Miserly-Differential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

282

Trades

948

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-13 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 38% $-4

Sports

27% 57% +$10

Other

15% 65% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$22	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 20:55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	14	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 20:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$20	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:42
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels	15	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-03 04:08
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	6	$18	16	16	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-08 02:37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	6	$17	15	15	+0	Pistons	+$1	05-08 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$17	24	24	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 20:39
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	5	$17	16	12	+4	Pistons	+$1	05-08 00:12
Knicks vs. 76ers	4	$16	15	15	+0	Knicks	+$4	05-09 00:07
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	11	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$15	19	19	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 21:56
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	4	$15	12	12	+0	Thunder	+$3	05-10 02:09
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$14	29	0	+29	paiN	+$15	05-12 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$14	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$13	13	13	+0	9z	+$5	05-09 12:52
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	5	$12	12	12	+0	Pistons	+$0	05-05 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$12	79	79	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 23:37
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)	10	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 18:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$12	23	23	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	4	$12	65	65	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 22:56
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	9	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 22:01
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	9	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 21:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$11	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$11	79	79	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 23:38
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	3	$11	8	8	+0	Over	+$3	05-09 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 00:37:06	Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Sinners	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8aa696…
05-13 00:35:49	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x782517…
05-12 19:37:56	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x395621…
05-12 19:35:38	Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x31cdbc…
05-12 09:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa3b869…
05-12 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdec51a…
05-12 09:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x6068db…
05-12 09:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc748b1…
05-12 09:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa201b7…
05-12 09:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb28e4d…
05-12 09:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xe016d4…
05-12 09:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4bd0df…
05-12 09:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x287803…
05-12 09:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe3324b…
05-12 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x78418b…
05-12 08:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2df941…
05-12 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x514900…
05-12 08:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x0c539d…
05-12 08:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1de8d0…
05-12 08:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xfd7021…
05-12 08:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x616f08…
05-12 08:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf2e6fc…
05-12 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x936baf…
05-12 08:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x5bd2c8…
05-12 08:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x402d56…
05-12 08:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x245404…
05-12 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0ab545…
05-12 07:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x467e5f…
05-12 07:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0a8634…
05-12 07:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x76ed7f…
05-12 07:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8ca56c…
05-12 07:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8352ed…
05-12 07:25:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0f5d17…
05-12 07:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x89b078…
05-12 07:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xca4a9a…
05-12 07:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xe5c15b…
05-12 07:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9fe2f0…
05-12 07:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x361ea2…
05-12 07:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3bb540…
05-12 07:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xcd62a3…
05-12 07:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x336ede…
05-12 07:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc9cfd8…
05-12 07:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb6138b…
05-12 06:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x574c1f…
05-12 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3c972b…
05-12 06:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x683a1f…
05-12 06:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf920dc…
05-12 06:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb89df0…
05-12 06:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x694ecf…
05-12 06:26:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x04407c…
05-12 06:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0656ee…
05-12 06:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xf13cd8…
05-12 06:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x37e3dc…
05-12 06:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7cf2d4…
05-12 06:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xee5421…
05-12 06:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xdf9fb6…
05-12 06:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa55cd5…
05-12 06:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x17ef5c…
05-12 06:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x93b872…
05-12 06:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x095821…
05-12 06:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9f4aab…
05-12 06:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x410d6f…
05-12 06:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x72a585…
05-12 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe3dc7b…
05-12 06:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x19d7f4…
05-12 06:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xb556ad…
05-12 06:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9b77aa…
05-12 06:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xcc8974…
05-12 06:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe60234…
05-12 05:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xdc5845…
05-12 05:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc74cc9…
05-12 05:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x57cb7f…
05-12 05:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x146458…
05-12 05:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd76d66…
05-12 05:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4c8f82…
05-12 05:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x3fc215…
05-12 05:31:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb88341…
05-12 05:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbee878…
05-12 05:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe22e7b…
05-12 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x53ac56…
05-12 05:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x47806a…
05-12 05:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5df6cc…
05-12 05:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x6034ab…
05-12 05:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x73939a…
05-12 05:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x003d45…
05-12 05:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf4dbfc…
05-12 05:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xef00b0…
05-12 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda0336…
05-12 05:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x578836…
05-12 05:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x575ed3…
05-12 05:01:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x1b74dd…
05-12 05:01:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x38e97a…
05-12 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x122ecf…
05-12 04:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xa90c60…
05-12 04:55:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x67e6b6…
05-12 04:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x752f3b…
05-12 04:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa89f27…
05-12 04:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xae10bf…
05-12 04:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfaddb9…
05-12 04:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xbe49a8…