Empty-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$810

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

12,802

Trades

122,364

lifetime

Volume

$50.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-09 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 71% -$589

Other

2% 92% -$40

Sports

1% 71% +$20

Politics

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 21785 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	99¢	$-0	$0	11-09 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	99¢	$-0	$0	11-09 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	—	-0	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	11-09 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	—	-0	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	11-09 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	40	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$26	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	32	$817	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$17	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	30	$761	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$11	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	28	$705	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	-$5	05-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	14	$325	700	0	+700	Down	+$25	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	12	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	21	$286	68	941	-874	Down	-$621	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	11	$252	550	0	+550	Down	-$2	05-15 18:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 8pm et	89	$223	383	73	+311	Down	-$14	07-25 00:45
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	93	$204	465	0	+465	Down	+$26	06-05 13:31
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	69	$204	450	0	+450	Down	+$21	06-04 04:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	-$200	05-15 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:20 UTC	60	$191	205	205	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:35 UTC	52	$182	313	0	+313	Up	-$32	07-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	73	$182	365	0	+365	Up	-$2	05-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	71	$180	360	0	+360	Up	+$0	07-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	54	$159	278	0	+278	Down	-$8	07-31 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	44	$153	269	0	+269	Down	-$6	07-31 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	55	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$1	07-27 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	42	$146	237	0	+237	Up	-$14	07-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:05 UTC	45	$143	261	0	+261	Down	+$2	07-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	44	$142	238	0	+238	Up	-$15	07-31 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	45	$137	243	0	+243	Down	+$5	07-31 04:34
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	49	$135	245	0	+245	Up	-$5	06-06 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	48	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$4	07-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	51	$125	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	45	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$5	07-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	41	$120	225	0	+225	Up	-$15	07-28 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	36	$115	208	0	+208	Down	+$1	07-31 03:34
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	50	$108	250	0	+250	Up	+$17	06-07 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8¢	$0	0xb13110…
11-09 20:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	71¢	$0	0x52edb1…
11-09 20:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x3c8e60…
11-09 20:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17¢	$0	0x144445…
11-09 20:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0xe8cdf5…
11-09 20:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23¢	$0	0xc82721…
11-09 20:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0xb20de3…
11-09 20:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0xdee23d…
11-09 20:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11¢	$0	0x7070b2…
11-09 20:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	17¢	$0	0xa87e15…
11-09 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x9db85b…
11-09 20:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0x0f6385…
11-09 20:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0xac156a…
11-09 20:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x2d9a8f…
11-09 20:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x8815c2…
11-09 20:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0x56bbd0…
11-09 20:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34¢	$0	0xeb07e4…
11-09 20:11:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34¢	$0	0x372a09…
11-09 20:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21¢	$0	0x0c1a61…
11-09 20:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0xd06282…
11-09 20:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45¢	$0	0x743cf8…
11-09 20:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30¢	$0	0x788e1b…
11-09 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34¢	$0	0x2d0b53…
11-09 20:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34¢	$0	0xabba41…
11-09 20:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0x3937bf…
11-09 20:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	42¢	$0	0xcca5ed…
11-09 20:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45¢	$0	0x91f036…
11-09 20:10:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59¢	$0	0xeb70bc…
11-09 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	41¢	$0	0xed9f6d…
11-09 20:10:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0xb38d10…
11-09 20:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x2240c4…
11-09 20:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45¢	$0	0xa7e8e8…
11-09 20:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29¢	$0	0xe38a85…
11-09 20:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5¢	$0	0xbb331d…
11-09 20:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0x73f882…
11-09 20:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x813a7a…
11-09 20:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	57¢	$0	0xfe6e59…
11-09 20:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	77¢	$0	0x163e34…
11-09 20:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	75¢	$0	0x73db06…
11-09 20:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18¢	$0	0x7dccde…
11-09 20:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0xf0c811…
11-09 20:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	31¢	$0	0x32457a…
11-09 20:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	39¢	$0	0x89d497…
11-09 20:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0x4a8de1…
11-09 20:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22¢	$0	0x95bef9…
11-09 20:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x2d94ed…
11-09 20:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	28¢	$0	0x5ca1bd…
11-09 20:07:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x51d972…
11-09 20:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0x4bff72…
11-09 20:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	43¢	$0	0x32d15d…
11-09 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28¢	$0	0x9104fc…
11-09 20:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	59¢	$0	0xcb7e18…
11-09 20:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	61¢	$0	0xf7c0de…
11-09 20:06:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	53¢	$0	0x7b60c4…
11-09 20:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71¢	$0	0xa8e33c…
11-09 20:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x362eca…
11-09 20:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	62¢	$0	0xf0e881…
11-09 20:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	75¢	$0	0xc1aee5…
11-09 20:05:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	67¢	$0	0x0d7960…
11-09 20:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14¢	$0	0xe9b1e5…
11-09 20:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21¢	$0	0xec8380…
11-09 20:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24¢	$0	0xb4982c…
11-09 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xd6b289…
11-09 20:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0xc90ec5…
11-09 20:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x5a1ab5…
11-09 20:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7¢	$0	0x7233b7…
11-09 20:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	87¢	$0	0x6ec412…
11-09 20:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0x56003d…
11-09 20:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13¢	$0	0xbd4f55…
11-09 20:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19¢	$0	0x0a0f26…
11-09 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0xbb9264…
11-09 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0x94b6e4…
11-09 20:02:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0xd287ca…
11-09 20:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0xe28718…
11-09 20:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	30¢	$0	0x10e934…
11-09 20:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46¢	$0	0xae2155…
11-09 20:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	43¢	$0	0xf81b6f…
11-09 20:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x3ae309…
11-09 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	60¢	$0	0x0d863c…
11-09 20:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	58¢	$0	0x822954…
11-09 20:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0xc11c0f…
11-09 20:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0x6bc709…
11-09 20:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0xc57f24…
11-09 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28¢	$0	0xfd2333…
11-09 20:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	28¢	$0	0x7cc1a6…
11-09 20:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0x2e6fe4…
11-09 20:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	36¢	$0	0x9501cd…
11-09 20:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x34de1e…
11-09 20:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x7f6127…
11-09 20:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0x5b2335…
11-09 20:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0x67221a…
11-09 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	85¢	$0	0xf4f487…
11-09 19:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0xc62edb…
11-09 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35¢	$0	0x01aa56…
11-09 19:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	32¢	$0	0x79de46…
11-09 19:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	58¢	$0	0x404119…
11-09 19:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33¢	$0	0xbeac34…
11-09 19:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29¢	$0	0xdf0037…
11-09 19:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x5a98d6…
11-09 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	67¢	$0	0xd9899d…