Gentle-Counterforce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-03 07:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

34% — —

Sports

14% 100% +$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes		+154	$66	42¢	$66	$-1	07-03 07:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$504	255	255	+0	open	—	01-09 06:00
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	1	$494	500	0	+500	open	—	03-19 07:52
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	2	$491	270	270	+0	open	—	01-14 12:34
bitcoin above 86k on january 10	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	01-10 03:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 9	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	01-09 06:18
bitcoin above 88k on january 11	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	01-11 14:23
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$248	0	250	-250	open	—	01-06 03:45
nhl car mon 2026 03 24	3	$116	215	0	+215	open	—	03-23 08:05
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	1	$94	152	0	+152	open	—	07-01 14:45
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	1	$94	200	0	+200	open	—	06-19 15:33
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	1	$92	150	0	+150	open	—	06-20 14:06
mlb hou tor 2026 06 23	1	$84	150	0	+150	open	—	06-23 10:28
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$66	154	0	+154	open	—	07-03 07:08
nba hou nop 2026 03 29	1	$48	70	0	+70	open	—	03-29 07:43
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$38	60	0	+60	Hurricanes	+$22	05-09 06:47
nba mem mil 2026 04 05	1	$37	55	0	+55	open	—	04-05 08:10
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$30	55	0	+55	Sabres	+$25	05-06 06:35
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	1	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	04-22 07:02
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	1	$21	61	0	+61	open	—	06-01 06:06
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$19	45	0	+45	open	—	05-18 07:20
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	06-16 08:01
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 13:20
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$19	35	0	+35	open	—	05-16 07:23
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	1	$16	50	0	+50	open	—	06-14 00:44
nba mil uta 2026 03 19	1	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	03-19 07:40
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	2	$4	250	0	+250	open	—	01-30 03:28
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	2	$4	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 06:13
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	2	$3	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-22 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 07:08:19	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	154	43¢	$66	0x7311f8…
07-01 14:45:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	152	62¢	$94	0x80fd2b…
06-23 10:28:02	mlb hou tor 2026 06 23	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0xda7b2d…
06-20 14:06:20	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	150	61¢	$92	0xa3733a…
06-19 15:33:13	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x423532…
06-16 08:01:07	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xfacdb4…
06-14 00:44:51	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xc26077…
06-09 13:20:01	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xd05348…
06-01 06:06:38	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	BUY	61	35¢	$21	0x2172e4…
05-18 07:20:18	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xc3a065…
05-16 07:23:58	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x3bd635…
05-09 06:47:01	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xb289b9…
05-06 06:35:18	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x7f44b1…
04-22 07:02:30	nhl dal min 2026 04 22	Stars	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x41a8ef…
04-05 08:10:47	nba mem mil 2026 04 05	Bucks	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0x0ceba5…
03-29 07:43:08	nba hou nop 2026 03 29	Rockets	BUY	70	68¢	$48	0xdd4f1e…
03-23 08:05:09	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Hurricanes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xb04e3d…
03-23 08:03:47	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Hurricanes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x68cb89…
03-23 08:01:29	nhl car mon 2026 03 24	Hurricanes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x2f7c4a…
03-19 07:52:53	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0xe48f7e…
03-19 07:40:23	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Jazz	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xfcceb1…
03-06 06:13:05	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xbe9588…
01-30 03:28:52	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4cf87b…
01-30 03:21:36	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	Yes	BUY	243	1¢	$4	0x0cb153…
01-29 09:58:18	will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x578d58…
01-22 05:56:02	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x0179d3…
01-14 12:34:14	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	270	91¢	$246	0x81f636…
01-13 07:56:01	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 480m and 520m by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0x091cba…
01-12 05:54:54	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	270	91¢	$246	0x549991…
01-11 14:23:44	bitcoin above 88k on january 11	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x9c7c88…
01-10 03:26:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 10	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xd5362d…
01-09 06:18:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 9	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xd806e6…
01-09 06:00:34	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	SELL	255	99¢	$252	0x144932…
01-08 12:46:15	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	255	99¢	$252	0x9e3d31…
01-06 03:45:27	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x2aebdc…