Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

47,762

Trades

380,478

lifetime

Volume

$3.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$50,958

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	—	+60	$37	98¢	$59	+$23	10-27 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	—	+39	$18	2¢	$1	-$18	10-27 02:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54b88b…
10-27 02:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xba155a…
10-27 02:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x66f5f0…
10-27 02:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6a83e5…
10-27 02:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6c10df…
10-27 02:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x547fa8…
10-27 02:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x962eca…
10-27 02:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x01ce97…
10-27 02:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8ac033…
10-27 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xceae80…
10-27 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbfc431…
10-27 02:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x6159dc…
10-27 02:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6180e8…
10-27 02:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x12a0de…
10-27 02:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe0425f…
10-27 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9f2f5e…
10-27 02:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa0d021…
10-27 02:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb7be90…
10-27 02:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2cb650…
10-27 02:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xadf2e3…
10-27 02:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x007684…
10-27 02:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xabf653…
10-27 02:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9417bb…
10-27 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc7fd32…
10-27 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x76b7d4…
10-27 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x51458c…
10-27 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x789646…
10-27 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa9698d…
10-27 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8275a4…
10-27 02:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1b9337…
10-27 02:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe10102…
10-27 02:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa01e2a…
10-27 02:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x789ee9…
10-27 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa3a5fb…
10-27 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x57c30d…
10-27 02:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x471999…
10-27 02:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaf35f3…
10-27 02:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x48bba9…
10-27 02:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdd3def…
10-27 02:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xa206a8…
10-27 02:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf3ea4b…
10-27 02:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xb85971…
10-27 02:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc66ea7…
10-27 02:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5c887d…
10-27 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xae9c8c…
10-27 02:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x66c665…
10-27 02:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb70e5d…
10-27 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf0230a…
10-27 02:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb3ee4f…
10-27 02:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x51e0cf…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc8e37…
10-27 02:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb7e103…
10-27 02:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xddf6fd…
10-27 02:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x410ae4…
10-27 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xde6201…
10-27 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9914a2…
10-27 02:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x790b45…
10-27 02:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x64ffd7…
10-27 02:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xe8489f…
10-27 02:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1fa132…
10-27 02:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6bb66d…
10-27 02:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5a32f3…
10-27 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd9181d…
10-27 02:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x00e2ba…
10-27 02:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x4481b7…
10-27 02:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x409be0…
10-27 02:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3162f8…
10-27 02:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x88b9e5…
10-27 02:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x0c5038…
10-27 02:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb68d01…
10-27 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xf926c7…
10-27 02:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x824837…
10-27 02:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xf0fb1b…
10-27 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7bafcd…
10-27 02:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd905f6…
10-27 02:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd421c2…
10-27 02:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x0a2742…
10-27 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6e6336…
10-27 02:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb2e546…
10-27 02:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa65997…
10-27 02:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2871dc…
10-27 02:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe07b4e…
10-27 02:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xff8c3c…
10-27 02:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x50ad11…
10-27 02:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x49f3de…
10-27 02:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2e1a0c…
10-27 02:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xf5a37a…
10-27 02:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6ea6df…
10-27 02:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x769894…
10-27 02:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd8ad9e…
10-27 02:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7107b5…
10-27 02:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7bf4ab…
10-27 02:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9b1d7f…
10-27 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x82750c…
10-27 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6b3dfb…
10-27 02:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xbdc87a…
10-27 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7a4163…
10-27 02:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x00ecb0…
10-27 02:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x2d1b53…
10-27 02:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8e5b87…