Fluid-Parchment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$435

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-09 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Sports

29% 0% $-75

Other

24% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$3.1K	1,626	1,626	+0	open	—	02-15 11:28
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$1.6K	1,655	0	+1,655	open	—	02-23 07:16
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1.6K	1,586	0	+1,586	open	—	02-15 11:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.5K	1,583	0	+1,583	open	—	01-15 23:22
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1.0K	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	03-16 09:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$992	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	03-07 11:16
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	1	$984	996	0	+996	open	—	03-04 12:47
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$120	203	0	+203	open	—	05-01 09:29
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 gir	1	$114	279	0	+279	open	—	04-21 05:45
nhl car phi 2026 04 13	1	$114	223	0	+223	open	—	04-13 03:11
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	1	$113	202	0	+202	open	—	05-25 06:39
nba det orl 2026 04 06	1	$108	270	0	+270	open	—	04-05 07:35
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$107	243	0	+243	open	—	05-28 02:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$104	212	0	+212	open	—	05-18 06:35
mlb col oak 2026 06 12	1	$90	141	0	+141	open	—	06-12 06:13
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$75	166	0	+166	Avalanche	$-75	05-11 06:02
mlb phi tor 2026 06 08	1	$73	118	0	+118	open	—	06-08 08:36
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	1	$62	113	0	+113	open	—	04-16 06:09
mlb chc bal 2026 07 09	1	$62	135	0	+135	open	—	07-09 05:43
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$59	62	0	+62	open	—	01-07 07:17
mlb pit hou 2026 06 04	1	$56	110	0	+110	open	—	06-04 06:38
epl che mun 2026 04 18 che	1	$49	112	0	+112	open	—	04-16 06:11
nba cha min 2026 04 05	1	$41	87	0	+87	open	—	04-05 07:34
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	03-16 08:28
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	03-16 08:26
nba mem mil 2026 04 05	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-05 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 05:43:10	mlb chc bal 2026 07 09	Chicago Cubs	BUY	135	46¢	$62	0x060bb6…
06-12 06:13:22	mlb col oak 2026 06 12	Athletics	BUY	141	64¢	$90	0xe28a33…
06-08 08:36:21	mlb phi tor 2026 06 08	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	118	62¢	$73	0x08dd85…
06-04 06:38:15	mlb pit hou 2026 06 04	Houston Astros	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x2a0eb5…
05-28 02:47:37	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	243	44¢	$107	0x48be6b…
05-25 06:39:26	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	202	56¢	$113	0x906de9…
05-18 06:35:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	212	49¢	$104	0xd847bf…
05-11 06:02:34	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	166	45¢	$75	0x0a3f90…
05-01 09:29:28	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	69	59¢	$41	0x687b99…
05-01 09:14:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	134	59¢	$79	0xa6fc36…
04-21 05:45:04	lal gir bet 2026 04 21 gir	Yes	BUY	279	41¢	$114	0x076251…
04-16 06:11:00	epl che mun 2026 04 18 che	Yes	BUY	112	44¢	$49	0xef0593…
04-16 06:09:44	cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	Mumbai Indians	BUY	113	55¢	$62	0xc8b08a…
04-13 03:11:19	nhl car phi 2026 04 13	Flyers	BUY	223	51¢	$114	0x9cabf8…
04-05 07:35:43	nba det orl 2026 04 06	Magic	BUY	270	40¢	$108	0x24c003…
04-05 07:34:15	nba cha min 2026 04 05	Timberwolves	BUY	87	47¢	$41	0x3fcd69…
04-05 07:33:41	nba mem mil 2026 04 05	Grizzlies	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xf85d15…
03-16 09:02:27	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1,085	96¢	$1,047	0x099adf…
03-16 08:28:51	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xa361f5…
03-16 08:26:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf07607…
03-07 11:16:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,090	91¢	$992	0xa0644c…
03-04 12:47:05	lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game4	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	996	99¢	$984	0x024780…
02-23 07:16:30	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	1,655	96¢	$1,586	0x43ec5b…
02-15 11:59:51	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,586	98¢	$1,554	0xdcc14a…
02-15 11:28:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,626	96¢	$1,554	0x43298c…
02-04 08:32:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,626	97¢	$1,583	0x07f99d…
01-15 23:22:52	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,583	95¢	$1,498	0x23d367…
01-07 07:17:53	maduro mugshot released by january 9	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0xf38f67…