+434	open	—	04-22 13:41
btc updown 5m 1776953100	15	$225	437	+437	open	—	04-23 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776969600	15	$225	424	+424	open	—	04-23 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	14	$210	392	+392	open	—	04-27 03:24
btc updown 5m 1776963300	14	$210	413	+413	open	—	04-23 16:59
btc updown 5m 1776956700	14	$210	416	+416	open	—	04-23 15:09
btc updown 5m 1777037700	14	$210	394	+394	open	—	04-24 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	14	$210	370	+370	open	—	04-27 02:39
btc updown 5m 1776877500	13	$195	369	+369	open	—	04-22 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776870300	13	$195	382	+382	open	—	04-22 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x5d136b…
05-06 05:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf46a7b…
05-06 05:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0xb29c62…
05-06 05:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xdb911f…
05-06 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xbdde38…
05-06 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x3c2408…
05-06 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x5f56c1…
05-06 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xb77868…
05-06 05:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8ea89c…
05-06 05:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6da807…
05-06 05:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x403857…
05-06 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4c07e7…
05-06 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x1e2b12…
05-06 04:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0xfd2f33…
05-06 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x0e32e7…
05-06 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x391d2e…
05-06 04:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x58ddc3…
05-06 04:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xee2e00…
05-06 04:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4a2864…
05-06 04:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x1a192d…
05-06 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xdc4fad…
05-06 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xa9f514…
05-06 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	26¢	$17	0xc1a3ef…
05-06 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x87d3de…
05-06 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3fc56b…
05-06 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x151b8b…
05-06 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x0b4f6d…
05-06 03:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xcea8eb…
05-06 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x495c11…
05-06 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0x193c38…
05-06 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb3ce16…
05-06 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x140cfe…
05-06 03:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	54¢	$33	0xa33ebc…
05-06 03:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xce9211…
05-06 03:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xcb90cf…
05-06 03:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x49ede9…
05-06 03:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0x4699a6…
05-06 03:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x9c4eae…
05-06 03:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x98243f…
05-06 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xcc7a81…
05-06 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x832ecd…
05-06 03:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x31a78f…
05-06 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x60f6cb…
05-06 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xe58bd0…
05-06 03:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x115cce…
05-06 02:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xa9080b…
05-06 02:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	50¢	$31	0xf7a3d6…
05-06 02:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xe8b7bf…
05-06 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4beb29…
05-06 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3cb938…
05-06 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2f0739…
05-06 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x2c7398…
05-06 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1040b1…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xf4ed31…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe52d79…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbd562d…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x82abbd…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x7598a0…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6380ea…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1099bd…
05-06 02:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0c9ce3…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xe7ec23…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0xc6ed36…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xbf0884…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x558611…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x32687c…
05-06 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x307e57…
05-06 01:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x5333f5…
05-06 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$29	0x4080b1…
05-06 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa5c31a…
05-06 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9eede2…
05-06 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6db374…
05-06 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x258c11…
05-06 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa87361…
05-06 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x554264…
05-06 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4fbc39…
05-06 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x130387…
05-06 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd8d9b9…
05-06 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5b56b…
05-06 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x311f17…
05-06 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xad3b90…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xff5248…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa7d621…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x82a7be…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x530a10…
05-06 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0e257b…
05-06 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0x43a141…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb0c2ac…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xacf7b0…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3f7650…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x2c64cb…
05-06 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x20a6d7…
05-06 00:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0xc06194…
05-06 00:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x75ebda…
05-06 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xdafa3a…
05-06 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9e4348…
05-06 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x368d01…
05-06 00:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x220009…
05-06 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xe1236e…
05-06 00:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc2e342…