Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$569
$12,873 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 05:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 41% YES on $330
vs crowd: 42% YES on $522)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $89 | $128 | $40 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $46 | $64 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $84 | $111 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $135 | $196 | $61 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $38 | $53 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $30 | $37 | $7 |
| Median | 4 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 7 | $7 | $8 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +169 | $56 | $56 | 5 | 05-12 05:10 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +168 | $65 | $65 | 7 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +95 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 05-12 05:11 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | +85 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +84 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Polished-Mincemeat 0x8f1d…2fb6 | Up | +84 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Up | +66 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +63 | $-2 | $7 | 3 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +52 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 05-12 05:11 |
| Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | +51 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +42 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +41 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Impolite-Gaffe 0x75ba…cf3f | Up | +39 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef | Down | +36 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Down | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +24 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | +20 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Hasty-Seeker 0x9842…00d7 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| Striped-Harbor 0x7a06…9b0d | Down | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +13 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Up | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Frivolous-Floor 0x9eb4…9eca | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 05:04 |
| Optimal-Attendance 0x4317…770b | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:09 |
| Wild-Jicama 0x0753…b6d5 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 05:11 |
| Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Shallow-Supreme 0xa70f…dbc6 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Naive-Refuse 0x11f5…5d82 | Up | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 05:01 |
| Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Up | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 05:06 |
| Admirable-Operator 0xb1a0…e45e | Down | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Key-Shelf 0x893d…da13 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 05:10 |
| Dull-Poetry 0x462c…bea1 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Wild-Seaside 0x4884…4a5b | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 05:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cc0…1a33 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:04 |
| Knobby-Businessman 0x79e5…a9f7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a1c…0949 | Down | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:05 |
| Huge-Employer 0x86c6…dfd8 | Down | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:05 |
| Gleaming-Topic 0x5af8…8511 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:05 |
| Gripping-Meaning 0x154a…e26e | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 05:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:15:53 | Wild-Seaside 0x4884…4a5b | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd8256… |
| 05-12 05:14:50 | Gripping-Meaning 0x154a…e26e | Down | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf836bd… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xa54e21… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Up | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xc93bd8… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef | Down | BUY | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x916b2a… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf3a99e… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xb4794c… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xfe721e… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 39 | 24¢ | $9 | 0x6c5b15… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Hasty-Seeker 0x9842…00d7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0x1856e9… |
| 05-12 05:14:49 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | BUY | 51 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xd2db47… |
| 05-12 05:14:47 | Giving-Genius 0x145c…4bde | Up | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x636395… |
| 05-12 05:14:47 | Polished-Mincemeat 0x8f1d…2fb6 | Up | BUY | 51 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x407be8… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa9606c… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xcb1de5… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x4bebdd… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Up | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb6a78b… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2ec57c… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa87dfc… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0xc0e4f1… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Polished-Mincemeat 0x8f1d…2fb6 | Up | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x831fe0… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x737bc8… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xde6712… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb0dd4a… |
| 05-12 05:14:45 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd8091f… |
| 05-12 05:14:43 | Clear-Cut-Gaffer 0x0943…1d8d | Up | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb7d475… |
