Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$431

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved (24h)

223

Trades (24h)

6,075

381,231 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$13.1K

$3.74M lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$92

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$51,152

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	—	+92	$53	99¢	$92	+$38	10-27 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	—	+66	$29	1¢	$1	-$29	10-27 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe86a24…
10-27 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf9f6c5…
10-27 06:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd43ccd…
10-27 06:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5677fe…
10-27 06:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5cfc61…
10-27 06:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x427bdd…
10-27 06:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x292760…
10-27 06:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x19ce35…
10-27 06:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x9577d3…
10-27 06:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcde705…
10-27 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf5ae24…
10-27 06:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8f6fd5…
10-27 06:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x26139b…
10-27 06:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb9fea3…
10-27 06:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x45d029…
10-27 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xfff55f…
10-27 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xff4a3b…
10-27 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1625e1…
10-27 06:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$1	0xf92925…
10-27 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb544df…
10-27 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x963e54…
10-27 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x64544d…
10-27 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x52a049…
10-27 06:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf5d4e2…
10-27 06:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x63f57b…
10-27 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8de749…
10-27 06:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8d18df…
10-27 06:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0dd3ba…
10-27 06:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1d579a…
10-27 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc4cbed…
10-27 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x965171…
10-27 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x68eb5e…
10-27 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1d1692…
10-27 06:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x77f61f…
10-27 06:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b8e25…
10-27 06:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1760ec…
10-27 06:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x39d8da…
10-27 06:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdbba5e…
10-27 06:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe71f39…
10-27 06:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x892172…
10-27 06:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4e5457…
10-27 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x99002f…
10-27 06:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x4fd403…
10-27 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x353313…
10-27 06:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x88b066…
10-27 06:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc611ea…
10-27 06:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xeb9947…
10-27 06:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x53307c…
10-27 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9b646b…
10-27 05:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x594046…
10-27 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7a2c21…
10-27 05:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x195df0…
10-27 05:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5e62f7…
10-27 05:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x37eb80…
10-27 05:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x37ef05…
10-27 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xff7303…
10-27 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x67e90a…
10-27 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdbb652…
10-27 05:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x772859…
10-27 05:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x43c173…
10-27 05:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8a808f…
10-27 05:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x80ed28…
10-27 05:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa4a6bc…
10-27 05:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x151ed6…
10-27 05:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x13d081…
10-27 05:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa9ab19…
10-27 05:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2caeaf…
10-27 05:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xb8d7b5…
10-27 05:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xacae73…
10-27 05:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdd03da…
10-27 05:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x52d8aa…
10-27 05:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8c418a…
10-27 05:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x17b859…
10-27 05:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x16fd34…
10-27 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0bded6…
10-27 05:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcb1c35…
10-27 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x853c1c…
10-27 05:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x763d45…
10-27 05:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe4e021…
10-27 05:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdfde86…
10-27 05:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb700c6…
10-27 05:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x091287…
10-27 05:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf98a52…
10-27 05:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xc831f3…
10-27 05:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7fb6ea…
10-27 05:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f1019…
10-27 05:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x71b4ba…
10-27 05:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xd845de…
10-27 05:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xbbab5f…
10-27 05:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x51f337…
10-27 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x484df0…
10-27 05:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf2e25d…
10-27 05:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xd7769b…
10-27 05:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x85b956…
10-27 05:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2f6dce…
10-27 05:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ee050…
10-27 05:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xaed290…
10-27 05:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x674aaf…
10-27 05:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0dcdd3…
10-27 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x412882…