Verifiable-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$348

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

7,060

Trades

13,334

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-06 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% -$345

Other

0% 50% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	24	$98	78	78	+0	Down	-$2	06-03 10:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:00 UTC	35	$94	88	80	+9	Up	$0	01-18 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	29	$94	98	98	+0	Up	$0	05-24 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:15 UTC	39	$93	104	86	+18	Up	-$3	01-18 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:15 UTC	18	$87	70	70	+0	Up	+$9	06-11 23:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:15 UTC	29	$84	84	77	+7	Up	-$1	02-12 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:45 UTC	20	$84	98	97	+1	Up	+$9	02-03 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 13:45 UTC	34	$80	85	76	+8	Down	-$1	01-18 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	28	$77	84	72	+12	Down	-$9	06-02 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 00:15 UTC	26	$74	72	71	+1	Up	-$3	02-12 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	25	$74	78	72	+6	Down	$0	06-02 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 15:30 UTC	19	$74	69	62	+8	Down	-$2	02-03 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:00 UTC	30	$73	75	68	+8	Up	+$2	01-18 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	20	$65	61	61	+0	Up	+$2	05-22 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	20	$64	63	63	+0	Up	$0	05-24 01:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:00 UTC	16	$60	49	49	+1	Up	-$1	02-03 14:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:15 UTC	14	$60	58	57	+1	Up	+$4	02-03 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	20	$60	66	66	+0	Up	+$0	05-24 10:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:30 UTC	24	$60	60	54	+6	Down	$0	01-18 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	20	$59	60	60	+0	Down	-$1	05-22 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	16	$58	76	76	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	18	$56	55	55	+0	Down	-$1	05-22 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:00 UTC	14	$55	48	48	+1	Down	-$3	02-03 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:45 UTC	18	$55	53	48	+5	Up	+$1	02-12 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	20	$54	65	65	+0	Up	-$4	05-24 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	21	$53	60	48	+12	Down	+$2	06-02 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	16	$52	57	57	+0	Up	$0	05-22 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	16	$52	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	05-24 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	18	$51	53	47	+6	Down	-$2	06-02 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	14	$51	43	43	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 11:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4433ff…
10-03 09:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe95c81…
09-30 09:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x367ad8…
09-30 09:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xe8c0d0…
09-30 09:31:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xa080f7…
09-30 09:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xccb10c…
09-30 06:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa46f51…
09-30 06:03:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8d1d67…
09-30 06:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0bf1fc…
09-30 05:46:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xc06731…
09-30 05:46:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa8723f…
09-30 05:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xf81b6b…
09-30 05:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x92b7f8…
09-30 05:12:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x3fa382…
09-30 05:11:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2336d0…
09-30 05:09:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x5058c3…
09-30 05:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x998fae…
09-30 04:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xe0fa9a…
09-30 04:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xed319e…
09-30 03:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xa7f127…
09-30 03:50:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x922a02…
09-30 03:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xa28af0…
09-30 03:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2a5121…
09-30 03:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x054d6d…
09-30 03:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xf1f17a…
09-30 03:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x716ad0…
09-30 02:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x3610f1…
09-30 02:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcd5729…
09-30 02:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x61131c…
09-30 02:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2afa7a…
09-30 02:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x0011a0…
09-30 02:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xaa7baa…
09-30 02:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xcb74a5…
09-30 02:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5decb7…
09-30 01:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x95f4fd…
09-30 01:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa801e6…
09-30 01:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xcfa3f5…
09-30 01:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf4847d…
09-30 01:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xac87f2…
09-30 01:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x86950f…
09-30 01:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x2c5e10…
09-30 01:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2b3ee0…
09-30 01:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x917bbf…
09-30 01:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x408572…
09-30 01:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x076908…
09-30 01:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xecd9cc…
09-30 01:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xab3abf…
09-30 01:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcedc66…
09-30 01:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x58c247…
09-30 01:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x396a60…
09-30 00:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x9e2211…
09-30 00:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x94e1a3…
09-30 00:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x989c77…
09-30 00:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8947e5…
09-29 23:53:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xfb0131…
09-29 23:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x714192…
09-29 23:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0xdc4b4c…
09-29 23:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbb49e1…
09-29 22:56:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x76ef71…
09-29 22:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbc4318…
09-29 22:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x6df8aa…
09-29 22:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7d118b…
09-29 21:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x07ad0b…
09-29 21:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x09fbb2…
09-29 21:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x966036…
09-29 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x83abfb…
09-29 19:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfaff6e…
09-29 19:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xab1e64…
09-29 18:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa54618…
09-29 18:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x203654…
09-29 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3fc6e9…
09-29 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc0db39…
09-29 18:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x638f85…
09-29 18:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3b5698…
09-29 18:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x225bd6…
09-29 18:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfb9c91…
09-29 17:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe3df0a…
09-29 17:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xf9f9fc…
09-29 17:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x62e60d…
09-29 16:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x482848…
09-29 16:50:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x086ce3…
09-29 16:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x9a9b7d…
09-29 16:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6f85fb…
09-29 14:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x0a1912…
09-29 14:11:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x24e87e…
09-29 14:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3a968f…
09-29 13:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x5dc308…
09-29 13:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x796204…
09-29 13:25:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4d58ec…
09-29 13:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xf77284…
09-29 13:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa51f90…
09-29 13:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9a530f…
09-29 12:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x41dfa5…
09-29 12:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x114863…
09-29 12:31:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x977b90…
09-29 12:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xfb9eae…
09-29 12:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8a1a31…
09-29 11:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xbffaf2…
09-29 11:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd3d70e…
09-29 11:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x9c42bd…