Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$123,868
Trades
9,999
Unique wallets
1,121
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
37¢
Latest NO mid
63¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 20:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 46% YES on $73.5K
vs crowd: 45% YES on $119.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 193 | $27.6K | $25.2K | +$2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 320 | $10.9K | $22.1K | $11.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 364 | $14.8K | $17.1K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 244 | $888 | $569 | +$319 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 239 | $33.6K | $39.9K | $6.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 202 | $7.1K | $7.7K | $538 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 63 | $350 | $274 | +$76 |
| Median | 86 | $458 | $99 | +$360 |
| Below median | 206 | $1.4K | $6.8K | $5.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 125 | $2.0K | $1.7K | +$288 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 141 | $4.1K | $5.0K | $845 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 59 | $5.1K | $3.6K | +$1.5K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0b1e…efbb | Down | +11,230 | $6,208 | $6,208 | 11 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b1e…efbb | Up | +10,000 | $9,693 | $9,693 | 50 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8aca…16e4 | Down | +9,168 | $6,085 | $6,085 | 162 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1ab…c079 | Up | +3,785 | $900 | $900 | 4 | 10-15 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c1…ad7e | Down | +2,853 | $1,901 | $1,901 | 137 | 10-15 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +2,748 | $681 | $681 | 156 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ee0…1af3 | Down | +2,689 | $2,226 | $2,226 | 11 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +2,644 | $1,020 | $1,020 | 6 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +2,610 | $1,889 | $1,889 | 108 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a4c…98d0 | Down | +2,428 | $1,652 | $1,652 | 90 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd45d…4554 | Down | +2,211 | $1,533 | $1,533 | 179 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +2,021 | $567 | $567 | 6 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +1,951 | $468 | $468 | 67 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +1,823 | $808 | $808 | 25 | 10-15 20:38 |
| Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | +1,778 | $1,453 | $1,453 | 45 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,700 | $401 | $401 | 69 | 10-15 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +1,693 | $1,208 | $1,208 | 74 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +1,680 | $576 | $576 | 64 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Good-Ptarmigan 0xb0c0…e88f | Down | +1,671 | $1,067 | $1,067 | 67 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,633 | $989 | $989 | 52 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,535 | $504 | $504 | 35 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fee…f719 | Up | +1,530 | $153 | $153 | 11 | 10-15 20:34 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +1,510 | $763 | $763 | 46 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +1,500 | $838 | $838 | 11 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Regular-Settlement 0xea41…14e5 | Down | +1,500 | $177 | $177 | 38 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +1,492 | $904 | $904 | 8 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +1,459 | $117 | $117 | 35 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | +1,445 | $1,057 | $1,057 | 98 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,444 | $481 | $481 | 66 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x82c8…da77 | Down | +1,438 | $728 | $728 | 78 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Alarming-Harp 0xbba2…cc45 | Up | +1,410 | $599 | $599 | 12 | 10-15 20:34 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +1,339 | $496 | $496 | 119 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +1,332 | $770 | $770 | 98 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Down | +1,330 | $543 | $543 | 98 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | +1,301 | $1,272 | $1,272 | 22 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +1,284 | $763 | $763 | 23 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +1,282 | $532 | $532 | 45 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xeda9…f589 | Down | +1,264 | $1,035 | $1,035 | 9 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xc58e…c6b6 | Down | +1,240 | $1,036 | $1,036 | 9 | 10-15 20:38 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +1,216 | $703 | $703 | 12 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +1,201 | $825 | $1,716 | 74 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +1,200 | $444 | $444 | 3 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +1,200 | $456 | $456 | 3 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,199 | $666 | $666 | 59 | 10-15 20:39 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +1,187 | $395 | $395 | 36 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +1,159 | $423 | $423 | 22 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +1,154 | $589 | $589 | 60 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +1,142 | $404 | $404 | 3 | 10-15 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +1,138 | $346 | $346 | 3 | 10-15 20:34 |
| Growling-Cause 0x4805…4739 | Up | +1,104 | $685 | $685 | 91 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +1,067 | $249 | $249 | 78 | 10-15 20:38 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +1,024 | $854 | $854 | 1 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x172e…714f | Down | +1,003 | $376 | $376 | 11 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +988 | $451 | $451 | 44 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x943c…77c2 | Down | +962 | $657 | $657 | 10 | 10-15 20:38 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +951 | $350 | $350 | 24 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e21…115c | Up | +933 | $401 | $401 | 5 | 10-15 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +922 | $457 | $457 | 54 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +914 | $531 | $531 | 24 | 10-15 20:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd94…d61f | Down | +900 | $518 | $518 | 5 | 10-15 20:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:41:00 | (anonymous) 0xf312…fd00 | Up | SELL | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0xd59609… |
| 10-15 20:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0xd59609… |
| 10-15 20:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xcba4…107f | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc4add4… |
| 10-15 20:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc4add4… |
| 10-15 20:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x04d3…b0d9 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x006c53… |
| 10-15 20:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x006c53… |
| 10-15 20:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 10-15 20:40:12 | (anonymous) 0xbfdf…6f0b | Up | SELL | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x34d1ac… |
| 10-15 20:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x15e3fc… |
| 10-15 20:39:56 | (anonymous) 0x3847…b49d | Up | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x15e3fc… |
| 10-15 20:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x53897a… |
| 10-15 20:39:54 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x53897a… |
| 10-15 20:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5c652f… |
| 10-15 20:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x9587…c10a | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x5c652f… |
| 10-15 20:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x0cb8…28c6 | Up | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x5c652f… |
| 10-15 20:39:42 | (anonymous) 0x1b89…cb5a | Up | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $143 | 0x1f06d3… |
