Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,497
lifetime
Volume
$475.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$318
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 04-10 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
72%
50%
$-63
Other
20%
—
—
Crypto
8%
—
—
Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 91 | $50.7K | 34,121 | 35,521 | -1,400 | open | — | 03-26 20:25 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 82 | $47.9K | 29,932 | 30,132 | -200 | open | — | 04-04 04:22 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 173 | $44.1K | 24,882 | 24,996 | -114 | open | — | 03-09 14:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 129 | $33.2K | 48,300 | 16,331 | +31,969 | open | — | 04-06 02:25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 179 | $31.1K | 59,901 | 9,600 | +50,301 | open | — | 04-06 13:36 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 44 | $28.5K | 33,316 | 33,316 | +0 | open | — | 04-07 23:19 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026 | 92 | $20.5K | 26,809 | 25,542 | +1,267 | open | — | 03-24 18:05 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 73 | $18.7K | 21,946 | 18,141 | +3,805 | open | — | 03-31 23:11 |
| will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31 | 26 | $16.6K | 6,946 | 12,849 | -5,903 | open | — | 03-23 11:42 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 40 | $16.4K | 9,582 | 9,788 | -206 | open | — | 03-23 12:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 77 | $14.8K | 9,514 | 8,614 | +900 | open | — | 03-09 12:01 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 34 | $12.0K | 12,674 | 12,534 | +141 | open | — | 03-28 18:11 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773 | 47 | $10.7K | 5,178 | 7,629 | -2,451 | open | — | 03-29 02:47 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 25 | $10.4K | 23,967 | 18,966 | +5,000 | open | — | 03-25 00:44 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 29 | $9.1K | 8,683 | 8,683 | +0 | open | — | 03-21 11:46 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 10 | $6.9K | 13,951 | 0 | +13,951 | open | — | 02-27 17:46 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026 | 12 | $6.8K | 4,429 | 4,429 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 01:59 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 14 | $6.6K | 5,096 | 5,096 | +0 | open | — | 03-13 21:10 |
| mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31 | 6 | $5.3K | 4,188 | 4,188 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 01:11 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 12 | $5.0K | 8,426 | 0 | +8,426 | open | — | 02-27 13:11 |
| mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13 | 3 | $4.9K | 2,919 | 2,919 | +0 | open | — | 03-13 15:28 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | 28 | $4.8K | 7,456 | 4,461 | +2,995 | open | — | 02-27 16:40 |
| mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16 | 9 | $4.6K | 5,528 | 719 | +4,809 | open | — | 03-12 12:47 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 7 | $4.5K | 3,665 | 3,665 | +0 | open | — | 03-06 00:16 |
| will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026 | 7 | $4.3K | 9,776 | 9,776 | +0 | open | — | 03-15 22:44 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 8 | $4.0K | 12,371 | 1,006 | +11,365 | open | — | 03-01 01:55 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 8 | $3.4K | 2,240 | 2,240 | +0 | open | — | 03-24 20:21 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 6 | $3.4K | 4,511 | 4,511 | +0 | Yes | +$3 | 03-06 20:50 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026 | 2 | $2.8K | 21,250 | 21,250 | +0 | open | — | 03-15 22:44 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397 | 9 | $2.8K | 1,610 | 1,610 | +0 | open | — | 03-23 01:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||