Carefree-Watch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

301

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-10 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	Up	$-10	05-08 10:28
eth updown 15m 1781994600	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-20 22:44
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-22 10:28
btc updown 15m 1781503200	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-15 06:14
xrp updown 15m 1781741700	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	06-18 00:29
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	04-27 15:43
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	51	+51	open	—	05-21 15:59
xrp updown 15m 1781960400	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	06-20 13:13
eth updown 15m 1782376200	1	$10	37	+37	open	—	06-25 08:44
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	52	+52	open	—	05-14 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$10	30	+30	Up	+$20	05-08 04:29
eth updown 15m 1780923600	1	$10	35	+35	open	—	06-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	Down	+$23	05-06 00:44
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$10	31	+31	open	—	05-19 06:29
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	04-30 06:14
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	54	+54	open	—	05-30 17:29
sol updown 15m 1781037900	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	06-09 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-18 05:14
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-27 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	49	+49	open	—	05-28 14:12
sol updown 15m 1783548000	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	07-08 22:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	32	+32	open	—	05-14 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	44	+44	open	—	05-02 10:13
sol updown 15m 1782463500	1	$10	36	+36	open	—	06-26 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-28 14:13
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$10	42	+42	open	—	05-03 18:27
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	41	+41	open	—	05-25 09:43
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	46	+46	open	—	05-16 12:12
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-02 18:00
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$10	40	+40	open	—	06-01 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 08:45:01	sol updown 15m 1783672200	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0097ed…
07-10 08:44:19	eth updown 15m 1783672200	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcedd9e…
07-10 06:44:55	sol updown 15m 1783665000	Down	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x9fa7b7…
07-10 03:29:59	sol updown 15m 1783653300	Up	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x4baadd…
07-09 21:13:13	xrp updown 15m 1783630800	Down	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x1bb262…
07-09 17:14:28	sol updown 15m 1783616400	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x9aaafc…
07-09 12:28:01	btc updown 15m 1783599300	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xaeb839…
07-09 07:42:41	btc updown 15m 1783582200	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe9d14e…
07-09 07:42:41	xrp updown 15m 1783582200	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x08c3c1…
07-08 22:44:37	xrp updown 15m 1783549800	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa9b620…
07-08 22:13:28	sol updown 15m 1783548000	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9cb3d4…
07-08 20:59:58	sol updown 15m 1783543500	Down	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0xb82718…
07-08 07:44:40	xrp updown 15m 1783495800	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x26108a…
07-07 14:14:56	sol updown 15m 1783432800	Down	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x15791b…
07-07 14:14:31	eth updown 15m 1783432800	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x59dc0b…
07-06 19:59:49	sol updown 15m 1783367100	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x95d701…
07-06 09:29:59	sol updown 15m 1783329300	Down	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x52749e…
07-06 07:58:47	sol updown 15m 1783323900	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6382e9…
07-06 01:14:19	eth updown 15m 1783299600	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xdef1cf…
07-06 00:14:59	eth updown 15m 1783296000	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x23c9e7…
07-05 19:59:59	sol updown 15m 1783280700	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x629ff1…
07-05 19:28:37	sol updown 15m 1783278900	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x1a03c1…
07-05 12:14:32	sol updown 15m 1783252800	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xaf7c5c…
07-05 10:42:32	sol updown 15m 1783247400	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x99a1ec…
07-05 05:29:59	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb8f81b…
07-05 04:44:55	xrp updown 15m 1783225800	Down	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x7aa756…
07-05 00:43:04	sol updown 15m 1783211400	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa3d75…
07-04 22:44:44	sol updown 15m 1783204200	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x1d7acf…
07-04 21:14:26	sol updown 15m 1783198800	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1f6975…
07-04 11:29:10	sol updown 15m 1783163700	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2b58c2…
07-04 08:29:44	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x84105a…
07-04 05:42:59	xrp updown 15m 1783143000	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xc362d1…
07-04 00:29:50	sol updown 15m 1783124100	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x0e49ba…
07-03 16:12:32	sol updown 15m 1783094400	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x701659…
07-03 06:42:49	xrp updown 15m 1783060200	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xab9270…
07-02 23:59:28	sol updown 15m 1783035900	Down	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x090d2a…
07-02 19:13:10	eth updown 15m 1783018800	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3c6c14…
07-02 14:59:58	sol updown 15m 1783003500	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x33b3a8…