| 05-12 05:14:43 | Knobby-Businessman 0x79e5…a9f7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x92e43d… |
| 05-12 05:14:43 | Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x1f8a19… |
| 05-12 05:11:05 | Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef | Down | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x98b4d0… |
| 05-12 05:11:03 | Wild-Jicama 0x0753…b6d5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x7c2095… |
| 05-12 05:11:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x870375… |
| 05-12 05:11:03 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x6bedd1… |
| 05-12 05:10:59 | Mammoth-Dart 0x24f5…98d2 | Down | SELL | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xed3668… |
| 05-12 05:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8a3d87… |
| 05-12 05:10:58 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xff7703… |
| 05-12 05:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x970492… |
| 05-12 05:10:56 | Frayed-Mountain 0xcbad…eead | Up | SELL | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x37c672… |
| 05-12 05:10:47 | Key-Shelf 0x893d…da13 | Down | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x18b782… |
| 05-12 05:10:47 | Striped-Harbor 0x7a06…9b0d | Down | BUY | 15 | 46¢ | $7 | 0xda0f65… |
| 05-12 05:10:47 | Key-Shelf 0x893d…da13 | Down | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x06e776… |
| 05-12 05:10:47 | Mammoth-Dart 0x24f5…98d2 | Down | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x814977… |
| 05-12 05:10:45 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xc89fee… |
| 05-12 05:10:45 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 37 | 51¢ | $19 | 0x073568… |
| 05-12 05:10:45 | Wild-Jicama 0x0753…b6d5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x3866c1… |
| 05-12 05:10:45 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xdebe4e… |
| 05-12 05:10:45 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0x193671… |
| 05-12 05:10:42 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 36 | 49¢ | $18 | 0xefef8a… |
| 05-12 05:09:30 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x4a8f42… |
| 05-12 05:09:30 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xea5e77… |
| 05-12 05:09:30 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 60 | 31¢ | $19 | 0xe2fd67… |
| 05-12 05:09:30 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x5a524c… |
| 05-12 05:09:28 | Shallow-Supreme 0xa70f…dbc6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xa960b4… |
| 05-12 05:09:27 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xcf0b72… |
| 05-12 05:09:27 | Magnificent-Fanlight 0x4c81…8ea1 | Up | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xb744ce… |
| 05-12 05:09:27 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 17 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xf389e1… |
| 05-12 05:09:27 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xde96bf… |
| 05-12 05:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x8c38…65ce | Up | SELL | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xcc5cb7… |
| 05-12 05:09:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 38 | 75¢ | $29 | 0x00d173… |
| 05-12 05:09:18 | Quarterly-Ignorance 0x224f…ef71 | Up | BUY | 12 | 72¢ | $9 | 0xdd2c38… |
| 05-12 05:06:04 | Forceful-Marshland 0x715f…ddd9 | Up | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x130ba1… |
| 05-12 05:06:00 | (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Up | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x549069… |
| 05-12 05:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x6a1c…0949 | Down | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xf055bd… |
| 05-12 05:05:58 | Huge-Employer 0x86c6…dfd8 | Down | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xb7b93f… |
| 05-12 05:05:58 | Impolite-Gaffe 0x75ba…cf3f | Up | BUY | 39 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x3d8645… |
| 05-12 05:05:57 | Gleaming-Topic 0x5af8…8511 | Up | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x9bf70d… |
| 05-12 05:05:55 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 52 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x660d6a… |
| 05-12 05:05:53 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xc52e59… |
| 05-12 05:04:41 | Slim-Pond 0x19cd…af9a | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x9cbd14… |
| 05-12 05:04:36 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 14 | 39¢ | $6 | 0xd20058… |
| 05-12 05:04:26 | Frivolous-Floor 0x9eb4…9eca | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x3f7abf… |
| 05-12 05:04:26 | Frivolous-Floor 0x9eb4…9eca | Down | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xcb0217… |
| 05-12 05:01:03 | Naive-Refuse 0x11f5…5d82 | Up | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x9f6725… |
| 05-12 05:00:59 | Admirable-Operator 0xb1a0…e45e | Down | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xbf06a9… |
| 05-12 05:00:59 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x30f856… |
| 05-12 05:00:54 | (anonymous) 0x6476…6df0 | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xf59168… |
| 05-12 05:00:52 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x34fc0a… |
| 05-12 05:00:50 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x8d2aef… |
| 05-12 05:00:50 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x03d691… |
| 05-12 05:00:49 | (anonymous) 0x8cc0…1a33 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x9a29aa… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x4775d3… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Dull-Poetry 0x462c…bea1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x1c6856… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf3fedf… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x24d565… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x951d54… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xff9345… |
| 05-12 05:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 13 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x52db08… |
| 05-11 05:09:12 | Optimal-Attendance 0x4317…770b | Down | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x75bdc5… |