Anxious-Cabbage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$46

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$1

Politics

43% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-23	$-23	100¢	$-23	$-0	06-10 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+27	$22	84¢	$23	+$0	06-10 02:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,474	0	+1,474	open	—	04-26 12:18
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	04-29 01:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$502	505	0	+505	open	—	04-29 01:26
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	01-19 01:48
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	04-29 01:25
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$58	39	39	+0	open	—	01-21 03:06
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	2	$52	27	27	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 06:49
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$49	28	28	+0	open	—	04-24 02:49
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	03-15 11:12
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$44	46	46	+1	open	—	04-26 12:18
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$42	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:49
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-11 13:16
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$36	49	0	+49	open	—	01-23 07:25
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$35	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	01-06 02:23
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$32	0	32	-32	open	—	01-01 12:12
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 07:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-09 05:28
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	01-20 08:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	23	-23	open	—	06-10 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	06-10 02:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	02-10 06:58
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-25 07:32
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	01-01 12:12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 02:48
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	01-06 02:24
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	03-09 05:28
will xrp dip to 1pt4 in february 2026	1	$16	19	0	+19	open	—	02-05 07:28
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-15 11:14
will sirt win best sound at the 98th academy awards	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-15 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:17:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$22	0x829e5c…
06-10 02:17:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5dc585…
05-11 13:16:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x0a8f3f…
05-07 06:52:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6841eb…
05-07 06:49:32	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x32b061…
05-07 06:49:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xa63407…
04-29 01:26:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$502	0xb55271…
04-29 01:26:06	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0xa6fc72…
04-29 01:25:12	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xa43ca9…
04-26 12:19:46	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$25	0x8ed717…
04-26 12:19:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xcc9c26…
04-26 12:18:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,474	100¢	$1,470	0xa5ce7c…
04-26 12:18:32	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x2f97ca…
04-24 02:51:16	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x745ca1…
04-24 02:49:24	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x02b245…
04-24 02:48:32	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xa72cc7…
04-24 02:48:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0x93093b…
04-16 07:31:30	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9917dc…
04-14 11:19:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xdd863b…
04-14 08:57:41	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x67968c…
04-07 12:37:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x0f4810…
04-07 12:37:13	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	77¢	$21	0x3b36a2…
03-31 08:26:51	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x13c476…
03-25 07:32:39	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x55e638…
03-15 11:15:33	will sirt win best sound at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x9487fe…
03-15 11:14:37	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x81979d…
03-15 11:12:59	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x35fedd…
03-09 05:29:09	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xec4036…
03-09 05:28:39	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x85f525…
03-09 05:28:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2b7223…
02-28 09:36:41	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x11e02c…
02-28 09:35:23	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xfdcc2b…
02-19 06:01:40	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x18b824…
02-10 06:59:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbe9197…
02-10 06:58:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xf85e21…
02-05 07:28:19	will xrp dip to 1pt4 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0xa48667…
01-23 07:25:28	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x1ae3b8…
01-23 07:25:16	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	49	73¢	$36	0xeb86c4…
01-21 03:07:32	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x104104…
01-21 03:06:12	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	67¢	$26	0x21cd9c…
01-20 08:15:28	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8a6d45…
01-19 01:51:32	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0xb21f95…
01-19 01:48:48	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x482960…
01-06 02:24:43	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xedccc8…
01-06 02:24:15	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xed0578…
01-06 02:23:57	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$35	0xf513c6…
01-01 12:12:39	maduro out by january 31 2026 318	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xf79b39…
01-01 12:12:15	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x74c94e…