Carefree-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$762

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.7%

Resolved

317

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-10 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% +$762

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Down	+$23	05-06 00:44
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Up	-$10	05-18 05:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	1	$10	66	+66	Down	-$10	06-26 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 18:15 UTC	1	$10	31	+31	Up	+$21	06-10 18:29
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	-$10	05-08 10:28
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	Up	-$10	04-25 01:29
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	Up	-$10	04-30 06:14
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	Up	-$10	05-25 09:43
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	112	+112	Up	-$10	04-25 03:14
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	52	+52	Up	+$42	05-14 16:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 22:30 UTC	1	$10	31	+31	Down	+$21	06-20 22:44
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	54	+54	Up	-$10	05-30 17:29
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	34	+34	Up	-$10	05-10 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Down	-$10	05-12 22:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	1	$10	35	+35	Down	+$25	06-08 13:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 08:30 UTC	1	$10	37	+37	Up	+$27	06-25 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	1	$10	30	+30	Down	+$20	06-08 13:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 09:15 UTC	1	$10	145	+145	Up	-$10	07-06 09:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC	1	$10	45	+45	Down	-$10	06-20 12:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:45 UTC	1	$10	36	+36	Up	-$10	06-26 08:59
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	30	+30	Down	+$20	05-23 00:12
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	Up	-$10	06-01 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Down	-$10	05-22 10:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:15 UTC	1	$10	30	+30	Up	-$10	04-24 01:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 22:30 UTC	1	$10	55	+55	Up	-$10	07-08 22:44
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$10	45	+45	Down	+$35	05-14 02:14
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	Up	-$10	06-02 03:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:15 UTC	1	$10	31	+31	Up	-$10	06-18 00:29
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	-$10	05-19 06:29
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Down	-$10	06-12 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 12:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x65bc05…
07-10 08:45:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0097ed…
07-10 08:44:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcedd9e…
07-10 06:44:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x9fa7b7…
07-10 03:29:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x4baadd…
07-09 21:13:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x1bb262…
07-09 17:14:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9aaafc…
07-09 12:28:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xaeb839…
07-09 07:42:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe9d14e…
07-09 07:42:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x08c3c1…
07-08 22:44:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa9b620…
07-08 22:13:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9cb3d4…
07-08 20:59:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0xb82718…
07-08 15:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x9f72f2…
07-08 07:44:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x26108a…
07-07 14:14:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x15791b…
07-07 14:14:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x59dc0b…
07-07 10:44:05	Solana Up or Down - July 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x5e8ee9…
07-06 19:59:49	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x95d701…
07-06 09:29:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x52749e…
07-06 07:58:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6382e9…
07-06 01:14:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xdef1cf…
07-06 00:14:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x23c9e7…
07-05 19:59:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x629ff1…
07-05 19:28:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x1a03c1…
07-05 12:14:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xaf7c5c…
07-05 10:42:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x99a1ec…
07-05 05:29:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb8f81b…
07-05 04:44:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x7aa756…
07-05 00:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xfb3ce0…
07-05 00:43:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa3d75…
07-04 22:44:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x1d7acf…
07-04 21:14:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1f6975…
07-04 11:29:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2b58c2…
07-04 08:29:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x84105a…
07-04 05:42:59	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc362d1…
07-04 02:29:43	Solana Up or Down - July 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x342fd9…
07-04 00:29:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x0e49ba…
07-03 16:12:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x701659…
07-03 06:42:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xab9270…
07-02 23:59:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x090d2a…
07-02 19:13:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3c6c14…
07-02 14:59:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x33b3a8…
07-02 10:44:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x865689…
07-02 10:44:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7e610…
07-02 06:44:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x6ebb1a…
07-02 04:43:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x3514a2…
07-02 03:27:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6fd303…
07-02 03:27:53	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	142	6¢	$9	0x20b369…
07-02 03:14:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x184500…
07-01 09:44:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc0a4eb…
06-30 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xa4dffe…
06-30 19:29:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x167e42…
06-30 16:14:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x034a28…
06-28 11:59:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4c2672…
06-28 03:59:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x512832…
06-27 21:14:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc90ec3…
06-27 03:58:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xda0de3…
06-27 01:42:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x45f0d0…
06-26 20:14:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x94d0f5…
06-26 20:12:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x439fc9…
06-26 12:59:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x074f43…
06-26 08:59:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xccb15f…
06-26 07:28:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3be45d…
06-26 06:59:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x21074e…
06-25 13:13:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x227dd8…
06-25 08:44:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc19f27…
06-25 00:14:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x07859c…
06-24 14:14:32	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc3f791…
06-24 11:28:50	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d3cb3…
06-23 21:58:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x84058e…
06-23 21:44:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x20d7cc…
06-23 14:59:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xcc1c38…
06-22 22:14:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xcb9cde…
06-22 19:59:44	Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x35e9ea…
06-22 14:59:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeb50f3…
06-22 13:14:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0ccd0a…
06-22 11:59:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x892136…
06-22 11:28:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa027ea…
06-22 09:59:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x502cd4…
06-22 08:44:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaf884c…
06-21 08:44:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4e81e5…
06-21 03:29:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xe4c48b…
06-20 22:44:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x028a32…
06-20 13:13:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc51301…
06-20 12:59:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x775696…
06-20 11:42:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9bbccd…
06-19 19:57:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5bb550…
06-19 09:29:59	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5ca0c…
06-19 00:44:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1a9cfe…
06-18 06:29:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb2f854…
06-18 00:29:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x03a834…
06-17 14:14:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x125627…
06-17 08:28:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb6bdc7…
06-17 06:44:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xc29830…
06-17 02:58:58	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3befea…
06-16 07:44:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xed89b2…
06-15 20:14:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x828405…
06-15 20:14:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x889360…
06-15 10:29:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x69315a…