Informal-Couch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-06 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

35% — —

Crypto

31% — —

Politics

28% 67% +$5

Tech

6% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	2	$137	82	82	+0	open	—	07-06 02:03
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	4	$135	77	77	+0	open	—	07-02 12:30
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	2	$132	76	76	+0	open	—	07-06 02:03
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	3	$124	81	81	+0	open	—	07-03 15:56
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	3	$122	75	75	+0	open	—	07-02 14:20
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	5	$122	67	67	+0	open	—	06-22 15:13
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	3	$117	74	74	+0	open	—	07-06 02:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	4	$114	70	70	+0	open	—	06-25 08:29
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	6	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	06-29 22:53
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$93	60	60	+0	open	—	06-07 21:03
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	4	$86	52	52	+0	open	—	06-10 09:33
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$85	49	49	+0	open	—	06-22 14:02
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	5	$84	48	48	+0	open	—	06-27 12:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$84	47	47	+0	No	+$4	05-07 10:02
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	5	$81	45	45	+0	open	—	06-26 22:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$81	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 19:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$79	51	51	+0	open	—	06-14 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$77	48	48	-0	open	—	05-25 17:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	6	$74	44	44	+0	open	—	06-01 00:40
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	06-24 00:38
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	3	$63	35	35	+0	open	—	06-22 17:39
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	06-22 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$63	38	38	+0	open	—	06-12 10:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$62	36	36	+0	open	—	04-23 18:20
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	5	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	05-04 13:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$61	68	0	+68	open	—	06-22 00:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$61	37	37	+0	open	—	05-29 00:10
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	2	$61	34	34	+0	open	—	06-24 00:38
us x china tariff agreement by june 30	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	06-25 10:01
over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	1	$61	68	0	+68	open	—	07-01 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:04:01	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x9c9fb0…
07-06 02:03:58	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x80257f…
07-06 02:03:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x064e6f…
07-06 02:03:46	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	Yes	SELL	74	71¢	$52	0xc9d02f…
07-06 02:03:41	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	76	89¢	$68	0x801347…
07-06 02:03:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	No	SELL	82	88¢	$72	0x642c01…
07-03 16:01:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	76	84¢	$64	0xaf5e4b…
07-03 15:56:28	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x0945a8…
07-03 15:56:22	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	81	74¢	$60	0xec7f0f…
07-02 18:01:13	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0x54e1bc…
07-02 15:01:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026	No	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0xf3a721…
07-02 14:20:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	75	79¢	$59	0x630e21…
07-02 12:30:04	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9d426b…
07-02 12:01:05	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	Yes	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0xa38ee3…
07-02 12:01:05	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x26be4d…
07-02 11:10:43	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	77	93¢	$72	0x258bba…
07-02 01:41:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xa1ad5e…
07-02 00:01:17	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0xfda147…
07-02 00:01:14	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	59	82¢	$48	0xfdc397…
07-02 00:01:14	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xc0f333…
07-01 06:10:49	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x4ffe7d…
07-01 01:01:08	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	BUY	68	90¢	$61	0x6ed7a9…
06-30 22:02:25	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	27	92¢	$24	0x9c3f7c…
06-30 15:12:05	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x50bbf1…
06-30 14:25:23	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xff9626…
06-30 14:25:19	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xdd447b…
06-30 00:41:14	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x569b0e…
06-29 23:45:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeebb79…
06-29 23:45:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5243a5…
06-29 23:03:55	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x2e79e9…
06-29 22:53:38	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x9ec2df…
06-29 18:01:20	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x0b1f6e…
06-29 03:50:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0x0b619a…
06-28 10:01:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb5cada…
06-28 09:27:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$24	0xd27fd5…
06-28 08:01:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x63e912…
06-28 07:14:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0xa2ce0f…
06-28 06:57:10	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xb5d6b4…
06-28 05:01:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x310554…
06-28 04:08:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x23dd34…
06-27 21:01:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x36b707…
06-27 20:09:11	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x59a4a0…
06-27 20:08:38	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xfe55c6…
06-27 20:01:31	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x4a12eb…
06-27 13:44:44	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xb1cbd7…
06-27 13:02:50	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xfc2aa5…
06-27 13:02:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xac8133…
06-27 12:09:13	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x8a58bf…
06-27 12:03:10	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xee8352…
06-27 11:52:19	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd83853…
06-27 11:09:25	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x84bfb9…
06-26 22:00:11	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xcfac9c…
06-26 18:01:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x34f53e…
06-26 18:00:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xf2eb2a…
06-26 17:01:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x7291aa…
06-26 12:01:08	bitcoin above 56k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	32	83¢	$26	0xea6a97…
06-26 11:49:29	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xe4203e…
06-26 11:11:02	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	32	78¢	$25	0x0cfb47…
06-26 10:35:07	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x903154…
06-26 08:01:10	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$27	0x8052ef…
06-26 08:01:07	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x8a6826…
06-26 07:15:52	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x828372…
06-25 15:01:55	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xda14ce…
06-25 14:02:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	31	21¢	$6	0x4c6e72…
06-25 12:01:14	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0xb8a581…
06-25 11:13:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x44a28d…
06-25 11:01:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x82ea7c…
06-25 11:01:56	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xef8763…
06-25 11:01:53	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xe95e8f…
06-25 10:01:46	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x9c83bb…
06-25 10:00:29	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	30	97¢	$30	0x41474c…
06-25 08:29:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	34	75¢	$25	0xe3d013…
06-24 23:01:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0xc75143…
06-24 20:01:46	ethereum above 1500 on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x593151…
06-24 20:01:40	ethereum above 1500 on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xe4ddff…
06-24 18:20:11	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0x9e3710…
06-24 18:01:17	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$27	0x3852ae…
06-24 17:01:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x6e8ba1…
06-24 17:01:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x20b710…
06-24 17:01:26	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0xab60eb…
06-24 16:14:10	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0x585c75…
06-24 16:13:10	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x1e5c34…
06-24 16:12:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0xc8d276…
06-24 12:01:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xfeb4ab…
06-24 11:01:11	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x9d24df…
06-24 03:01:14	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0x3bb303…
06-24 00:39:31	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x2de804…
06-24 00:38:52	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x713f3e…
06-24 00:38:37	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xc7557e…
06-24 00:38:23	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc44cbf…
06-24 00:29:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x085412…
06-24 00:03:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x224a55…
06-23 17:01:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x17851d…
06-23 09:01:02	ethereum above 1500 on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaa1b2c…
06-23 09:00:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xf773fd…
06-23 08:34:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	26	86¢	$23	0x2d1bb5…
06-23 08:34:07	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0x201966…
06-23 08:11:01	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x94cdf9…
06-23 08:03:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$9	0x42d316…
06-23 08:03:07	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	32	77¢	$25	0x43071c…