Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$4,810
Trades
749
Unique wallets
193
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
71¢
Latest NO mid
29¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-11-03
last 11-04 00:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.0¢
(top1%: 62% YES on $2.2K
vs crowd: 76% YES on $4.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 65 | $1.8K | $844 | +$1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $717 | $102 | +$615 |
| 🐟 Fish | 53 | $418 | $80 | +$338 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $264 | $19 | +$245 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 59 | $1.4K | $848 | +$515 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $511 | $88 | +$424 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $104 | $8 | +$95 |
| Median | 13 | $95 | $5 | +$90 |
| Below median | 39 | $312 | $21 | +$291 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $176 | $15 | +$161 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $164 | $53 | +$111 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $517 | $5 | +$511 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +650 | $280 | $280 | 10 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +313 | $74 | $74 | 18 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Down | +313 | $15 | $15 | 5 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 4 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Yearly-Warmup 0x1cca…50e9 | Up | +200 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2c9…bac8 | Up | +200 | $112 | $112 | 7 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | +192 | $39 | $39 | 8 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +185 | $24 | $24 | 7 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | +180 | $175 | $175 | 5 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Well-Off-String 0x6b36…0d4b | Up | +157 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x765e…36dd | Down | +157 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +131 | $125 | $125 | 5 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xccbb…028c | Up | +129 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe976…7e5a | Up | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +120 | $89 | $89 | 11 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +111 | $70 | $70 | 20 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | +110 | $72 | $72 | 11 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | +105 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +102 | $29 | $29 | 30 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Inborn-Symptom 0x1844…87b2 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +94 | $39 | $39 | 15 | 11-04 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Down | +94 | $37 | $37 | 17 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x073c…479a | Up | +87 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +85 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +83 | $30 | $30 | 11 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +82 | $71 | $71 | 6 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb7b…7953 | Up | +78 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +76 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Vicious-Bowl 0x5042…f296 | Down | +75 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 11-04 00:00 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | +71 | $42 | $42 | 24 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +70 | $63 | $63 | 4 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | +70 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 11-04 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +63 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aaf…e80c | Down | +62 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 11-04 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d39…09c5 | Up | +62 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-04 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | +56 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Down | +56 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Down | +55 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f8…491f | Up | +55 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-03 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +53 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 11-04 00:01 |
| Unnatural-Playroom 0x7294…8681 | Down | +51 | $5 | $5 | 12 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Up | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Down | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | +49 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e8a…c0eb | Up | +48 | $28 | $28 | 8 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | +47 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 11-04 00:04 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +45 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 11-04 00:00 |
| Posh-Sherbet 0x95fa…66b3 | Up | +45 | $21 | $21 | 8 | 11-04 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +43 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 11-04 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | +43 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 11-04 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Peaceful-Identification 0x4b8e…05a9 | Down | +43 | $21 | $21 | 12 | 11-04 00:01 |
| Blissful-Pig 0x14a2…1b42 | Down | +42 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Irritating-Lamb 0xfc10…a8d5 | Down | +40 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 11-04 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +38 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | +36 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-04 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +36 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 11-03 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x384f…0200 | Down | +31 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Posh-Sherbet 0x95fa…66b3 | Down | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-04 00:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 00:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x8152…5b51 | Up | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x1da2ae… |
| 11-04 00:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x1da2ae… |
| 11-04 00:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xab9c…ccf3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x623f22… |
| 11-04 00:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xddfbb4… |
| 11-04 00:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x623f22… |
| 11-04 00:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xccbb…028c | Up | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xddfbb4… |
| 11-04 00:04:16 | Repentant-Confirmation 0x5195…d864 | Down | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xddfbb4… |
| 11-04 00:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x2359…d99b | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc882ff… |
| 11-04 00:04:15 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc882ff… |
| 11-04 00:04:13 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Up | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x1b0cfa… |
| 11-04 00:04:13 | Annual-Universe 0xd292…2b66 | Down | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1b0cfa… |
| 11-04 00:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x1b0cfa… |
| 11-04 00:04:12 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x60735d… |
| 11-04 00:04:12 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x60735d… |
| 11-04 00:04:10 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 16 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x9a52f9… |
| 11-04 00:04:10 | (anonymous) 0x9440…92d9 | Down | BUY | 16 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9a52f9… |
| 11-04 00:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xac688d… |
| 11-04 00:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Down | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xac688d… |
| 11-04 00:04:06 | Yummy-Treasure-Odometer 0xdf4c…4f22 | Down | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x6c071d… |
| 11-04 00:04:06 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | SELL | 28 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x6c071d… |
| 11-04 00:04:06 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x6c071d… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Up | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x5ddcdf… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Down | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x796cda… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x5ddcdf… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0xc96c…7a21 | Down | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x536559… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Down | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x796cda… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Up | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0xa108e3… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0xa108e3… |
| 11-04 00:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x536559… |
| 11-04 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | BUY | 55 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x265889… |
| 11-04 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x428c…6ae4 | Up | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x265889… |
| 11-04 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x265889… |
| 11-04 00:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | BUY | 12 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x265889… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Up | SELL | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | BUY | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x6a60…e076 | Down | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x03c097… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Down | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Down | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x03c097… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xe976…7e5a | Up | BUY | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 66 | 19¢ | $13 | 0x02cf34… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x66a8b2… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | Hollow-Equivalent 0x42a4…1bcd | Down | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xd2e7f0… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xfc10…1e87 | Down | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x66a8b2… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x9ab6d8… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x9ab6d8… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xd2e7f0… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x24e241… |
| 11-04 00:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x24e241… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x5a6f64… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x122df3… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xbc87…66c9 | Down | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xd586a0… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xbfdf…6f0b | Up | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0xdedfaa… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Up | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x4687c8… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | Blissful-Pig 0x14a2…1b42 | Down | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xd586a0… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Down | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x122df3… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5a6f64… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0x0e7c…365d | Up | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x348610… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x348610… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x4687c8… |
| 11-04 00:03:48 | Blissful-Pig 0x14a2…1b42 | Down | BUY | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xdedfaa… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x2e9bf8… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Down | BUY | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x2e9bf8… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 36 | 91¢ | $33 | 0x127f52… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x3b5842… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x127f52… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Down | SELL | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xd9f86d… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | BUY | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x4c947f… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | BUY | 54 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x127f52… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xf7e0…c037 | Up | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x551818… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0 | Down | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf5cc46… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 64 | 89¢ | $57 | 0x4d164e… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Down | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x200d7f… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Down | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2e9bf8… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x09e8…1a8c | Up | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8adc15… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa554da… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xf074…723b | Up | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $11 | 0xf5cc46… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xfddb…4529 | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9374cc… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Down | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9374cc… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x8adc15… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0xf7e0…c037 | Up | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x3b5842… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Bogus-Incompetence 0x371a…2c72 | Up | BUY | 28 | 89¢ | $25 | 0xf5cc46… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | BUY | 64 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x4d164e… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x551818… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa4e2f9… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xa554da… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Showy-Crewmate 0x7fc1…1579 | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x127f52… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0xa4e2f9… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Empty-Balcony 0x4e66…5475 | Up | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x4c947f… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Down | BUY | 23 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xd9f86d… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x6e88…09c2 | Up | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x200d7f… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf | Down | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2e9bf8… |
| 11-04 00:03:46 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x127f52… |
| 11-04 00:03:37 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xce5aba… |
| 11-04 00:03:37 | Inborn-Symptom 0x1844…87b2 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xce5aba… |
| 11-04 00:03:36 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6b2e35… |
| 11-04 00:03:36 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6b2e35… |
| 11-04 00:03:36 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x602043… |