Hollow-Equivalent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

3,403

Trades

4,855

lifetime

Volume

$8.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-09 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:10 UTC	6	$25	18	12	+5	Down	-$2	04-05 14:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$23	23	12	+11	Up	+$2	05-03 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:55 UTC	4	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	04-14 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:15 UTC	5	$17	18	15	+3	Down	-$3	04-16 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$16	18	0	+18	Up	$0	05-01 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$16	18	12	+5	Up	-$5	05-16 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	Up	-$5	05-01 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:25 UTC	5	$15	13	13	+1	Down	+$3	04-18 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:35 UTC	6	$15	20	6	+14	Up	+$1	04-14 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:35 UTC	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	04-05 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:05 UTC	4	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-05 12:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$14	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-03 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$14	16	4	+12	Down	$0	05-04 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:45 UTC	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$12	12	5	+7	Up	$0	05-03 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:45 UTC	5	$12	18	4	+14	Up	+$2	04-14 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$12	10	9	+1	Down	+$1	05-03 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:35 UTC	6	$12	9	7	+2	Up	+$2	04-17 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-01 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$12	15	2	+12	Up	-$5	05-19 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$11	33	0	+33	Down	-$11	11-06 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$11	14	3	+11	Up	$0	05-09 11:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:30 UTC	4	$11	8	8	+0	Down	-$1	06-21 12:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:15 UTC	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	-$3	06-17 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	-$4	05-02 00:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Up	-$1	05-09 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-16 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$11	13	5	+8	Down	-$1	05-24 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$11	16	4	+13	Down	+$3	05-24 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 10:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe5a29f…
11-09 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb9fd35…
11-09 10:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x201e0a…
11-09 09:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xd786bd…
11-09 09:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x675447…
11-09 09:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x64bf2a…
11-09 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0ce1ae…
11-09 08:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc3e23c…
11-09 08:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaa1fc4…
11-09 08:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0f77a…
11-09 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbacd77…
11-09 08:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x895b58…
11-09 08:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xce405f…
11-09 08:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa5df9a…
11-09 08:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0b4fee…
11-09 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8a565d…
11-09 08:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1c8aaf…
11-09 08:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf6919b…
11-09 08:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x23fa2d…
11-09 08:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa6b652…
11-09 07:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x37ae42…
11-09 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x944330…
11-09 07:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x354830…
11-09 07:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x31df01…
11-09 07:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xef83e2…
11-09 07:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xda03b7…
11-09 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1c7fcf…
11-09 06:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4485ba…
11-09 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xada8c4…
11-09 06:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3a2d11…
11-08 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x30b038…
11-08 17:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x67aa4c…
11-08 17:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe4ea1f…
11-08 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2fabe3…
11-08 17:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb89acb…
11-08 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x31613c…
11-08 17:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcaa3cc…
11-08 16:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x77dea6…
11-08 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfeca2d…
11-08 16:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31869d…
11-08 16:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf98a98…
11-08 16:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x843567…
11-08 15:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x92f1f9…
11-08 15:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcb4867…
11-08 15:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5b6eb6…
11-08 15:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6615f9…
11-08 15:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x58a714…
11-08 15:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x22294d…
11-08 15:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0d7a26…
11-08 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x050fe1…
11-08 14:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x387ecd…
11-08 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x68cf09…
11-08 14:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5c64b6…
11-08 14:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3baed9…
11-08 14:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x268b60…
11-08 14:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1d1817…
11-08 14:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaffebe…
11-07 04:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x74d342…
11-07 04:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x9aeff3…
11-07 04:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x729554…
11-07 04:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xb2ef2b…
11-07 04:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3d2dc9…
11-07 04:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3b7fab…
11-07 03:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd51cc2…
11-07 03:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xea1517…
11-07 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5e6f54…
11-06 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x107df1…
11-06 21:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9bb394…
11-06 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x6932e4…
11-06 21:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x76fdb7…
11-06 21:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3742dc…
11-06 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x8d9d6a…
11-06 20:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xbd812d…
11-06 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7658d3…
11-06 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf40f5d…
11-06 20:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb76aa7…
11-06 20:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x1bad38…
11-06 20:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	35¢	$11	0x2e9869…
11-06 20:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8bbb83…
11-06 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf048e9…
11-06 19:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xee7933…
11-06 19:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x6bcab0…
11-06 19:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x4e66e2…
11-06 19:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xa6dd90…
11-06 19:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe534c9…
11-06 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x60601b…
11-06 19:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xc947ab…
11-06 18:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x2b1635…
11-06 18:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x975030…
11-06 18:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe52701…
11-06 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xc3aa7c…
11-06 18:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x01f0c8…
11-06 18:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x8ae709…
11-06 18:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x11a064…
11-06 17:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa26c28…
11-06 17:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x643aad…
11-06 17:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ed2bd…
11-06 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xaf68b6…
11-06 17:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf06cb1…
11-06 17:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xd0f28e…