Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-12 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

81% 35% -$57

Politics

16% — —

Tech

3% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	4	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	10-11 01:50
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	3	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	10-10 22:40
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	4	$97	104	104	+0	No	-$1	10-12 09:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	6	$82	103	100	+3	No	-$2	10-11 17:07
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	5	$77	96	95	+1	Yes	-$7	10-12 17:29
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	2	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	10-10 13:48
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	2	$62	50	49	+1	Yes	-$1	10-12 02:07
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	4	$50	43	76	-33	open	—	10-09 23:34
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	2	$47	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 14:18
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	5	$40	60	60	+0	No	+$1	10-10 00:20
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$40	32	32	+0	No	+$1	10-09 09:36
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	3	$38	65	65	+0	No	-$2	10-11 22:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$38	71	71	+0	open	—	10-12 18:44
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	3	$37	108	105	+3	Yes	-$5	10-11 12:00
Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	3	$37	117	117	+0	open	—	10-12 18:00
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	3	$36	31	31	+0	Yes	-$3	10-10 19:33
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	4	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	10-10 21:11
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	3	$35	32	31	+1	Yes	-$3	10-11 11:42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	4	$35	68	68	+0	open	—	10-11 21:55
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	5	$32	105	105	+0	No	-$8	10-11 18:54
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in October?	3	$31	24	24	+0	Yes	-$7	10-09 19:54
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	4	$30	60	60	+0	open	—	10-09 14:31
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-09 10:57
Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$28	19	18	+1	No	+$3	10-09 21:54
Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$26	44	44	+0	No	-$13	10-10 23:25
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	3	$24	86	86	+0	No	-$15	10-12 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 18:44:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	71	25¢	$18	0x1384cc…
10-12 18:00:24	Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0x19d58a…
10-12 17:30:06	Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0x421d8b…
10-12 17:29:54	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0x06ba15…
10-12 16:32:27	Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x3a2ade…
10-12 14:57:14	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x281f48…
10-12 14:51:50	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x532fc7…
10-12 14:51:26	Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0xfed17e…
10-12 14:46:51	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x3b6b6e…
10-12 14:44:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x12f388…
10-12 14:17:03	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	46	38¢	$18	0xdcef71…
10-12 09:19:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0xcef352…
10-12 06:16:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x8b5bf4…
10-12 02:07:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	62¢	$30	0xe56434…
10-12 02:03:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xd14609…
10-11 22:00:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x09a39f…
10-11 21:55:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0xb72827…
10-11 21:55:41	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0x0d6e93…
10-11 19:26:16	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xe2c49c…
10-11 19:26:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x65edbf…
10-11 18:54:04	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0xdaf45c…
10-11 17:21:12	military action against saudi oil pipeline east west by october 15	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xf992ea…
10-11 17:07:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x062a15…
10-11 14:18:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x48b8b9…
10-11 12:00:49	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	105	14¢	$15	0x19ae1f…
10-11 11:42:26	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x16f244…
10-11 11:38:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x94815c…
10-11 09:39:24	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa64613…
10-11 09:00:22	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xd05c8d…
10-11 08:09:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0304ae…
10-11 06:59:20	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x38813d…
10-11 06:44:15	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?	Yes	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0x5440ea…
10-11 01:50:32	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x5332f4…
10-11 01:13:23	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x88ccb1…
10-11 01:13:23	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x464f77…
10-11 01:13:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe7029b…
10-10 23:25:33	Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	44	15¢	$7	0x333e52…
10-10 22:40:42	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x9bdae3…
10-10 22:30:37	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x58caf4…
10-10 22:28:49	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x8908e0…
10-10 21:11:12	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x6065b7…
10-10 19:59:18	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x656d91…
10-10 19:58:15	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xdce738…
10-10 19:33:10	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x7a8cd7…
10-10 19:30:03	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x0078c9…
10-10 19:29:39	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x6642cf…
10-10 19:01:48	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x72a5b7…
10-10 18:44:30	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xc0b9ca…
10-10 15:48:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xca9050…
10-10 13:48:36	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xe4ace9…
10-10 00:20:56	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x342da5…
10-09 23:34:16	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x33c284…
10-09 23:19:37	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xec240f…
10-09 23:17:08	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0xcd2e75…
10-09 22:00:50	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1f0755…
10-09 21:54:43	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x3296a0…
10-09 19:54:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x3e5f8b…
10-09 19:53:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x11cad6…
10-09 19:50:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc6c7a6…
10-09 19:50:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x2e3853…
10-09 19:16:26	will other mommy score at least 20 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xc5f955…
10-09 19:06:19	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0x83b7a8…
10-09 19:01:53	Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x136bbc…
10-09 18:15:55	will the social reckoning score at least 58 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xea18d9…
10-09 17:21:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x99dae6…
10-09 16:56:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xe130d1…
10-09 15:19:15	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xf2b377…
10-09 14:44:04	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x472979…
10-09 14:44:03	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xecc90d…
10-09 14:43:49	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x6049af…
10-09 14:33:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x349d52…
10-09 14:31:15	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xbca1cf…
10-09 14:28:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x2e00ff…
10-09 14:28:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x082cb7…
10-09 12:07:31	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0xd1bd3e…
10-09 11:06:40	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x891407…
10-09 11:00:22	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x64313c…
10-09 10:57:55	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xa3e15e…
10-09 10:57:21	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x38727d…
10-09 10:15:06	Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x0f17fb…
10-09 09:36:00	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xf43551…
10-09 09:35:37	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x224459…
10-08 21:57:48	Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xeaf218…
10-08 21:46:44	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xb1039e…
10-08 21:45:42	Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3f4164…