Nervous-Object — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$107

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-19 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+110	$107	97¢	$107	$-0	07-19 11:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	06-03 11:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$113	220	110	+110	open	—	07-24 20:48
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-26 20:09
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	04-18 20:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$88	115	5	+110	open	—	06-03 11:52
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$65	65	0	+65	Yes	+$0	05-07 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	05-15 10:27
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-04 10:13
will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	04-12 10:30
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-20 09:43
will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-12 10:31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-27 10:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-07 21:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	05-26 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 10:53
atp cerund nys 2026 04 04	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 10:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-20 09:46
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-19 19:17
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-19 19:19
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 10:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-26 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 10:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 10:54
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-22 19:12
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 10:11
epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 20:44
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$10	105	105	+0	open	—	05-26 10:46
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 20:25
iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	07-18 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 20:48:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0x2443d0…
07-19 11:44:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0xe44337…
07-18 22:13:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdb21c3…
07-18 21:58:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0xb18435…
07-12 21:23:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba4fcc…
07-08 21:14:44	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbbd573…
06-03 11:52:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa5b656…
06-03 11:52:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x35482a…
06-02 21:02:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x0bec0c…
06-02 15:51:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	73¢	$84	0x71ffb9…
05-26 11:25:36	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x27ec2e…
05-26 10:46:23	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0x7c22b0…
05-26 10:44:53	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$6	0x2d03de…
05-26 10:29:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2dd61a…
05-21 22:35:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf6ad37…
05-21 22:33:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x41dae4…
05-15 10:27:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x555495…
05-07 21:29:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2750a…
05-07 21:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x903ad2…
05-07 21:28:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x43b4bd…
04-27 10:54:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x905942…
04-27 10:54:18	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9288bd…
04-27 10:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb43b94…
04-27 10:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x304470…
04-27 10:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfa6e19…
04-21 20:46:38	wti up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6ce0df…
04-21 20:46:28	wti up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x336d34…
04-21 20:46:20	wti up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5a4cd9…
04-21 20:46:12	wti up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8eeb57…
04-21 20:44:08	epl bri che 2026 04 21 bri	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x023ec5…
04-18 20:25:04	New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x56e904…
04-18 20:23:54	New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bbd85…
04-18 20:23:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcba54…
04-18 20:23:14	val mibr loud 2026 04 18	MIBR	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x9b9bd3…
04-18 20:22:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66e100…
04-18 20:22:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 29c	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x2b01c9…
04-12 10:31:13	will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d6377…
04-12 10:30:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 6 12	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x4c8a71…
04-12 10:28:33	lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12	KT Rolster	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9815a7…
04-12 10:28:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa79b44…
04-04 10:14:49	atp cerund nys 2026 04 04	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6fe411…
04-04 10:14:25	atp cerund nys 2026 04 04	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x991d9a…
04-04 10:13:17	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 0 39	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd2055f…
04-04 10:13:03	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf29d59…
04-04 10:11:53	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3eff1…
04-04 10:09:57	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4b2483…
04-04 10:08:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 10c	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd9a84a…
03-29 20:40:50	btc updown 5m 1774816800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x41a8ee…
03-29 20:39:46	will silver si hit high 125 by end of march	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb33367…
03-28 18:52:22	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7a1122…
03-28 18:50:34	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a588c…
03-26 20:09:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x2b321e…
03-22 19:12:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x350156…
03-20 09:46:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe32d74…
03-20 09:43:33	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3fa2ac…
03-20 09:42:41	cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	Texas Tech Red Raiders	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x639fac…
03-19 19:19:55	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe82d1…
03-19 19:18:13	btc updown 5m 1773947700	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbb063b…
03-19 19:17:03	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea863d…
03-19 19:16:09	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xb86d7d…