Empty-Balcony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$811

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

13,971

Trades

142,536

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 11-12 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% -$590

Other

2% 92% -$40

Sports

1% 71% +$20

Politics

0% 0% -$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 21785 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	—	-0	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	11-12 03:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	40	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$26	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	32	$817	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$17	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	30	$761	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$11	05-15 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	28	$705	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	-$5	05-15 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	14	$325	700	0	+700	Down	+$25	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	12	$298	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	05-15 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	21	$286	68	941	-874	Down	-$621	05-13 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	11	$252	550	0	+550	Down	-$2	05-15 18:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 8pm et	89	$223	383	73	+311	Down	-$14	07-25 00:45
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	93	$204	465	0	+465	Down	+$26	06-05 13:31
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	69	$204	450	0	+450	Down	+$21	06-04 04:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$200	241	0	+241	No	-$200	05-15 12:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 00:20 UTC	60	$191	205	205	+0	Up	-$1	07-27 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:35 UTC	52	$182	313	0	+313	Up	-$32	07-31 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7PM ET	73	$182	365	0	+365	Up	-$2	05-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	71	$180	360	0	+360	Up	+$0	07-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:45 UTC	54	$159	278	0	+278	Down	-$8	07-31 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	44	$153	269	0	+269	Down	-$6	07-31 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:30 UTC	55	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$1	07-27 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 05:35 UTC	42	$146	237	0	+237	Up	-$14	07-31 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:05 UTC	45	$143	261	0	+261	Down	+$2	07-31 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:10 UTC	44	$142	238	0	+238	Up	-$15	07-31 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	45	$137	243	0	+243	Down	+$5	07-31 04:34
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	49	$135	245	0	+245	Up	-$5	06-06 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:15 UTC	48	$130	256	0	+256	Down	-$4	07-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	51	$125	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-11 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 13:50 UTC	45	$125	235	0	+235	Down	-$5	07-27 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	41	$120	225	0	+225	Up	-$15	07-28 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:30 UTC	36	$115	208	0	+208	Down	+$1	07-31 03:34
bitcoin up or down on june 7 2026	50	$108	250	0	+250	Up	+$17	06-07 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 03:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	90¢	$0	0x8818b8…
11-12 03:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6¢	$0	0x2b19f2…
11-12 03:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	26¢	$0	0xa9b401…
11-12 03:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	19¢	$0	0xbccedf…
11-12 03:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xeae275…
11-12 03:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0x8f232a…
11-12 03:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	55¢	$0	0xe73142…
11-12 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	62¢	$0	0x6ecd39…
11-12 03:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x839406…
11-12 03:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x3a93c9…
11-12 03:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x2c869e…
11-12 03:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0x8483ab…
11-12 03:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57¢	$0	0xaa4da3…
11-12 03:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0xbb28a9…
11-12 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	33¢	$0	0x4b091c…
11-12 02:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11¢	$0	0x64a5a3…
11-12 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	69¢	$0	0x37a4dc…
11-12 02:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	38¢	$0	0x0a3a58…
11-12 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xf229ec…
11-12 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0xf1921c…
11-12 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0xbb9a7e…
11-12 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	97¢	$0	0xaf2aa7…
11-12 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98¢	$0	0x07a89f…
11-12 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0xbc80a3…
11-12 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0x84b5f1…
11-12 02:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x299647…
11-12 02:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	56¢	$0	0x661da3…
11-12 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	73¢	$0	0x20cdc2…
11-12 02:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	53¢	$0	0x67e0b7…
11-12 02:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	58¢	$0	0x3ae237…
11-12 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	56¢	$0	0x3ce238…
11-12 02:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22¢	$0	0x6db309…
11-12 02:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0x793e0f…
11-12 02:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37¢	$0	0xbd780c…
11-12 02:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	42¢	$0	0x040762…
11-12 02:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	46¢	$0	0x1b60d9…
11-12 02:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6¢	$0	0xfbf78c…
11-12 02:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68¢	$0	0x332218…
11-12 02:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29¢	$0	0x8a45e4…
11-12 02:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0xb43e3d…
11-12 02:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	92¢	$0	0xe066d7…
11-12 02:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4¢	$0	0x081123…
11-12 02:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	90¢	$0	0x7e5e4b…
11-12 02:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7¢	$0	0x3d30f4…
11-12 02:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x4cd0cb…
11-12 02:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	44¢	$0	0x98b96f…
11-12 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	98¢	$0	0x53bfd0…
11-12 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	98¢	$0	0x31e80a…
11-12 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	97¢	$0	0x0c3fc7…
11-12 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	97¢	$0	0xc656b1…
11-12 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	97¢	$0	0xb832ab…
11-12 02:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0x44e386…
11-12 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x7d2eb9…
11-12 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x59aab1…
11-12 02:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x1bfdb1…
11-12 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x954fcf…
11-12 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x1ced8a…
11-12 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	92¢	$0	0x1ac193…
11-12 02:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2¢	$0	0x1aca77…
11-12 02:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3¢	$0	0x744026…
11-12 02:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6¢	$0	0x80a48c…
11-12 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	90¢	$0	0xb641c9…
11-12 02:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	90¢	$0	0x6e1ac9…
11-12 02:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	93¢	$0	0xcba00d…
11-12 02:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	93¢	$0	0x7bca7a…
11-12 02:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	94¢	$0	0x3c482d…
11-12 02:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	94¢	$0	0x3e5210…
11-12 02:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4¢	$0	0x1b33aa…
11-12 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4¢	$0	0x80aa54…
11-12 02:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x7e9e13…
11-12 02:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	95¢	$0	0x9a4d1e…
11-12 02:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4¢	$0	0x95c977…
11-12 02:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20¢	$0	0xedf996…
11-12 02:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4¢	$0	0xa0ac3f…
11-12 02:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	76¢	$0	0x583db0…
11-12 02:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	84¢	$0	0xbab613…
11-12 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11¢	$0	0x8251cd…
11-12 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11¢	$0	0x1b422d…
11-12 01:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18¢	$0	0xa2a634…
11-12 01:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	34¢	$0	0x811f6c…
11-12 01:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2¢	$0	0xe837b6…
11-12 01:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3¢	$0	0x842393…
11-12 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17¢	$0	0x67abe9…
11-12 01:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25¢	$0	0x75040b…
11-12 01:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25¢	$0	0x4dad9c…
11-12 01:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50¢	$0	0xf0945c…
11-12 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	69¢	$0	0xff5756…
11-12 01:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16¢	$0	0x76d397…
11-12 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27¢	$0	0x448b28…
11-12 01:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83¢	$0	0xd5cfe0…
11-12 01:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13¢	$0	0x825042…
11-12 01:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0x73d77b…
11-12 01:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25¢	$0	0xb89b64…
11-12 01:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	38¢	$0	0x1a7db3…
11-12 01:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42¢	$0	0x6d31e8…
11-12 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5¢	$0	0x5cad5c…
11-12 01:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10¢	$0	0xed2628…
11-12 01:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	83¢	$0	0x95d9d5…
11-12 01:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	93¢	$0	0xc56d4b…
11-12 01:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	93¢	$0	0x68d49b…