Carefree-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-09 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	$-10	05-08 10:28
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	06-01 20:29
sol updown 15m 1781037900	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	06-09 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-22 10:28
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	46	+46	open	—	05-16 12:12
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	35	+35	Down	+$25	05-08 08:29
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	04-27 15:43
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	32	+32	Up	$-10	05-09 07:42
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	34	+34	Up	$-10	05-10 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	04-30 09:42
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	51	+51	open	—	05-21 15:59
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-23 02:59
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	112	+112	open	—	04-25 03:14
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-25 09:43
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	42	+42	open	—	05-03 18:27
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-02 18:00
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	Down	+$35	05-14 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-03 07:43
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	66	+66	open	—	05-01 11:44
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-27 11:29
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	open	—	04-25 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	30	+30	open	—	05-23 00:12
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-23 12:29
sol updown 15m 1780982100	1	$10	36	+36	open	—	06-09 05:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$10	152	+152	open	—	06-01 17:43
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-18 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Down	$-10	05-12 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	44	+44	open	—	05-02 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-28 14:13
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	04-30 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:59:30	sol updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x51f2f6…
06-09 09:59:07	sol updown 15m 1780998300	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x103fa3…
06-09 09:28:07	xrp updown 15m 1780996500	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x21f658…
06-09 05:29:31	sol updown 15m 1780982100	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd570d9…
06-09 03:12:51	eth updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x675d09…
06-08 21:43:57	sol updown 15m 1780954200	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcee454…
06-08 13:13:07	eth updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xd6d489…
06-08 13:12:19	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x396f3f…
06-08 07:59:48	eth updown 15m 1780904700	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x14b6ac…
06-07 00:44:48	sol updown 15m 1780792200	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xc1d04e…
06-06 10:29:42	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xaffbc1…
06-05 16:12:54	btc updown 15m 1780675200	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x840a0a…
06-05 09:29:40	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1bb1e6…
06-04 19:59:34	sol updown 15m 1780602300	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xc25364…
06-03 07:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf7bac7…
06-02 05:44:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc017c8…
06-02 03:14:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb27b50…
06-01 20:29:41	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x02c557…
06-01 17:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3d9a1c…
06-01 17:43:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x2a4188…
06-01 17:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	7¢	$10	0x2672fa…
06-01 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x89ba12…
06-01 08:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x515784…
05-31 21:59:12	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x9c6199…
05-31 19:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6fe635…
05-31 16:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb171b6…
05-31 00:13:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa5a268…
05-30 19:59:12	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xda3f8f…
05-30 17:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x42d518…
05-30 14:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xacc78c…
05-30 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x12d0c6…
05-30 14:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x217380…
05-30 02:58:41	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd039a2…
05-29 16:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xc9db7e…
05-29 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x747668…
05-28 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x789344…
05-28 14:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x6dceab…
05-28 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x6830d6…
05-27 15:43:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x0e3b93…
05-27 11:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6b736b…
05-27 11:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0xdb67a3…
05-26 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0a76ba…
05-26 07:29:00	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x969e20…
05-25 22:58:55	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf12f34…
05-25 17:14:11	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x39f9fc…
05-25 12:14:55	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xc02c88…
05-25 09:43:46	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x8f3c47…
05-25 03:43:56	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xeed02f…
05-24 09:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x546bc1…
05-23 22:12:44	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xedae09…
05-23 12:44:20	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa75015…
05-23 12:29:52	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x1dba90…
05-23 07:14:45	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x90ab8c…
05-23 02:59:12	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x6f79fa…
05-23 00:12:46	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x541cdb…
05-22 20:12:24	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x133d12…
05-22 10:28:17	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xca55e5…
05-22 09:58:25	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x7df44c…
05-22 03:43:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xe1148c…
05-21 15:59:52	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x3b726f…
05-21 14:44:33	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x783b0b…
05-21 14:15:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x53a21c…
05-21 14:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x936dd7…
05-21 09:29:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xe99574…
05-20 18:14:24	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x03cfaf…
05-20 15:42:28	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x339706…
05-20 11:14:43	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x903f54…
05-20 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xab618f…
05-19 09:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5ac52a…
05-19 06:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x74d69e…
05-18 22:28:40	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x2c8896…
05-18 05:14:39	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x35687c…
05-17 20:13:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x84344c…
05-17 19:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x261b6e…
05-17 15:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x01296a…
05-17 12:29:30	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x140fdb…
05-17 00:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4c25b3…
05-16 23:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xe85ab6…
05-16 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1cb2cb…
05-16 13:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x86e906…
05-16 12:12:27	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xdbc075…
05-16 06:29:10	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2e5d59…
05-16 05:42:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf1f3ba…
05-16 02:59:31	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa551bd…
05-16 01:14:08	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xfeff29…
05-15 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x83cdb8…
05-15 06:14:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xe22e27…
05-14 19:42:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x322718…
05-14 16:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x0cdb38…
05-14 16:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4358fb…
05-14 11:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x77c033…
05-14 03:29:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x00c235…
05-14 02:14:43	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x87a75c…
05-13 20:57:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xb7fe45…
05-13 20:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xd82f41…
05-13 15:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xdbcb04…
05-13 09:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf6abc2…
05-12 22:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5bd081…
05-12 10:14:39	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xe9a29c…
05-12 08:44:05	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xfdac88…