Empty-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$810

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

12,442

Trades

114,928

lifetime

Volume

$50.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-09 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 72% -$589

Other

2% 92% -$40

Sports

1% 71% +$20

Politics

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 21785 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	—	-0	$0	98¢	$-0	$0	11-09 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	11-09 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	11-09 05:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	40	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$26	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	32	$817	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$17	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	30	$761	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$11	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	28	$705	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	-$5	05-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	14	$325	700	0	+700	Down	+$25	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	12	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	21	$286	68	941	-874	Down	-$621	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	11	$252	550	0	+550	Down	-$2	05-15 18:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 8pm et	89	$223	383	73	+311	Down	-$14	07-25 00:45
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	93	$204	465	0	+465	Down	+$26	06-05 13:31
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	69	$204	450	0	+450	Down	+$21	06-04 04:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	-$200	05-15 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:20 UTC	60	$191	205	205	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:35 UTC	52	$182	313	0	+313	Up	-$32	07-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	73	$182	365	0	+365	Up	-$2	05-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	71	$180	360	0	+360	Up	+$0	07-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	54	$159	278	0	+278	Down	-$8	07-31 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	44	$153	269	0	+269	Down	-$6	07-31 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	55	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$1	07-27 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	42	$146	237	0	+237	Up	-$14	07-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:05 UTC	45	$143	261	0	+261	Down	+$2	07-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	44	$142	238	0	+238	Up	-$15	07-31 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	45	$137	243	0	+243	Down	+$5	07-31 04:34
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	49	$135	245	0	+245	Up	-$5	06-06 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	48	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$4	07-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	51	$125	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	45	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$5	07-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	41	$120	225	0	+225	Up	-$15	07-28 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	36	$115	208	0	+208	Down	+$1	07-31 03:34
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	50	$108	250	0	+250	Up	+$17	06-07 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 05:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19¢	$0	0xe110ce…
11-09 05:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26¢	$0	0x983a87…
11-09 05:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21¢	$0	0x7c7e1a…
11-09 05:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19¢	$0	0x48f13b…
11-09 05:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31¢	$0	0xc88e0a…
11-09 05:56:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32¢	$0	0x678328…
11-09 05:56:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36¢	$0	0xb4a65e…
11-09 05:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0xff7adc…
11-09 05:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40¢	$0	0xc08b89…
11-09 05:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40¢	$0	0xc7ef4e…
11-09 05:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	43¢	$0	0x56a8d1…
11-09 05:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0xf8109b…
11-09 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0xc1b8ea…
11-09 05:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62¢	$0	0x9f6b2b…
11-09 05:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	61¢	$0	0x672f44…
11-09 05:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62¢	$0	0xcf8adb…
11-09 05:55:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	66¢	$0	0x06a468…
11-09 05:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23¢	$0	0x857160…
11-09 05:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31¢	$0	0xdcd9ff…
11-09 05:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0x3b189c…
11-09 05:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xf7af2a…
11-09 05:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0x8e9e49…
11-09 05:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0x4b50a6…
11-09 05:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0x2828c6…
11-09 05:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xe60ea4…
11-09 05:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	96¢	$0	0x1d3000…
11-09 05:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0x7d21c2…
11-09 05:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4¢	$0	0x8d1489…
11-09 05:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6¢	$0	0x85566a…
11-09 05:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0x353ba6…
11-09 05:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0x0e51a9…
11-09 05:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6¢	$0	0x30d29c…
11-09 05:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x0994ec…
11-09 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12¢	$0	0x99cceb…
11-09 05:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6¢	$0	0x26548b…
11-09 05:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8¢	$0	0x13b355…
11-09 05:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10¢	$0	0x180c51…
11-09 05:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15¢	$0	0x8f2eae…
11-09 05:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x2e257c…
11-09 05:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	29¢	$0	0x0c8888…
11-09 05:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0xc3fef3…
11-09 05:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0xbe9a74…
11-09 05:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23¢	$0	0xf133ac…
11-09 05:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42¢	$0	0xb39e6d…
11-09 05:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x93ef80…
11-09 05:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47¢	$0	0x0b73c8…
11-09 05:51:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	55¢	$0	0x62ec33…
11-09 05:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	39¢	$0	0xd09372…
11-09 05:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x17b925…
11-09 05:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	39¢	$0	0xd728ce…
11-09 05:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44¢	$0	0xc9df4b…
11-09 05:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	37¢	$0	0x91fa76…
11-09 05:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	47¢	$0	0x0a62ce…
11-09 05:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	63¢	$0	0xfce0fe…
11-09 05:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	73¢	$0	0xb20fea…
11-09 05:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	73¢	$0	0x3c0045…
11-09 05:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	63¢	$0	0x152923…
11-09 05:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	75¢	$0	0x84fb70…
11-09 05:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	76¢	$0	0x6cf4d4…
11-09 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	71¢	$0	0xcca94d…
11-09 05:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	81¢	$0	0x34c262…
11-09 05:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21¢	$0	0xdbba03…
11-09 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	23¢	$0	0xc6d1fd…
11-09 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25¢	$0	0x29c00c…
11-09 05:50:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27¢	$0	0x85d65c…
11-09 05:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	63¢	$0	0xf41346…
11-09 05:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	64¢	$0	0x62bdc3…
11-09 05:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30¢	$0	0xc67caa…
11-09 05:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24¢	$0	0x8bf101…
11-09 05:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0xc3fbfa…
11-09 05:47:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x5d05aa…
11-09 05:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0x306783…
11-09 05:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5¢	$0	0xf701f7…
11-09 05:47:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9¢	$0	0x17efd6…
11-09 05:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8¢	$0	0xf76cd9…
11-09 05:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0xeb8749…
11-09 05:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0xc338d7…
11-09 05:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11¢	$0	0x583bcb…
11-09 05:46:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15¢	$0	0x3c00c3…
11-09 05:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23¢	$0	0xf85693…
11-09 05:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	63¢	$0	0x8df560…
11-09 05:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	63¢	$0	0x8a0b29…
11-09 05:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x4282ac…
11-09 05:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	67¢	$0	0xea2c68…
11-09 05:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	66¢	$0	0x6e004e…
11-09 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	79¢	$0	0x65ae87…
11-09 05:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0x18e37f…
11-09 05:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18¢	$0	0xbf60e8…
11-09 05:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23¢	$0	0xffa71d…
11-09 05:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	28¢	$0	0x3a7b6d…
11-09 05:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	24¢	$0	0x37b1e3…
11-09 05:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	68¢	$0	0xe9773a…
11-09 05:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	68¢	$0	0xc364ea…
11-09 05:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	63¢	$0	0x84a97f…
11-09 05:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	64¢	$0	0x8e6f51…
11-09 05:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	72¢	$0	0x0ac7de…
11-09 05:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	72¢	$0	0x83e154…
11-09 05:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21¢	$0	0x3400d2…
11-09 05:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22¢	$0	0x2e4492…
11-09 05:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	65¢	$0	0x993ae5…