07-02 10:44:43	btc updown 15m 1782988200	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x865689…
07-02 10:44:11	eth updown 15m 1782988200	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf7e610…
07-02 06:44:44	xrp updown 15m 1782973800	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x6ebb1a…
07-02 04:43:52	xrp updown 15m 1782966600	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x3514a2…
07-02 03:27:55	btc updown 15m 1782962100	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6fd303…
07-02 03:27:53	xrp updown 15m 1782962100	Up	BUY	142	6¢	$9	0x20b369…
07-02 03:14:52	sol updown 15m 1782961200	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x184500…
07-01 09:44:08	sol updown 15m 1782898200	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc0a4eb…
06-30 19:29:49	xrp updown 15m 1782846900	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x167e42…
06-30 16:14:52	xrp updown 15m 1782835200	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x034a28…
06-28 11:59:41	xrp updown 15m 1782647100	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4c2672…
06-28 03:59:20	btc updown 15m 1782618300	Up	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x512832…
06-27 21:14:02	xrp updown 15m 1782594000	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc90ec3…
06-27 03:58:46	btc updown 15m 1782531900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xda0de3…
06-27 01:42:58	btc updown 15m 1782523800	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x45f0d0…
06-26 20:14:04	eth updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x94d0f5…
06-26 20:12:17	xrp updown 15m 1782504000	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x439fc9…
06-26 12:59:50	xrp updown 15m 1782477900	Down	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x074f43…
06-26 08:59:25	sol updown 15m 1782463500	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xccb15f…
06-26 07:28:22	xrp updown 15m 1782458100	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3be45d…
06-26 06:59:56	xrp updown 15m 1782456300	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x21074e…
06-25 13:13:04	xrp updown 15m 1782392400	Down	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0x227dd8…
06-25 08:44:52	eth updown 15m 1782376200	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc19f27…
06-25 00:14:02	sol updown 15m 1782345600	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x07859c…
06-24 14:14:32	xrp updown 15m 1782309600	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc3f791…
06-24 11:28:50	sol updown 15m 1782299700	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0d3cb3…
06-23 21:58:44	sol updown 15m 1782251100	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x84058e…
06-23 21:44:08	sol updown 15m 1782250200	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x20d7cc…
06-23 14:59:38	btc updown 15m 1782225900	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xcc1c38…
06-22 22:14:34	sol updown 15m 1782165600	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xcb9cde…
06-22 14:59:37	sol updown 15m 1782139500	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeb50f3…
06-22 13:14:43	sol updown 15m 1782133200	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0ccd0a…
06-22 11:59:32	sol updown 15m 1782128700	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x892136…
06-22 11:28:23	sol updown 15m 1782126900	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa027ea…
06-22 09:59:04	sol updown 15m 1782121500	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x502cd4…
06-22 08:44:46	xrp updown 15m 1782117000	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xaf884c…
06-21 08:44:13	sol updown 15m 1782030600	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4e81e5…
06-21 03:29:05	sol updown 15m 1782011700	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xe4c48b…
06-20 22:44:01	eth updown 15m 1781994600	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x028a32…
06-20 13:13:56	xrp updown 15m 1781960400	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc51301…
06-20 12:59:38	sol updown 15m 1781959500	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x775696…
06-20 11:42:52	xrp updown 15m 1781955000	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9bbccd…
06-19 19:57:28	xrp updown 15m 1781898300	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5bb550…
06-19 09:29:59	sol updown 15m 1781860500	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa5ca0c…
06-19 00:44:29	sol updown 15m 1781829000	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1a9cfe…
06-18 06:29:49	btc updown 15m 1781763300	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb2f854…
06-18 00:29:07	xrp updown 15m 1781741700	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x03a834…
06-17 14:14:53	eth updown 15m 1781704800	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x125627…
06-17 08:28:25	sol updown 15m 1781684100	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb6bdc7…
06-17 06:44:02	sol updown 15m 1781677800	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0xc29830…
06-17 02:58:58	xrp updown 15m 1781664300	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3befea…
06-16 07:44:06	sol updown 15m 1781595000	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xed89b2…
06-15 20:14:28	sol updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x828405…
06-15 20:14:18	xrp updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x889360…
06-15 10:29:25	sol updown 15m 1781518500	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x69315a…
06-15 06:14:03	btc updown 15m 1781503200	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x801586…
06-14 18:59:03	sol updown 15m 1781462700	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x76967d…
06-14 13:43:42	xrp updown 15m 1781443800	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc1e3bd…
06-14 08:13:52	sol updown 15m 1781424000	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe0ff09…
06-14 02:59:57	xrp updown 15m 1781405100	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb2e694…
06-13 23:43:54	sol updown 15m 1781393400	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x471040…
06-13 12:29:57	btc updown 15m 1781352900	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x2d46ec…