Hefty-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 50% +$3

Crypto

43% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes		+47	$2	4¢	$2	$-0	05-12 01:38
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	50¢	$1	$-0	05-06 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbd939f…
05-12 01:38:41	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x21187a…
05-12 01:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd6dae4…
05-06 20:20:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4d791d…
05-06 20:16:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeaa69a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$2	47	+47	open	—	05-12 01:38
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	05-12 01:38
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$1	25	+25	No	$-1	05-06 20:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-06 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 01:43