Yearly-Warmup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

323

Trades

15,717

lifetime

Volume

$193.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 08-11 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 35% $-2,692

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 511 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	27	$4.0K	12,926	12,198	+728	open	—	03-26 14:51
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	11	$1.6K	8,874	0	+8,874	open	—	03-26 22:10
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	43	$974	5,692	900	+4,792	open	—	05-31 01:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$642	66,206	22,222	+43,984	open	—	06-03 09:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$603	615	615	+0	open	—	03-23 18:18
btc updown 5m 1780945800	19	$504	490	490	+0	open	—	06-08 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$456	320	320	+0	open	—	05-21 12:34
btc updown 5m 1781047800	19	$436	339	339	+0	open	—	06-09 23:35
btc updown 5m 1780834800	23	$412	400	400	+0	open	—	06-07 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	12	$385	300	300	+0	open	—	06-01 20:19
btc updown 5m 1784297700	3	$382	300	300	+0	open	—	07-17 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	10	$373	270	270	+0	open	—	05-23 15:04
btc updown 5m 1783532400	5	$366	256	256	+0	open	—	07-08 17:41
btc updown 5m 1781000400	11	$364	370	370	+0	open	—	06-09 10:24
btc updown 5m 1780864800	29	$351	250	250	+0	open	—	06-07 20:44
btc updown 5m 1783693800	7	$322	267	267	+0	open	—	07-10 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$317	270	270	+0	open	—	05-23 18:37
btc updown 5m 1781047500	22	$312	220	220	+0	open	—	06-09 23:28
btc updown 5m 1783620900	9	$310	400	200	+200	open	—	07-09 18:15
btc updown 5m 1782832800	11	$301	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 15:24
btc updown 5m 1784547600	2	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	07-20 11:44
btc updown 5m 1783696500	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	07-10 15:16
btc updown 5m 1783343100	11	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	07-06 13:08
btc updown 5m 1782951600	12	$295	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 00:23
btc updown 5m 1784130000	2	$292	200	200	+0	open	—	07-15 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	10	$288	300	300	+0	open	—	06-03 16:04
btc updown 5m 1783973100	16	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	07-13 20:08
btc updown 5m 1781025600	11	$279	230	230	+0	open	—	06-09 17:24
btc updown 5m 1780774200	18	$275	400	200	+200	open	—	06-06 19:34
btc updown 5m 1782915600	3	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	07-01 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:45:09	btc updown 15m 1786473900	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6401fd…
08-11 15:45:18	btc updown 15m 1786463100	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x285d47…
08-11 15:00:10	btc updown 15m 1786460400	Up	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x8008c2…
08-11 14:55:07	btc updown 5m 1786460100	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x843d54…
08-11 14:47:04	btc updown 15m 1786459500	Up	BUY	89	58¢	$52	0xe99c40…
08-11 14:47:04	btc updown 15m 1786459500	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0xca8b83…
08-11 14:47:04	btc updown 15m 1786459500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc576c3…
08-11 14:47:04	btc updown 15m 1786459500	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0fc9c5…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xd3337e…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xb89e40…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x85e8c9…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x644b98…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	120	57¢	$68	0x556886…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4797b6…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x37f3ab…
08-11 13:35:13	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x0fa005…
08-11 13:35:10	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xf2f77c…
08-11 13:35:09	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3e7a84…
08-11 13:35:09	btc updown 5m 1786455300	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x2b348c…
08-11 13:31:13	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x16ce66…
08-11 13:31:12	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xbff45c…
08-11 13:31:12	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	65	58¢	$38	0x93af2f…
08-11 13:31:12	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5d5f24…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfa43f2…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf46027…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdf3cb4…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xd49261…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd03d11…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc0c640…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xa9c086…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa64dd6…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x9875c1…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6996b8…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x2bc113…
08-11 13:31:07	btc updown 5m 1786455000	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1644cb…
08-11 11:15:12	btc updown 15m 1786446900	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xeb812c…
08-11 10:00:09	btc updown 15m 1786442400	Down	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xfab2c8…
08-11 09:45:18	btc updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9fca77…
08-11 09:45:18	btc updown 15m 1786441500	Down	BUY	96	55¢	$53	0x10e8cd…
