Harsh-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

589

Trades

3,645

lifetime

Volume

$91.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-10 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 90% +$1,084

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781031000	1	$641	647	0	+647	open	—	06-09 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$641	647	0	+647	open	—	05-30 22:00
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$641	647	0	+647	open	—	05-28 03:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$629	635	0	+635	Down	+$6	05-10 04:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$629	635	0	+635	Down	+$6	05-11 11:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	8	$629	635	0	+635	Down	+$6	05-10 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$583	592	0	+592	Down	+$9	05-06 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$380	384	0	+384	Down	+$4	05-13 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$318	321	0	+321	open	—	05-27 01:12
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$271	274	0	+274	open	—	05-25 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	11	$251	256	0	+256	Up	+$5	05-08 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$211	150	150	+0	open	—	05-21 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	12	$162	164	0	+164	open	—	05-16 20:01
btc updown 15m 1780528500	3	$84	85	0	+85	open	—	06-03 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	6	$84	85	0	+85	Up	+$1	05-08 07:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$82	83	0	+83	Down	+$1	05-14 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$82	83	0	+83	Up	+$1	05-06 10:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$81	82	0	+82	open	—	05-28 15:55
btc updown 5m 1780928400	1	$81	82	0	+82	open	—	06-08 14:25
btc updown 5m 1781002800	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	06-09 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-29 09:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	Down	+$1	05-12 17:30
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-28 19:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$80	81	0	+81	Up	+$1	05-06 09:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	Down	+$1	05-11 04:50
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-16 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$80	81	0	+81	Up	+$1	05-05 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-23 14:05
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-28 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	05-14 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x522c05…
06-10 02:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0xc0f137…
06-10 02:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfa5923…
06-10 02:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xd0192b…
06-10 02:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781056800	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x1ad1a3…
06-10 00:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781050500	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6953bf…
06-10 00:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781050500	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x550ef7…
06-10 00:00:01	xrp updown 15m 1781048700	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x581464…
06-09 23:15:00	eth updown 5m 1781046600	Down	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x7322fd…
06-09 22:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781043600	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x206369…
06-09 21:45:01	btc updown 15m 1781040600	Down	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x892586…
06-09 21:40:03	eth updown 5m 1781040900	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0x8ae179…
06-09 21:40:01	eth updown 5m 1781040900	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x11b611…
06-09 21:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781039400	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe52925…
06-09 21:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781039400	Up	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x52f3f7…
06-09 19:50:01	xrp updown 5m 1781034300	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf2851c…
06-09 19:45:01	xrp updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0xee663c…
06-09 19:45:00	sol updown 5m 1781034000	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xdfebe4…
06-09 19:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xd3bad3…
06-09 19:20:00	eth updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xd0692b…
06-09 19:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x7d8cd4…
06-09 19:20:00	eth updown 5m 1781032500	Down	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x613b3c…
06-09 19:15:00	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6f29cd…
06-09 19:15:00	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x342154…
06-09 19:15:00	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00fff6…
06-09 18:55:03	eth updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc57645…
06-09 18:55:01	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Up	BUY	647	99¢	$641	0x46a4a1…
06-09 18:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x4853c0…
06-09 18:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x28c91c…
06-09 18:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781030100	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xd8cd1b…
06-09 18:05:03	eth updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x69e0e7…
06-09 18:05:03	eth updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3c6ee7…
06-09 18:05:01	eth updown 5m 1781028000	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x187103…
06-09 16:30:03	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x421de9…
06-09 16:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb3c2ef…
06-09 16:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x268815…
06-09 16:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x052036…
06-09 16:15:01	eth updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xa7ca6b…
06-09 15:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Down	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x6e7c72…
06-09 15:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781019600	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x65a1f4…
06-09 15:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x6776b2…
06-09 15:15:03	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xec62f8…
06-09 15:15:03	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf90d0…
06-09 15:15:03	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ce761…
06-09 15:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xba7c98…
06-09 15:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x169b25…
06-09 15:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbf55fc…
06-09 15:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x99ea8c…
06-09 15:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1dcf90…
06-09 15:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781017800	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x19a541…
06-09 14:10:01	xrp updown 5m 1781013900	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x1838d0…
06-09 13:40:01	xrp updown 5m 1781012100	Down	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x19bfa2…
06-09 12:40:01	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e3a53…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x92fd43…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9079db…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x690d8e…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x541834…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x3d6f5a…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c2a7f…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x35ac1a…
06-09 12:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781008500	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x238abb…
06-09 11:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781002800	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x2157e5…
06-09 10:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Down	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0x799a88…
06-09 09:55:03	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Down	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xced134…
06-09 09:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x90929a…
06-09 09:50:00	btc updown 5m 1780998300	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x9a32fa…
06-09 08:45:00	btc updown 5m 1780994400	Up	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x8f2105…
06-09 07:55:00	btc updown 5m 1780991400	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xaf68df…
06-09 07:00:00	sol updown 5m 1780988100	Up	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xb79f77…
06-09 06:55:01	xrp updown 5m 1780987800	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x7fb96a…
06-09 06:55:01	xrp updown 5m 1780987800	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x62b073…
06-09 06:55:00	xrp updown 5m 1780987800	Up	BUY	38	90¢	$35	0x620d8d…
06-09 06:55:00	xrp updown 5m 1780987800	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0a1615…
06-09 06:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1780985700	Down	BUY	31	57¢	$17	0x924ce4…
06-09 06:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1780985700	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2df3aa…
06-09 06:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1780985700	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x10fb9f…
06-09 04:20:00	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Down	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x2d078b…
06-09 04:15:00	btc updown 5m 1780978200	Down	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x13eeba…
06-09 03:50:00	btc updown 5m 1780976700	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc062d2…
06-09 03:05:01	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x9d42f2…
06-09 03:05:01	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x873395…
06-09 03:05:01	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x80970b…
06-09 03:05:01	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x2e9736…
06-09 03:05:00	xrp updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbfd21d…
06-09 03:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x48e2a3…
06-09 03:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780974000	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x3b52de…
06-09 02:35:03	btc updown 5m 1780972200	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x7dbab1…
06-09 02:30:58	btc updown 15m 1780971300	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x57cb18…
06-09 02:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780970100	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x24c5bc…
06-09 01:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780967100	Down	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x6fd6c1…
06-09 00:45:00	btc updown 15m 1780965000	Down	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x848f81…
06-09 00:35:01	btc updown 5m 1780965000	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x91244d…
06-09 00:10:03	btc updown 5m 1780963500	Down	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x839c68…
06-08 23:45:00	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd5bf89…
06-08 23:45:00	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5754d5…
06-08 23:45:00	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4333d4…
06-08 23:05:01	sol updown 5m 1780959600	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9327d5…
06-08 23:05:01	sol updown 5m 1780959600	Up	BUY	47	92¢	$44	0x5c34b6…
06-08 23:04:58	btc updown 5m 1780959600	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x72984e…
06-08 23:00:37	xrp updown 15m 1780958700	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xa0a347…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	966	$98.0K	11,445	06-10 02:24
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	941	$122.3K	8,092	06-10 02:24
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	928	$38.2K	6,849	06-10 02:24
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	913	$150.7K	27,857	06-10 02:24
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	899	$498.7K	82,582	06-10 02:24
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	893	$829.3K	32,707	06-10 02:25
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	888	$1.65K	5,476	06-09 19:20
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	882	$2.49K	8,104	06-10 02:25