Empty-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$806

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

9,113

Trades

66,225

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-27 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 78% -$586

Other

2% 92% -$40

Sports

1% 71% +$20

Politics

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 21785 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	40	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$26	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	32	$817	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$17	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	30	$761	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$11	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	28	$705	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	-$5	05-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	14	$325	700	0	+700	Down	+$25	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	12	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	21	$286	68	941	-874	Down	-$621	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	11	$252	550	0	+550	Down	-$2	05-15 18:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 8pm et	89	$223	383	73	+311	Down	-$14	07-25 00:45
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	93	$204	465	0	+465	Down	+$26	06-05 13:31
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	69	$204	450	0	+450	Down	+$21	06-04 04:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	-$200	05-15 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:20 UTC	60	$191	205	205	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:35 UTC	52	$182	313	0	+313	Up	-$32	07-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	73	$182	365	0	+365	Up	-$2	05-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	71	$180	360	0	+360	Up	+$0	07-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	54	$159	278	0	+278	Down	-$8	07-31 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	44	$153	269	0	+269	Down	-$6	07-31 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	55	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$1	07-27 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	42	$146	237	0	+237	Up	-$14	07-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:05 UTC	45	$143	261	0	+261	Down	+$2	07-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	44	$142	238	0	+238	Up	-$15	07-31 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	45	$137	243	0	+243	Down	+$5	07-31 04:34
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	49	$135	245	0	+245	Up	-$5	06-06 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	48	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$4	07-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	51	$125	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	45	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$5	07-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	41	$120	225	0	+225	Up	-$15	07-28 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	36	$115	208	0	+208	Down	+$1	07-31 03:34
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	50	$108	250	0	+250	Up	+$17	06-07 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11¢	$0	0x1342dc…
10-27 08:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15¢	$0	0xc7c2d7…
10-27 08:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x227f14…
10-27 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0xf2bd2a…
10-27 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15¢	$0	0xa91e61…
10-27 08:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4¢	$0	0xee21e3…
10-27 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18¢	$0	0x85bd5d…
10-27 07:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0x6695b6…
10-27 07:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x692d19…
10-27 07:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	60¢	$0	0x7cbbfc…
10-27 07:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0x4208f1…
10-27 07:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3¢	$0	0x4da5b8…
10-27 07:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	94¢	$0	0x508006…
10-27 06:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x5dd3a3…
10-27 06:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0x4f933a…
10-27 06:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	60¢	$0	0x42ab00…
10-27 06:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	98¢	$0	0x5546bd…
10-27 06:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14¢	$0	0xdea1dd…
10-27 06:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26¢	$0	0xc0602b…
10-27 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15¢	$0	0x4caf1c…
10-27 05:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4¢	$0	0xf9697c…
10-27 05:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7¢	$0	0x9dd7bf…
10-27 05:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17¢	$0	0x39c873…
10-27 05:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40¢	$0	0x8d72a4…
10-27 04:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16¢	$0	0x16c112…
10-27 04:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x266580…
10-27 04:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0xfe2e74…
10-27 04:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0xaaee35…
10-27 03:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14¢	$0	0x1af7c5…
10-27 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	74¢	$0	0x67a090…
10-27 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0xe8762e…
10-27 03:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0xab0052…
10-27 03:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0x88f7b2…
10-27 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58¢	$0	0x174da0…
10-27 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0x9065e8…
10-27 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0x094bcd…
10-27 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50¢	$0	0xa0aa19…
10-27 01:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	57¢	$0	0xed0e16…
10-27 00:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28¢	$0	0x50d538…
10-26 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	27¢	$0	0xd9457c…
10-26 23:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0x6b099a…
10-26 23:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0x528d02…
10-26 23:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0x3fb6cf…
10-26 23:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0xf37b5b…
10-26 23:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9¢	$0	0x941a15…
10-26 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	39¢	$0	0xff7aca…
10-26 22:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	73¢	$0	0x23b1d1…
10-26 22:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	32¢	$0	0x95f667…
10-26 22:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0x983f1f…
10-26 22:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	68¢	$0	0x23de44…
10-26 21:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29¢	$0	0x6ea5a8…
10-26 21:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	46¢	$0	0xc92290…
10-26 21:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16¢	$0	0xcbb01b…
10-26 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49¢	$0	0x1e2245…
10-26 19:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0x81c76a…
10-26 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31¢	$0	0x35c8e1…
10-26 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	61¢	$0	0x306ff1…
10-26 18:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40¢	$0	0x9e0220…
10-26 17:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	32¢	$0	0x8468c9…
10-26 17:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xd52089…
10-26 17:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12¢	$0	0x06919e…
10-26 16:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24¢	$0	0x714915…
10-26 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0xcec3fc…
10-26 15:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30¢	$0	0x213d95…
10-26 15:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7¢	$0	0xfcf625…
10-26 15:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	85¢	$0	0x763334…
10-26 15:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	88¢	$0	0xe4f5c0…
10-26 15:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0x1300bd…
10-26 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x8e8fbb…
10-26 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x68c8bc…
10-26 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0xcee615…
10-26 15:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0xbe1b0b…
10-26 15:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0xded303…
10-26 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52¢	$0	0xbcc82f…
10-26 15:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	52¢	$0	0x785091…
10-26 15:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0x64b35b…
10-26 15:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14¢	$0	0x739320…
10-26 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0x90e35d…
10-26 15:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	79¢	$0	0x37ed99…
10-26 15:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80¢	$0	0xedbc9a…
10-26 15:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80¢	$0	0x3ef5fe…
10-26 15:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	79¢	$0	0xed7b08…
10-26 15:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	79¢	$0	0x71093b…
10-26 15:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80¢	$0	0x6dea9f…
10-26 15:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0x38d6b4…
10-26 15:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0xd7bf6a…
10-26 15:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0xff7785…
10-26 15:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0x96d313…
10-26 15:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0x611278…
10-26 15:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0x159ee3…
10-26 15:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0x34251c…
10-26 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x542de6…
10-26 15:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	43¢	$0	0x7616b7…
10-26 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0xf7095f…
10-26 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	51¢	$0	0x92f057…
10-26 15:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	43¢	$0	0x09b752…
10-26 15:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x81e449…
10-26 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x3660c8…
10-26 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0x6c5323…
10-26 15:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43¢	$0	0x85bb00…