Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$495

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-20 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 83% +$539

Politics

38% 100% +$126

Other

4% 50% -$70

Sports

2% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+309	$49	7¢	$21	-$28	08-20 14:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.0K	615	615	+0	No	+$32	05-16 22:52
megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	4	$740	513	503	+10	Yes	+$5	04-23 15:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$738	520	520	+0	Yes	+$62	02-23 21:29
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$494	407	407	+0	No	+$75	03-19 14:02
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$461	339	339	+0	Yes	+$162	04-29 09:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$337	876	876	+0	No	+$32	05-05 23:30
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$298	320	320	+0	No	+$10	01-17 22:50
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	5	$222	100	351	-251	No	+$150	04-29 09:47
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$198	891	1,194	-303	No	+$73	04-29 14:07
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$162	219	219	+0	Yes	+$22	03-19 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:40 UTC	2	$141	179	0	+179	Up	+$6	02-12 21:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$126	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$96	04-22 11:42
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$100	270	0	+270	No	-$100	02-24 16:48
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$88	265	265	+0	No	+$8	01-09 10:10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$86	130	130	+0	No	+$26	05-06 20:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:20 UTC	3	$49	50	50	+0	Up	+$11	02-12 22:23
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$49	309	0	+309	open	—	08-20 14:38
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$45	167	167	+0	Yes	+$5	03-19 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC	2	$29	42	41	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:10 UTC	2	$29	43	43	+0	Up	+$9	02-12 22:12
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$21	83	83	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:05 UTC	1	$10	125	0	+125	Down	-$10	02-12 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:25 UTC	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	02-12 21:28
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$5	317	317	+0	No	-$1	04-29 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:15 UTC	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	02-12 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 14:38:25	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	309	16¢	$49	0x25ff39…
05-16 22:52:38	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	615	86¢	$526	0xaf58b3…
05-16 22:33:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	615	80¢	$494	0xbd113d…
05-06 20:01:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	130	43¢	$56	0xb90b3f…
05-06 18:56:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x13f7c2…
05-05 23:30:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	876	21¢	$184	0x96e130…
05-04 18:11:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	15¢	$52	0xff824d…
04-30 13:00:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xdc3b53…
04-29 14:08:08	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	317	1¢	$2	0xb0f73a…
04-29 14:07:56	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	382	2¢	$8	0xaeb461…
04-29 10:16:10	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	152	17¢	$26	0x45399d…
04-29 09:59:42	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	339	92¢	$312	0x9284e6…
04-29 09:49:44	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	132	17¢	$23	0x4af66b…
04-29 09:47:10	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xe2e9cb…
04-29 09:44:22	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	253	53¢	$134	0xb5424b…
04-29 09:43:46	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xe83895…
04-29 09:40:04	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	53¢	$20	0x70026e…
04-29 09:10:00	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	328	15¢	$49	0xc5e2b8…
04-28 21:52:02	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x207ee4…
04-23 21:10:14	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x00ce20…
04-23 19:46:46	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	177	15¢	$27	0xaa852b…
04-23 15:54:48	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	503	73¢	$367	0x96c728…
04-22 12:48:18	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x9f0a83…
04-22 12:47:30	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	310	73¢	$226	0xbd09de…
04-22 12:47:04	megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	190	72¢	$137	0x0dab76…
04-22 12:26:46	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	891	7¢	$62	0xd4e8dd…
04-22 11:42:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$15	0xfe7b7e…
04-12 18:42:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	1,500	4¢	$54	0x060814…
04-12 18:41:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	1,500	4¢	$57	0x7a89ea…
03-23 13:42:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	83	13¢	$11	0x40416b…
03-19 14:03:39	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	167	15¢	$25	0x87730c…
03-19 14:03:27	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	219	42¢	$92	0x30eb1d…
03-19 14:02:01	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	407	70¢	$285	0x2af217…
03-19 13:56:15	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	54¢	$60	0xb7900c…
03-19 13:55:43	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	219	32¢	$70	0x63e86f…
03-19 13:55:13	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x130f9d…
03-19 13:54:59	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	295	51¢	$150	0x37b005…
03-12 18:35:51	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x130383…
02-24 16:48:26	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa1cb68…
02-23 21:29:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	520	77¢	$400	0x244053…
02-18 19:03:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	520	65¢	$338	0xc02e11…
02-15 17:01:37	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xdf0d8d…
02-15 17:00:25	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$3	0x759d7c…
02-12 22:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x12c72e…
02-12 22:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xaa0a4a…
02-12 22:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x2da7ac…
02-12 22:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1f01f9…
02-12 22:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x233ade…
02-12 22:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc9e20b…
02-12 22:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe60639…
02-12 21:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0x0e4d3d…
02-12 21:47:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd52103…
02-12 21:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	147	89¢	$131	0xa393a5…
02-12 21:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc79592…
02-12 21:28:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3b6899…
01-17 22:50:08	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	320	48¢	$154	0xeef163…
01-09 10:10:02	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	197	18¢	$36	0xeffbb7…
01-09 10:03:10	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x18db03…
01-09 09:07:34	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xc6aca9…
01-09 09:00:54	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x16d804…
01-07 20:20:29	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdb3566…
01-07 18:43:51	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	320	45¢	$144	0xbe9f36…
01-06 14:14:23	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x857047…