Carefree-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-30 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	51	+51	open	—	05-21 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	04-30 09:42
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	04-27 15:43
xrp updown 15m 1781741700	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-18 00:29
btc updown 15m 1781503200	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-15 06:14
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-22 10:28
sol updown 15m 1781037900	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	06-09 20:59
sol updown 15m 1782345600	1	$10	66	+66	open	—	06-25 00:14
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	$-10	05-08 10:28
sol updown 15m 1781553600	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	06-15 20:14
xrp updown 15m 1782504000	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	06-26 20:12
sol updown 15m 1781595000	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	06-16 07:44
xrp updown 15m 1781553600	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	06-15 20:14
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	32	+32	Up	$-10	05-09 07:42
sol updown 15m 1780982100	1	$10	36	+36	open	—	06-09 05:29
eth updown 15m 1781994600	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-20 22:44
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	48	+48	open	—	05-31 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-28 14:13
sol updown 15m 1781959500	1	$10	45	+45	open	—	06-20 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-20 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	49	+49	open	—	05-28 14:12
sol updown 15m 1780792200	1	$10	37	+37	open	—	06-07 00:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	05-14 16:59
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	06-02 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Down	$-10	05-12 22:44
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	112	+112	open	—	04-25 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$10	152	+152	open	—	06-01 17:43
sol updown 15m 1782463500	1	$10	36	+36	open	—	06-26 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	44	+44	open	—	05-02 10:13
btc updown 15m 1780675200	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-05 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:29:49	xrp updown 15m 1782846900	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x167e42…
06-30 16:14:52	xrp updown 15m 1782835200	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x034a28…
06-28 11:59:41	xrp updown 15m 1782647100	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4c2672…
06-28 03:59:20	btc updown 15m 1782618300	Up	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x512832…
06-27 21:14:02	xrp updown 15m 1782594000	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc90ec3…
06-27 03:58:46	btc updown 15m 1782531900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xda0de3…
06-27 01:42:58	btc updown 15m 1782523800	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x45f0d0…
06-26 20:14:04	eth updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x94d0f5…
06-26 20:12:17	xrp updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x439fc9…
06-26 12:59:50	xrp updown 15m 1782477900	Down	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x074f43…
06-26 08:59:25	sol updown 15m 1782463500	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xccb15f…
06-26 07:28:22	xrp updown 15m 1782458100	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3be45d…
06-26 06:59:56	xrp updown 15m 1782456300	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x21074e…
06-25 13:13:04	xrp updown 15m 1782392400	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x227dd8…
06-25 08:44:52	eth updown 15m 1782376200	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc19f27…
06-25 00:14:02	sol updown 15m 1782345600	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x07859c…
06-24 14:14:32	xrp updown 15m 1782309600	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc3f791…
06-24 11:28:50	sol updown 15m 1782299700	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d3cb3…
06-23 21:58:44	sol updown 15m 1782251100	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x84058e…
06-23 21:44:08	sol updown 15m 1782250200	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x20d7cc…
06-23 14:59:38	btc updown 15m 1782225900	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xcc1c38…
06-22 22:14:34	sol updown 15m 1782165600	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xcb9cde…
06-22 14:59:37	sol updown 15m 1782139500	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeb50f3…
06-22 13:14:43	sol updown 15m 1782133200	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0ccd0a…
06-22 11:59:32	sol updown 15m 1782128700	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x892136…
06-22 11:28:23	sol updown 15m 1782126900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa027ea…
06-22 09:59:04	sol updown 15m 1782121500	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x502cd4…
06-22 08:44:46	xrp updown 15m 1782117000	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaf884c…
06-21 08:44:13	sol updown 15m 1782030600	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4e81e5…
06-21 03:29:05	sol updown 15m 1782011700	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xe4c48b…
06-20 22:44:01	eth updown 15m 1781994600	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x028a32…
06-20 13:13:56	xrp updown 15m 1781960400	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc51301…
06-20 12:59:38	sol updown 15m 1781959500	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x775696…
06-20 11:42:52	xrp updown 15m 1781955000	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9bbccd…
