Empty-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$811

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

13,282

Trades

131,244

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-10 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% -$590

Other

2% 92% -$40

Sports

1% 71% +$20

Politics

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 21785 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	98¢	$-0	$0	11-10 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up		-0	$0	99¢	$-0	$0	11-10 16:17
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	—	-0	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	11-10 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down		-0	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	11-10 16:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	40	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$26	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	32	$817	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$17	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	30	$761	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$11	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	28	$705	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	-$5	05-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	14	$325	700	0	+700	Down	+$25	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	12	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	21	$286	68	941	-874	Down	-$621	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	11	$252	550	0	+550	Down	-$2	05-15 18:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 8pm et	89	$223	383	73	+311	Down	-$14	07-25 00:45
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	93	$204	465	0	+465	Down	+$26	06-05 13:31
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	69	$204	450	0	+450	Down	+$21	06-04 04:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	-$200	05-15 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:20 UTC	60	$191	205	205	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:35 UTC	52	$182	313	0	+313	Up	-$32	07-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	73	$182	365	0	+365	Up	-$2	05-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	71	$180	360	0	+360	Up	+$0	07-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	54	$159	278	0	+278	Down	-$8	07-31 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	44	$153	269	0	+269	Down	-$6	07-31 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	55	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$1	07-27 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	42	$146	237	0	+237	Up	-$14	07-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:05 UTC	45	$143	261	0	+261	Down	+$2	07-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	44	$142	238	0	+238	Up	-$15	07-31 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	45	$137	243	0	+243	Down	+$5	07-31 04:34
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	49	$135	245	0	+245	Up	-$5	06-06 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	48	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$4	07-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	51	$125	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	45	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$5	07-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	41	$120	225	0	+225	Up	-$15	07-28 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	36	$115	208	0	+208	Down	+$1	07-31 03:34
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	50	$108	250	0	+250	Up	+$17	06-07 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0xc657da…
11-10 16:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	91¢	$0	0x8acb9b…
11-10 16:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x4e36a7…
11-10 16:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0xdc3daf…
11-10 16:17:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x0a93bc…
11-10 16:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	85¢	$0	0xe2c49d…
11-10 16:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0xf0b8f7…
11-10 16:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	80¢	$0	0x8bda5e…
11-10 16:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x7e7de0…
11-10 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	86¢	$0	0xfc69c3…
11-10 16:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0x29776d…
11-10 16:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	91¢	$0	0x50808f…
11-10 16:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	84¢	$0	0xdb1f01…
11-10 16:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	90¢	$0	0x1642f5…
11-10 16:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5¢	$0	0x0d07a6…
11-10 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11¢	$0	0x689ba1…
11-10 16:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9¢	$0	0x8e9eec…
11-10 16:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19¢	$0	0xd89b4b…
11-10 16:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0x4c983f…
11-10 16:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0x023830…
11-10 16:15:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	73¢	$0	0xc3373a…
11-10 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	60¢	$0	0xc29fa9…
11-10 16:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	22¢	$0	0xd033b5…
11-10 16:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	22¢	$0	0x7747a0…
11-10 16:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28¢	$0	0xa78faf…
11-10 16:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0x0e769b…
11-10 16:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33¢	$0	0x92c05d…
11-10 16:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	33¢	$0	0x358260…
11-10 16:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0xed0a2c…
11-10 16:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x96a5fb…
11-10 16:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x68daae…
11-10 16:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x5bb309…
11-10 16:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	89¢	$0	0x65db51…
11-10 16:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17¢	$0	0x373444…
11-10 16:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22¢	$0	0xcc01c6…
11-10 16:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0xc30459…
11-10 16:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x79612f…
11-10 16:13:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31¢	$0	0x27264a…
11-10 16:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	62¢	$0	0xdab51e…
11-10 16:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	66¢	$0	0x7c6831…
11-10 16:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	86¢	$0	0x662388…
11-10 16:12:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21¢	$0	0x30da0d…
11-10 16:12:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x324b24…
11-10 16:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19¢	$0	0x257f83…
11-10 16:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36¢	$0	0xbac7fa…
11-10 16:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0xff7724…
11-10 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27¢	$0	0x828788…
11-10 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	27¢	$0	0x2bd9e6…
11-10 16:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	51¢	$0	0xfe5508…
11-10 16:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0xb839fa…
11-10 16:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	57¢	$0	0x98fa70…
11-10 16:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0xcb9ad4…
11-10 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	46¢	$0	0xbe8b94…
11-10 16:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	49¢	$0	0x278193…
11-10 16:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	56¢	$0	0x907e95…
11-10 16:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0x47f59b…
11-10 16:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33¢	$0	0x7e0ba6…
11-10 16:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0x4be36a…
11-10 16:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x498602…
11-10 16:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0xb6a8b0…
11-10 16:10:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x0a033c…
11-10 16:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0x772134…
11-10 16:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x370a3f…
11-10 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36¢	$0	0xff95e9…
11-10 16:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0x2f6f8b…
11-10 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x135e3f…
11-10 16:10:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x004af2…
11-10 16:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0xadde61…
11-10 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	54¢	$0	0x27c908…
11-10 16:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0xcb8ef1…
11-10 16:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0x9df043…
11-10 16:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	92¢	$0	0x95f058…
11-10 16:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xad16b8…
11-10 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	87¢	$0	0xdf4099…
11-10 16:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	52¢	$0	0x3d8cf0…
11-10 16:09:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	22¢	$0	0x70f39c…
11-10 16:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29¢	$0	0x379345…
11-10 16:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	48¢	$0	0x3cc832…
11-10 16:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	61¢	$0	0x3a9f30…
11-10 16:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0xd94bc3…
11-10 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	81¢	$0	0x6767f1…
11-10 16:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	80¢	$0	0x41da21…
11-10 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	86¢	$0	0x39d2eb…
11-10 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	85¢	$0	0xd2574f…
11-10 16:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	93¢	$0	0xf59f8e…
11-10 16:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	96¢	$0	0xc9c1ff…
11-10 16:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0x90a2cc…
11-10 16:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0xd34651…
11-10 16:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5¢	$0	0x07c233…
11-10 16:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7¢	$0	0xeefd1a…
11-10 16:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0xc09a41…
11-10 16:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10¢	$0	0xa212f2…
11-10 16:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x889cd3…
11-10 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	54¢	$0	0xfc2a51…
11-10 16:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	32¢	$0	0x557969…
11-10 16:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0x7033d9…
11-10 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	71¢	$0	0xf9970e…
11-10 16:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x514680…
11-10 16:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	54¢	$0	0x7a4694…
11-10 16:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	54¢	$0	0x3ea364…