Bright-Avalanche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.8%

Resolved

Trades

366

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-19 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 33% $-27

Politics

27% 0% $-3

Other

26% 0% $-5

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	5	$414	1,917	1,917	+0	open	—	07-14 16:33
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$393	1,180	1,180	+0	open	—	07-14 18:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$293	12,500	12,500	+0	open	—	07-19 17:48
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$186	2,124	2,124	+0	open	—	07-14 17:24
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	3	$102	633	633	+0	open	—	07-09 17:09
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	6	$90	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	07-19 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	7	$75	104	63	+42	open	—	05-29 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	8	$64	120	62	+57	open	—	05-27 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	11	$58	93	60	+33	open	—	05-27 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	10	$57	52	52	+0	open	—	05-27 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	8	$56	55	42	+13	open	—	05-29 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	8	$55	100	68	+32	open	—	05-29 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	8	$52	104	97	+8	open	—	05-27 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$51	159	34	+125	open	—	05-29 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$47	135	35	+100	open	—	05-27 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	9	$45	56	36	+19	open	—	05-27 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	9	$43	63	18	+45	open	—	05-29 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$43	60	26	+34	open	—	06-02 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	8	$42	49	49	+0	open	—	05-26 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	7	$40	71	17	+54	open	—	05-29 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$40	37	37	+0	open	—	05-29 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$35	60	15	+45	open	—	05-29 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$34	38	30	+8	open	—	05-29 17:59
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	05-25 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	6	$30	139	16	+123	open	—	05-29 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$30	46	18	+29	open	—	05-25 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	6	$24	48	0	+48	open	—	05-27 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$24	96	23	+73	open	—	05-26 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$24	61	24	+37	open	—	05-27 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$21	75	0	+75	open	—	06-02 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:40:01	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	577	3¢	$17	0x5334c6…
07-19 21:29:46	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4da1f6…
07-19 21:27:22	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x59632c…
07-19 21:24:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7a6f22…
07-19 21:09:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x582daf…
07-19 21:09:33	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd2c31…
07-19 20:50:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x1b213f…
07-19 20:48:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xd2c154…
07-19 20:47:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6da60f…
07-19 20:09:36	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x99bbb4…
07-19 20:06:24	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2ecde3…
07-19 18:40:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf85a72…
07-19 18:26:57	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc21438…
07-19 17:51:55	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0xc2ccb7…
07-19 17:48:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4,500	1¢	$54	0xb2880f…
07-19 17:43:10	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	750	3¢	$23	0xb53dc2…
07-19 17:42:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7,500	1¢	$85	0x4e0e59…
07-16 19:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12,000	1¢	$120	0xba19ab…
07-14 20:23:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0x70966b…
07-14 18:14:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	562	27¢	$152	0xef959e…
07-14 17:24:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2,124	3¢	$71	0xd74e18…
07-14 16:41:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	188	28¢	$53	0x6e1c13…
07-14 16:33:47	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	658	17¢	$112	0xf08007…
07-10 11:31:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x2f8de1…
07-10 11:30:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	658	13¢	$86	0x3d0cbd…
07-09 17:17:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x5cfb88…
07-09 17:12:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0xf8b3f2…
07-09 17:09:56	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	633	6¢	$41	0x0eeb85…
07-08 17:42:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	112	10¢	$11	0x573ef7…
07-08 17:41:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	521	10¢	$50	0xb9ae23…
07-08 17:39:25	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	658	3¢	$20	0xbaf00d…
07-08 17:39:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0x3b05a3…
07-08 17:39:16	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	774	3¢	$20	0x2514ec…
07-08 17:39:01	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	350	19¢	$66	0x93afe9…
07-08 17:38:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	180	20¢	$37	0x9d49c1…
07-07 16:43:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	2,124	5¢	$115	0x7dd13f…
07-07 16:42:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	1,180	10¢	$115	0x2dbdd9…
07-07 16:42:26	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	1,917	6¢	$115	0x0515db…
07-01 17:47:56	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xc729c3…
06-21 18:02:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x1e3502…
06-21 18:02:13	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf84a22…
06-21 17:57:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc25c25…
06-21 17:54:04	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x08f8c3…
06-21 17:52:50	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2945b8…
06-21 17:50:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf1d031…
06-21 17:47:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x579e44…
06-06 07:19:58	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xfd821e…
06-06 07:19:24	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x066e34…
06-06 07:15:30	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5143b5…
06-06 07:15:00	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4195fd…
06-06 07:12:09	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe7eba…
06-02 16:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1121c…
06-02 16:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bbf59…
06-02 16:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x9d14c1…
06-02 16:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xac1b5a…
06-02 16:47:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0a7929…
06-02 16:46:03	Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x772fdf…
06-02 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x0f6a76…
06-02 16:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf8a56b…
06-02 16:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc75983…
06-02 16:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4bcafb…
06-02 16:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x0e784c…
06-02 16:41:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce62d1…
05-30 05:51:28	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd56e7d…
05-30 05:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x47b610…
05-30 05:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x4594ff…
05-30 05:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf8f882…
05-30 05:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d9177…
05-30 05:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0cd316…
05-29 21:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xe02d03…
05-29 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd599b3…
05-29 21:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4ed27b…
05-29 21:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3f0b64…
05-29 21:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xb21b8f…
05-29 21:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36bbcf…
05-29 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf2a895…
05-29 21:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0xbc3a25…
05-29 21:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x240968…
05-29 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x57ec65…
05-29 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3244e4…
05-29 21:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2fd6cb…
05-29 21:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x85ee8d…
05-29 20:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x58c22d…
05-29 20:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x05b30b…
05-29 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0xfe40dd…
05-29 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0aab35…
05-29 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xabc19c…
05-29 20:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xc4b571…
05-29 20:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x344c60…
05-29 20:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6e38a7…
05-29 18:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xaaa5cd…
05-29 18:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2a26e5…
05-29 18:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xba6b81…
05-29 18:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5a6ebe…
05-29 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe3ff98…
05-29 18:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6c9a66…
05-29 18:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x92ab3c…
05-29 18:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x33c41e…
05-29 18:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x914798…
05-29 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x6658ac…