(anonymous) 0xe283e1…543263
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
107
Trades
339
lifetime
Volume
$2.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$57
15 positions
First seen
2026-08-28
last 10-13 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
82% 35% +$69
Crypto
16% 48% -$60
Politics
2% 20% -$4
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +10 $5 70¢ $7 +$2 08-30 22:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Yes +4,255 $9 0¢ $6 -$2 08-30 22:31
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 10-09 14:34
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-09 14:34
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-09 14:34
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 08-30 22:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 89¢ $5 +$1 10-13 17:22
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +962 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 08-30 22:31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,554 $14 0¢ $4 -$10 08-30 22:31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +14 $5 24¢ $3 -$2 08-30 22:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +10 $4 30¢ $3 -$1 09-17 00:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 29¢ $1 $0 10-08 18:59
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +678 $9 0¢ $1 -$7 08-30 22:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +13 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 10-13 17:22
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? No +8 $1 7¢ $1 -$1 08-30 22:26