Realized P&L
-$521
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
65.8%
Resolved
2,013
Trades
2,504
lifetime
Volume
$12.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$21
11 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 63% -$507
Politics
2% — —
Other
1% 30% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +20 $10 51¢ $10 +$0 10-22 10:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +6 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 10-24 03:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +9 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 10-24 03:50
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 $0 10-21 23:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +4 $2 34¢ $1 $0 10-21 18:12
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +9 $2 16¢ $1 $0 10-21 23:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +0 $1 46¢ $0 -$1 10-23 13:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +0 $0 55¢ $0 $0 10-22 14:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 10-23 21:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-22 10:02
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 10-23 21:19