Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

3,982

Trades

15,595

lifetime

Volume

$226.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-30 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 54% +$4,807

Other

1% 41% +$348

Politics

1% 75% +$323

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 1172 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes		+8,314	$44	0¢	$12	-$31	10-29 17:29
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes		+66	$49	8¢	$6	-$43	10-30 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	90	$1.7K	6,156	2,880	+3,276	open	—	10-29 17:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$1.6K	3,721	3,721	+0	No	+$429	10-25 23:02
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	9	$1.3K	3,321	3,321	+0	open	—	08-13 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	16	$917	779	567	+212	Down	+$163	10-14 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	20	$868	730	564	+166	Up	+$301	10-21 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	12	$626	1,045	0	+1,045	Up	-$281	10-24 20:14
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	3	$553	532	532	+0	open	—	10-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$457	678	0	+678	Up	+$221	10-21 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	8	$455	700	0	+700	Up	+$245	10-27 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$405	654	0	+654	Down	+$249	10-26 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 09:15 UTC	16	$393	573	273	+300	Down	-$76	07-24 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	9	$391	699	0	+699	Up	+$307	10-28 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$354	300	200	+100	Up	-$2	10-08 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$350	613	0	+613	Down	+$237	10-18 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	13	$348	591	0	+591	Up	-$48	10-24 11:14
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	4	$347	2,697	2,697	+0	open	—	10-29 17:29
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	6	$335	398	398	-0	open	—	10-29 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:25 UTC	10	$332	250	250	+0	Up	+$118	07-24 14:29
atp olivier barrena 2026 10 14	25	$329	580	580	+0	Genaro Alberto Olivieri	+$108	10-14 19:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$327	1,253	0	+1,253	Yes	+$927	09-04 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	6	$316	697	0	+697	Up	-$316	10-16 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$311	566	0	+566	Down	+$255	10-11 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:50 UTC	18	$308	200	200	+0	Down	+$88	07-29 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:35 UTC	69	$307	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$307	07-24 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$304	768	0	+768	Up	-$304	10-11 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:40 UTC	47	$300	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$700	07-24 13:42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	12	$300	202	202	+0	Up	+$91	09-28 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:00 UTC	2	$298	200	200	+0	Down	+$82	09-27 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	10	$297	200	200	+0	Up	+$99	09-24 08:33
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$296	300	0	+300	No	+$4	09-30 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x039d00…
10-30 16:00:12	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x51e615…
10-30 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x641c8e…
10-30 15:10:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$87	0xc69a93…
10-30 13:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x3bf656…
10-30 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x73ea88…
10-30 11:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x226ed9…
10-30 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcf6e02…
10-30 11:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x892b6b…
10-30 10:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x361edb…
10-30 09:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xad8786…
10-30 08:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	185	11¢	$20	0x22a0e5…
10-30 08:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xb370dc…
10-30 07:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x51da77…
10-30 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x4aaf2c…
10-30 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x6dd3e3…
10-30 06:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x34f569…
10-30 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x8e41c0…
10-30 05:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x5a368a…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf19c2d…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd3d4ee…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xce5eb2…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6bc2a6…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f2102…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x53be35…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x3c14b5…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2500b4…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x245d73…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1f2193…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x1b316c…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x183d4d…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0d5a79…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x09bab7…
10-30 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x055bc8…
10-30 05:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf9acd2…
10-30 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xe5fff3…
10-30 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7b4298…
10-30 05:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x579db6…
10-30 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3a035c…
10-30 05:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x208d9d…
10-30 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x19a8fc…
10-30 05:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x0d3fa5…
10-30 05:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x51a755…
10-30 05:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8533f1…
10-30 04:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$101	0x385e93…
10-30 04:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd6c842…
10-30 03:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x6b6be1…
10-30 03:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc7a351…
10-30 03:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x93ae9b…
10-30 03:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x6a8d3d…
10-30 03:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x502eda…
10-30 03:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7d6839…
10-30 03:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x751f0f…
10-30 03:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3b7fc6…
10-30 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfa05ea…
10-30 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xe6c5d9…
10-30 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0xb503da…
10-30 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x71dfce…
10-30 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x43db3c…
10-30 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xae9c62…
10-30 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xaaf2f0…
10-30 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x870ec8…
10-30 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x342f68…
10-30 03:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x00c9fb…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xe57876…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xddee14…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xc97574…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xc92018…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x687d81…
10-30 03:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0x295373…
10-30 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x47bd4e…
10-30 02:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x627e14…
10-30 02:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1d8251…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfd29fc…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xe0d1af…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd829ce…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd510f8…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbffc06…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9532f9…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x9059e8…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7b63d5…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x764841…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x491996…
10-30 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x0fb70f…
10-30 02:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa9e2e7…
10-30 02:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x4c7760…
10-30 02:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xea0e80…
10-30 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	55¢	$22	0x8d2d07…
10-30 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x2b37eb…
10-30 00:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xfbeb5a…
10-29 23:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x6bbe20…
10-29 22:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xfb9571…
10-29 17:38:34	Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	40¢	$142	0xf3923a…
10-29 17:33:13	Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	477	36¢	$171	0x0ccab4…
10-29 17:29:34	Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x53e0b3…
10-29 17:29:34	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	578	6¢	$36	0x141b3e…
10-29 17:29:32	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,231	4¢	$48	0x9ae0be…
10-29 17:29:32	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,095	4¢	$42	0x1086cd…
10-29 17:29:31	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	2,120	4¢	$91	0x60f461…
10-29 17:29:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	600	20¢	$120	0x2833b3…