Warm-Reaction — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved (90d)

31

Trades (90d)

53

53 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$920

$920 lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$45	85	+85	Down	+$15	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$45	67	+67	Up	$-3	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$45	75	+75	Up	+$5	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$34	61	+61	open	—	05-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$33	61	+61	open	—	05-05 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$32	61	+61	open	—	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$32	60	+60	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$32	61	+61	open	—	05-05 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$30	1,834	+1,834	Up	$-30	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$30	56	+56	Down	$-3	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$30	41	+41	Down	$-15	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$30	44	+44	Down	+$14	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$30	32	+32	Up	+$2	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$30	51	+51	Down	$-15	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$30	37	+37	Up	+$7	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$30	38	+38	Down	+$8	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$29	61	+61	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$27	62	+62	open	—	05-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$26	63	+63	open	—	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$15	31	+31	Down	$-15	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$15	22	+22	Up	$-15	05-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$15	27	+27	Down	$-15	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$15	24	+24	Down	+$9	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$15	24	+24	Down	+$9	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$15	24	+24	Up	+$9	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$15	21	+21	Up	+$6	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$15	25	+25	Down	+$10	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$15	25	+25	Down	+$10	05-05 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	42¢	$26	0x084575…
05-05 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x7e22c9…
05-05 14:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0x0459b5…
05-05 10:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x1569e0…
05-05 10:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0x10fa80…
05-05 09:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0xa8ec8a…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0x275548…
05-05 07:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	54¢	$33	0xe28d6d…
05-05 04:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4a17cb…
05-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xa87de7…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbe0e8d…
05-05 04:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x92c471…
05-05 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc026f9…
05-05 04:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x436b89…
05-05 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x908635…
05-05 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc3f73b…
05-05 03:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x17deb4…
05-05 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x9f58fc…
05-05 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x0c85c7…
05-05 03:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x4794a4…
05-05 03:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0x86154b…
05-05 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	334	4¢	$15	0x6eba18…
05-05 02:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xc6a6bb…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf2c712…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xfc3da6…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xf03bd8…
05-05 01:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x898ba2…
05-05 01:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xd9b472…
05-05 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9f5767…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8e9365…
05-05 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x30330c…
05-05 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x504d1f…
05-05 01:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xaccc99…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x244e40…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc31d40…
05-05 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x776b2b…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x3fc85f…
05-05 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x007596…
05-05 01:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xf1d787…
05-05 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x87e90a…
05-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xbe54b3…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x7362d8…
05-05 00:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x927759…
05-05 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xce7f95…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe71e8d…
05-05 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x04ad32…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x8e3d31…
05-04 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xad56e5…
05-04 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5de451…
05-04 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x26f892…
05-04 22:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x625ca4…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x5da6d5…
05-04 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x1d38c9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Internal-Psychology 0xa511…0384	37	$887	52	05-05 15:22
Gleeful-Alpenhorn 0xebec…de62	35	$845	51	05-05 14:02
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	33	$7.18K	170	05-05 15:22
Overdue-Insomnia 0x265c…ca31	33	$789	48	05-05 14:02
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	32	$3.70K	127	05-05 07:10
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	26	$1.92K	136	05-05 04:30
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$1.86K	136	05-05 04:30
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	26	$1.04K	83	05-05 15:29

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