Hollow-Equivalent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

3,511

Trades

4,997

lifetime

Volume

$8.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 11-11 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$119

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	—	+2	$1	98¢	$2	+$1	11-11 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:10 UTC	6	$25	18	12	+5	Down	-$2	04-05 14:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	6	$23	23	12	+11	Up	+$2	05-03 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:55 UTC	4	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	04-14 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:15 UTC	5	$17	18	15	+3	Down	-$3	04-16 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$16	18	0	+18	Up	$0	05-01 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$16	18	12	+5	Up	-$5	05-16 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	Up	-$5	05-01 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:25 UTC	5	$15	13	13	+1	Down	+$3	04-18 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:35 UTC	6	$15	20	6	+14	Up	+$1	04-14 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:35 UTC	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	04-05 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:05 UTC	4	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	04-05 12:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$14	9	9	+0	Up	$0	05-03 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$14	16	4	+12	Down	$0	05-04 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:45 UTC	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	04-05 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$12	12	5	+7	Up	$0	05-03 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:45 UTC	5	$12	18	4	+14	Up	+$2	04-14 01:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$12	10	9	+1	Down	+$1	05-03 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:35 UTC	6	$12	9	7	+2	Up	+$2	04-17 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	$0	05-01 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$12	15	2	+12	Up	-$5	05-19 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$11	33	0	+33	Down	-$11	11-06 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$11	14	3	+11	Up	$0	05-09 11:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:30 UTC	4	$11	8	8	+0	Down	-$1	06-21 12:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 15:15 UTC	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	-$3	06-17 15:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	-$4	05-02 00:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Up	-$1	05-09 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Down	+$1	05-16 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$11	13	5	+8	Down	-$1	05-24 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$11	16	4	+13	Down	+$3	05-24 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 04:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3a082f…
11-11 04:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2354e7…
11-11 04:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd3efc2…
11-11 04:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1c9474…
11-11 04:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb88316…
11-11 03:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9502a3…
11-11 03:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x7e8d10…
11-11 03:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe54666…
11-11 02:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x57ab02…
11-11 02:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xda8d3f…
11-11 02:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1c03f9…
11-11 01:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc1a3b7…
11-11 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x62c52a…
11-11 00:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6a4f1a…
11-11 00:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x934090…
11-10 22:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc22a47…
11-10 22:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x845d44…
11-10 22:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x079ec8…
11-10 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x81b3c7…
11-10 22:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x23cde2…
11-10 19:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd5455e…
11-10 19:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa08317…
11-10 19:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfeba9f…
11-10 17:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe739f6…
11-10 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb0358c…
11-10 16:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5a6f81…
11-10 16:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbf21a2…
11-10 16:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf2382e…
11-10 16:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xf2f96d…
11-10 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5e6530…
11-10 15:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc4bd63…
11-10 15:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x897655…
11-10 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6e2547…
11-10 15:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5ca22a…
11-10 15:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x82e4c4…
11-10 15:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xcad826…
11-10 15:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0c897…
11-10 15:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x82bfb5…
11-10 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xe148a3…
11-10 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x40632e…
11-10 12:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x97fd04…
11-10 12:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x56fbb8…
11-10 12:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x54668b…
11-10 12:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x0c5f67…
11-10 12:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaeca82…
11-10 12:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xecc73a…
11-10 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x69202d…
11-10 11:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83917a…
11-10 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6c2768…
11-10 11:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc66c48…
11-10 11:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x85aa42…
11-10 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x850c5c…
11-10 10:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x00228d…
11-10 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x47819b…
11-10 10:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xeb16d5…
11-10 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdacbc2…
11-10 10:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb02c2…
11-10 10:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbb7ba3…
11-10 10:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x937b76…
11-10 10:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x13bbb7…
11-10 10:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x80a173…
11-10 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa73779…
11-10 10:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7b67ee…
11-10 10:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x645788…
11-10 10:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x76eb18…
11-10 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1de53b…
11-10 09:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8e0869…
11-10 09:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd4e713…
11-10 09:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0295be…
11-10 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd84ea6…
11-10 09:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x779280…
11-10 09:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x275e42…
11-10 09:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5bd51e…
11-10 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5579ad…
11-10 08:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x2d666d…
11-10 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x0bafe7…
11-10 08:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa70fd0…
11-10 08:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x952835…
11-10 08:40:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xcc13e3…
11-10 08:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc884c7…
11-10 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x66dd2d…
11-10 08:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xe813f0…
11-10 08:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd659c7…
11-10 08:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa753b8…
11-10 08:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf8625a…
11-10 08:07:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x57c382…
11-10 08:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f3a89…
11-10 08:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x54849b…
11-10 08:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x9a8d43…
11-10 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4acb56…
11-10 07:15:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5ad148…
11-10 07:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa22cf1…
11-10 07:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9af43c…
11-10 07:10:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4ca26c…
11-10 07:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7a0e38…
11-10 07:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9fc627…
11-10 07:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf588e3…
11-10 06:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfe729e…
11-10 06:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa1abef…
11-10 06:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6300ab…