06-19 19:57:28	xrp updown 15m 1781898300	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5bb550…
06-19 09:29:59	sol updown 15m 1781860500	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5ca0c…
06-19 00:44:29	sol updown 15m 1781829000	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1a9cfe…
06-18 06:29:49	btc updown 15m 1781763300	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb2f854…
06-18 00:29:07	xrp updown 15m 1781741700	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x03a834…
06-17 14:14:53	eth updown 15m 1781704800	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x125627…
06-17 08:28:25	sol updown 15m 1781684100	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb6bdc7…
06-17 06:44:02	sol updown 15m 1781677800	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xc29830…
06-17 02:58:58	xrp updown 15m 1781664300	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3befea…
06-16 07:44:06	sol updown 15m 1781595000	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xed89b2…
06-15 20:14:28	sol updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x828405…
06-15 20:14:18	xrp updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x889360…
06-15 10:29:25	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x69315a…
06-15 06:14:03	btc updown 15m 1781503200	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x801586…
06-14 18:59:03	sol updown 15m 1781462700	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x76967d…
06-14 13:43:42	xrp updown 15m 1781443800	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc1e3bd…
06-14 08:13:52	sol updown 15m 1781424000	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe0ff09…
06-14 02:59:57	xrp updown 15m 1781405100	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb2e694…
06-13 23:43:54	sol updown 15m 1781393400	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x471040…
06-13 12:29:57	btc updown 15m 1781352900	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x2d46ec…
06-13 03:58:12	sol updown 15m 1781322300	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7deedd…
06-13 03:42:51	eth updown 15m 1781321400	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x55cff9…
06-11 17:28:52	sol updown 15m 1781198100	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6553cc…
06-11 05:44:39	sol updown 15m 1781155800	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xd5696b…
06-10 18:29:45	btc updown 15m 1781115300	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x824f49…
06-09 20:59:30	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x51f2f6…
06-09 09:59:07	sol updown 15m 1780998300	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x103fa3…
06-09 09:28:07	xrp updown 15m 1780996500	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x21f658…
06-09 05:29:31	sol updown 15m 1780982100	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd570d9…
06-09 03:12:51	eth updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x675d09…
06-08 21:43:57	sol updown 15m 1780954200	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcee454…
06-08 13:13:07	eth updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xd6d489…
06-08 13:12:19	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x396f3f…
06-08 07:59:48	eth updown 15m 1780904700	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x14b6ac…
06-07 00:44:48	sol updown 15m 1780792200	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xc1d04e…
06-06 10:29:42	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xaffbc1…
06-05 16:12:54	btc updown 15m 1780675200	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x840a0a…
06-05 09:29:40	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1bb1e6…
06-04 19:59:34	sol updown 15m 1780602300	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xc25364…
06-03 07:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf7bac7…
06-02 05:44:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc017c8…
06-02 03:14:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb27b50…
06-01 20:29:41	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x02c557…
06-01 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3d9a1c…
06-01 17:43:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x2a4188…
06-01 17:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0x2672fa…
06-01 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x89ba12…
06-01 08:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x515784…
05-31 21:59:12	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x9c6199…
05-31 19:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6fe635…
05-31 16:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb171b6…
05-31 00:13:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa5a268…
05-30 19:59:12	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xda3f8f…
05-30 17:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x42d518…
05-30 14:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xacc78c…
05-30 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x12d0c6…
05-30 14:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x217380…
05-30 02:58:41	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd039a2…
05-29 16:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc9db7e…
05-29 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x747668…
05-28 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x789344…
05-28 14:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x6dceab…
05-28 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x6830d6…
05-27 15:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x0e3b93…
05-27 11:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6b736b…
05-27 11:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xdb67a3…