| 10-15 20:39:42 | (anonymous) 0xf55b…62ed | Down | BUY | 149 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1f06d3… |
| 10-15 20:39:42 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f06d3… |
| 10-15 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x8b7e26… |
| 10-15 20:39:41 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b7e26… |
| 10-15 20:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x0dd8…3242 | Up | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x8b7e26… |
| 10-15 20:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x13e9ce… |
| 10-15 20:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x0d16…58f5 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x13e9ce… |
| 10-15 20:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xce3e…ea8b | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc0a1f0… |
| 10-15 20:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc0a1f0… |
| 10-15 20:39:35 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xcea9a1… |
| 10-15 20:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xbae7…24f6 | Up | SELL | 42 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xc04479… |
| 10-15 20:39:35 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xc04479… |
| 10-15 20:39:35 | (anonymous) 0xe064…e7f0 | Up | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xcea9a1… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x42e7…6f22 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4a0377… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Stale-Adviser 0xbeb4…da45 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x90277a… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x08992a… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 37 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x092f7f… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Discrete-Welcome 0xec75…e33c | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3fd00… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x1237…e11c | Up | SELL | 279 | 99¢ | $276 | 0x90277a… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Smug-Molecule 0x7120…526f | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 207 | 99¢ | $205 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Up | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x90277a… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 227 | 99¢ | $224 | 0x90277a… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Smart-Trainer 0x6bfc…b939 | Up | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Lost-Terrace 0xe04a…07dd | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4a0377… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x688b…2157 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa3fd00… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xf6a1…504a | Down | BUY | 37 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x092f7f… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xf699…12cf | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Up | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x4180e4… |
| 10-15 20:39:32 | (anonymous) 0xa570…38e3 | Down | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x08992a… |
| 10-15 20:39:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 128 | 99¢ | $127 | 0xc2d168… |
| 10-15 20:39:30 | (anonymous) 0x3f5d…81b9 | Down | BUY | 128 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2d168… |
| 10-15 20:39:30 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5b82ea… |
| 10-15 20:39:30 | (anonymous) 0x6356…2b3d | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x5b82ea… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 142 | 99¢ | $140 | 0x6e443d… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 185 | 99¢ | $183 | 0x6910d4… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x2f94d2… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x5e1676… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x3f5d…81b9 | Down | BUY | 122 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x63a280… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Down | BUY | 185 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x6910d4… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x63a280… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 118 | 99¢ | $117 | 0x63a280… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x8490…c177 | Down | BUY | 374 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x8fc040… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x26a3…dfa5 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb2661f… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Dry-Dill 0x5518…5451 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb2661f… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0xa570…38e3 | Down | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2f94d2… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb2661f… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb2661f… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0xb23a…755c | Down | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2661f… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0xe1a5…9786 | Down | BUY | 53 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe9619b… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 374 | 99¢ | $370 | 0x8fc040… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0x3f5d…81b9 | Down | BUY | 142 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6e443d… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | (anonymous) 0xeee5…00a1 | Up | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x5e1676… |
| 10-15 20:39:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xe9619b… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x61f9fa… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x3f5d…81b9 | Down | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0fa342… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x096dda… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x0fa342… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Down | BUY | 73 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9cf682… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x69de…1842 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x096dda… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x3f5d…81b9 | Down | BUY | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x61f9fa… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Down | BUY | 219 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc58ed7… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0x26f3…e91a | Up | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd4ef69… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd4ef69… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | (anonymous) 0xe1a5…9786 | Down | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6dd826… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 219 | 99¢ | $216 | 0xc58ed7… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 73 | 99¢ | $73 | 0x9cf682… |
| 10-15 20:39:27 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x6dd826… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | (anonymous) 0xa776…bc18 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6ab99d… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x6ab99d… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x8956de… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x0a3d48… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Down | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8956de… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x26d6c4… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x9b7b…9b56 | Down | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a3d48… |
| 10-15 20:39:26 | (anonymous) 0xd45d…4554 | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x26d6c4… |
| 10-15 20:39:24 | (anonymous) 0xd45d…4554 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x758295… |
| 10-15 20:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x0b1e…efbb | Up | BUY | 118 | 99¢ | $116 | 0x70a210… |
| 10-15 20:39:24 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xad7af8… |