Verifiable-Marksman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

1,206

Trades

10,135

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-13 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% $-92

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+7	$0	1¢	$0	$-0	07-13 12:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	24	$98	78	78	+0	open	—	06-03 10:20
btc updown 15m 1768748400	35	$94	88	80	+9	open	—	01-18 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	29	$94	98	98	+0	open	—	05-24 01:29
btc updown 15m 1768749300	39	$93	104	86	+18	open	—	01-18 15:27
btc updown 5m 1781219700	18	$87	70	70	+0	open	—	06-11 23:17
btc updown 15m 1770862500	29	$84	84	77	+7	open	—	02-12 02:30
btc updown 15m 1770126300	20	$84	98	97	+1	open	—	02-03 13:59
btc updown 15m 1768743900	34	$80	85	76	+8	open	—	01-18 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	28	$77	84	72	+12	open	—	06-02 12:59
btc updown 15m 1770855300	26	$74	72	71	+1	open	—	02-12 00:28
btc updown 15m 1770132600	19	$74	69	62	+8	open	—	02-03 15:41
btc updown 15m 1768744800	30	$73	75	68	+8	open	—	01-18 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	24	$72	72	72	+0	open	—	06-02 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	20	$65	61	61	+0	open	—	05-22 03:30
btc updown 15m 1770127200	16	$60	49	49	+1	open	—	02-03 14:13
btc updown 15m 1770128100	14	$60	58	57	+1	open	—	02-03 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	20	$60	66	66	+0	open	—	05-24 10:19
btc updown 15m 1768750200	24	$60	60	54	+6	open	—	01-18 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	20	$59	60	60	+0	open	—	05-22 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	16	$58	76	76	+0	open	—	05-22 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	18	$56	55	55	+0	open	—	05-22 04:44
btc updown 15m 1770141600	14	$55	48	48	+1	open	—	02-03 18:14
btc updown 15m 1770867900	18	$55	53	48	+5	open	—	02-12 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	20	$54	65	65	+0	open	—	05-24 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	16	$52	57	57	+0	open	—	05-22 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	18	$51	53	47	+6	open	—	06-02 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	14	$51	43	43	+0	open	—	05-22 03:10
btc updown 15m 1770882300	16	$50	48	48	+0	open	—	02-12 07:56
btc updown 15m 1770112800	12	$49	38	37	+0	open	—	02-03 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	18	$49	51	42	+9	open	—	06-01 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 12:41:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x418634…
07-02 07:42:02	btc updown 5m 1782978000	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc5fdca…
07-01 21:55:10	btc updown 5m 1782942900	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd275ea…
07-01 20:25:34	btc updown 15m 1782936900	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x326b32…
07-01 16:10:05	btc updown 15m 1782921600	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfddec6…
07-01 16:10:05	btc updown 5m 1782922200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x16c825…
07-01 14:55:34	btc updown 5m 1782917700	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x957647…
07-01 14:10:16	btc updown 5m 1782915000	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc55ca4…
07-01 14:10:16	btc updown 15m 1782914400	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x414229…
07-01 11:25:13	btc updown 15m 1782904500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x54e63c…
07-01 11:10:16	btc updown 5m 1782904200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf5fc05…
07-01 11:10:16	btc updown 15m 1782903600	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x73f061…
07-01 09:42:22	btc updown 5m 1782898800	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x7bdc81…
07-01 09:42:22	btc updown 15m 1782898200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x397b33…
07-01 08:40:14	btc updown 15m 1782894600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x595a68…
07-01 07:42:25	btc updown 5m 1782891600	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x3a0eaf…
07-01 07:42:25	btc updown 15m 1782891000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x22f58e…
07-01 05:40:04	btc updown 15m 1782883800	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e11e3…
07-01 02:12:28	btc updown 5m 1782871800	Down	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x743d9c…
07-01 00:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x93db07…
06-30 23:10:31	btc updown 15m 1782860400	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x332b1b…
06-30 23:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782861000	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1ba037…
06-30 20:11:31	btc updown 5m 1782850200	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x650a9f…
06-30 19:55:05	btc updown 5m 1782849300	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x07ba21…
06-30 19:10:13	btc updown 5m 1782846600	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc36617…
06-30 19:10:13	btc updown 15m 1782846000	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8e6f46…
06-30 18:25:14	btc updown 5m 1782843900	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x928188…
06-30 18:25:14	btc updown 15m 1782843300	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x04779f…
06-30 17:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782841200	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x271e1f…
06-30 17:40:23	btc updown 15m 1782840600	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2be874…
06-30 17:25:32	btc updown 15m 1782839700	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa1dccf…
06-30 17:11:16	btc updown 15m 1782838800	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbfe317…
06-30 17:11:16	btc updown 5m 1782839400	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x6684db…
06-30 15:58:29	btc updown 5m 1782834900	Up	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x9a8200…
06-30 15:41:55	btc updown 15m 1782833400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x967be3…
06-30 15:41:55	btc updown 5m 1782834000	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x5aa85e…
06-30 15:25:04	btc updown 15m 1782832500	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x948ed7…