08-10 20:30:06	btc updown 15m 1786393800	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x8f34d2…
08-10 19:35:07	btc updown 5m 1786390500	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf9ca57…
08-10 16:55:07	btc updown 5m 1786380900	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x63f75a…
08-10 16:20:07	btc updown 5m 1786378800	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4200b6…
08-10 15:50:07	btc updown 5m 1786377000	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x857b26…
08-10 15:40:07	btc updown 5m 1786376400	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x86cece…
08-10 15:31:28	btc updown 15m 1786375800	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe2f933…
08-10 15:31:21	btc updown 15m 1786375800	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa3458e…
08-10 15:31:19	btc updown 15m 1786375800	Up	BUY	84	55¢	$46	0x6a592a…
08-10 15:25:07	btc updown 5m 1786375500	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x8fbdfc…
08-10 14:00:18	btc updown 15m 1786370400	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x1f0911…
08-10 13:46:03	btc updown 15m 1786369500	Up	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xfd3646…
08-10 13:46:03	btc updown 15m 1786369500	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x537fa7…
08-10 13:46:03	btc updown 15m 1786369500	Up	BUY	28	55¢	$16	0x3c86f4…
08-10 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1786369200	Up	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x08229a…
08-10 13:35:06	btc updown 5m 1786368900	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x52aa02…
08-10 13:00:15	btc updown 15m 1786366800	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x729d70…
08-10 13:00:07	btc updown 5m 1786366800	Up	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x42ade6…
08-10 09:45:13	btc updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	179	55¢	$98	0x58f608…
08-10 09:45:13	btc updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x39cd4a…
08-10 09:45:13	btc updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x1cb3f8…
08-10 09:45:06	btc updown 5m 1786355100	Up	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x07b966…
08-10 09:30:09	btc updown 15m 1786354200	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xccee25…
08-10 06:05:55	btc updown 5m 1786341900	Down	BUY	94	55¢	$51	0x51359e…
08-10 06:05:55	btc updown 5m 1786341900	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x152d4c…
08-09 23:30:09	btc updown 15m 1786318200	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x495fa9…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xe02815…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xe01fe5…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xc77878…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbc435f…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xa77c24…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x665750…
08-09 22:45:07	btc updown 15m 1786315500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1e940d…
08-09 22:15:07	btc updown 5m 1786313700	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x892b80…
08-09 22:15:07	btc updown 15m 1786313700	Down	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x10f49b…
08-07 17:35:07	btc updown 5m 1786124100	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x1c4fc0…
08-07 17:05:09	btc updown 5m 1786122300	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x9fdf32…
08-07 14:05:07	btc updown 5m 1786111500	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x4eb9c5…
08-07 12:55:06	btc updown 5m 1786107300	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xca794d…
08-06 18:50:11	btc updown 5m 1786042200	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7ac3a3…
08-06 16:00:27	btc updown 5m 1786032000	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8eac89…
08-06 14:40:12	btc updown 5m 1786027200	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1daf19…
08-06 09:30:35	btc updown 5m 1786008600	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x4a37ed…
08-06 09:28:26	btc updown 5m 1786008300	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x3f5915…
08-06 06:10:14	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x68c640…
08-06 06:10:12	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xdd36cc…
08-06 06:10:11	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8380e1…
08-06 06:10:11	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5028c6…
08-06 06:10:09	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xe4e283…
08-06 06:10:09	btc updown 5m 1785996600	Up	BUY	41	55¢	$22	0x17ec20…
08-06 05:00:12	btc updown 5m 1785992400	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6d7189…
08-06 01:30:11	btc updown 5m 1785979800	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xef5188…
08-06 00:05:08	btc updown 5m 1785974700	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x132931…
08-05 20:30:06	btc updown 5m 1785962100	Down	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x1b8a9f…
08-05 20:25:06	btc updown 5m 1785961500	Down	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xcacc79…
08-05 13:35:09	btc updown 5m 1785936900	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6cb779…
08-05 10:55:08	btc updown 5m 1785927300	Up	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xb1f8c9…
08-05 09:35:05	btc updown 5m 1785922500	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x38e7f9…
08-05 07:31:50	btc updown 5m 1785915000	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xeb06f5…
08-05 07:31:50	btc updown 5m 1785915000	Down	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xa6e8d8…
08-05 07:31:50	btc updown 5m 1785915000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8d9ccb…