06-30 14:25:44	btc updown 5m 1782829500	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x17ba19…
06-30 13:40:20	btc updown 5m 1782826800	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xa3efe7…
06-30 13:25:16	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfc05c2…
06-30 12:40:07	btc updown 15m 1782822600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x05a174…
06-30 12:40:05	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x13c101…
06-30 11:41:28	btc updown 15m 1782819000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba7277…
06-30 11:41:28	btc updown 5m 1782819600	Down	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x2f72a2…
06-30 10:55:07	btc updown 5m 1782816900	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x2c2217…
06-30 10:25:10	btc updown 15m 1782814500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8f80de…
06-30 10:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782815100	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x490880…
06-30 09:25:13	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x57bda6…
06-30 09:25:11	btc updown 15m 1782810900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x962c5c…
06-30 09:11:43	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xc393ad…
06-30 08:56:08	btc updown 15m 1782809100	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe61016…
06-30 08:56:07	btc updown 5m 1782809700	Up	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x190af1…
06-30 08:25:14	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5d2f62…
06-30 07:55:38	btc updown 15m 1782805500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe1e7ce…
06-30 07:55:38	btc updown 5m 1782806100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x47fe2a…
06-30 07:40:32	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x791edb…
06-30 07:40:32	btc updown 5m 1782805200	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f4585…
06-30 07:27:37	btc updown 5m 1782804300	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x490f68…
06-30 07:27:35	btc updown 15m 1782803700	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x13dcf4…
06-30 06:55:40	btc updown 5m 1782802500	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xece936…
06-30 06:55:40	btc updown 15m 1782801900	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3acc95…
06-30 06:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782800700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa2ddff…
06-30 04:43:14	btc updown 15m 1782793800	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd9eab…
06-30 04:43:14	btc updown 5m 1782794400	Up	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xda34c8…
06-30 02:56:17	btc updown 5m 1782788100	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc5e234…
06-30 02:56:17	btc updown 15m 1782787500	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2e7bac…
06-30 01:12:17	btc updown 5m 1782781800	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x19b033…
06-29 23:12:01	btc updown 5m 1782774600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e8803…
06-29 23:12:01	btc updown 15m 1782774000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0f3c82…
06-29 22:25:10	btc updown 15m 1782771300	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe67031…
06-29 22:25:10	btc updown 5m 1782771900	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x59acd6…
06-29 20:25:14	btc updown 15m 1782764100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3c76e…
06-29 20:25:14	btc updown 5m 1782764700	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf0e7c7…
06-29 20:11:43	btc updown 5m 1782763800	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9ab63d…
06-29 19:55:20	btc updown 15m 1782762300	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x301d45…
06-29 18:40:05	btc updown 15m 1782757800	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe1abdc…
06-29 18:40:05	btc updown 5m 1782758400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f68a4…
06-29 17:25:43	btc updown 15m 1782753300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8c2fd5…
06-29 17:25:43	btc updown 5m 1782753900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8bd3b3…
06-29 16:55:22	btc updown 15m 1782751500	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb13b44…
06-29 16:55:22	btc updown 5m 1782752100	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3b377c…
06-29 16:12:25	btc updown 5m 1782749400	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xad171f…
06-29 16:12:25	btc updown 15m 1782748800	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x07ba43…
06-29 15:26:13	btc updown 5m 1782746700	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6b22eb…
06-29 15:26:13	btc updown 15m 1782746100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x647b98…
06-29 14:40:14	btc updown 5m 1782744000	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x15de89…
06-29 13:55:07	btc updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb0dab…
06-29 13:55:05	btc updown 5m 1782741300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x234e37…
06-29 12:55:31	btc updown 5m 1782737700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x459b02…
06-29 12:55:31	btc updown 15m 1782737100	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1371f7…
06-29 11:56:02	btc updown 5m 1782734100	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2df5a1…
06-29 11:25:44	btc updown 5m 1782732300	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xcb9fea…
06-29 10:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782728700	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xc88800…
06-29 09:40:04	btc updown 15m 1782725400	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcdd14c…
06-29 09:40:04	btc updown 5m 1782726000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7d760d…
06-29 09:27:53	btc updown 5m 1782725100	Down	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xd7a01f…
06-29 08:55:22	btc updown 5m 1782723300	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe0169f…
06-29 08:55:22	btc updown 15m 1782722700	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x11b53f…
06-29 08:42:25	btc updown 5m 1782722400	Up	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x02909e…
06-29 07:57:40	btc updown 5m 1782719700	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xa61238…