Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved (30d)

6,936

Trades (30d)

104,157

396,018 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$463.1K

$3.77M lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-29 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$52,010

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	—	+30	$18	98¢	$30	+$11	10-29 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	—	+40	$9	2¢	$1	-$9	10-29 05:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xcdd7cb…
10-29 05:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4b3f05…
10-29 05:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcf17d2…
10-29 05:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6f99da…
10-29 05:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x410373…
10-29 05:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7c6980…
10-29 05:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc5e0af…
10-29 04:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x799d18…
10-29 04:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x076efa…
10-29 04:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa64414…
10-29 04:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa060e8…
10-29 04:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2a541b…
10-29 04:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x04e582…
10-29 04:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x30ba60…
10-29 04:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x083118…
10-29 04:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xbbedb3…
10-29 04:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x29d850…
10-29 04:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x255c0a…
10-29 04:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x24f4a1…
10-29 04:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb62355…
10-29 04:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x80953f…
10-29 04:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x89bce0…
10-29 04:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5ab521…
10-29 04:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x420a37…
10-29 04:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x22ddcd…
10-29 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xafd191…
10-29 04:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe6a465…
10-29 04:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x061f09…
10-29 04:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7916d9…
10-29 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xe3c7eb…
10-29 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb1d3b0…
10-29 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa7ea57…
10-29 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x464fc5…
10-29 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x26ba21…
10-29 04:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3bb4c6…
10-29 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x932971…
10-29 04:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc29d67…
10-29 04:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb40c8d…
10-29 04:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x448d58…
10-29 04:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2ea60b…
10-29 04:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xca966b…
10-29 04:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd09b4d…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xbf93b6…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x87ea38…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x7b3fe0…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4e3a9c…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1a5106…
10-29 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x02aa43…
10-29 04:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe6a30b…
10-29 04:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc6bba8…
10-29 04:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x422535…
10-29 04:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd6743a…
10-29 04:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc59fc8…
10-29 04:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3102dd…
10-29 04:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x852650…
10-29 04:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xa0d501…
10-29 04:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x15536b…
10-29 04:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xfdc598…
10-29 04:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc7c423…
10-29 04:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbbb90c…
10-29 04:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa8ccd6…
10-29 04:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7d0b67…
10-29 04:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xaf7d9c…
10-29 04:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4c0fd1…
10-29 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xd9ae29…
10-29 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb89d2d…
10-29 04:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe2cc8c…
10-29 04:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x787ffe…
10-29 04:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x05fbc7…
10-29 04:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xebc6d4…
10-29 04:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8311b6…
10-29 04:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe8d5c6…
10-29 04:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x8943aa…
10-29 04:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x68c231…
10-29 04:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8c76f5…
10-29 04:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xede4c8…
10-29 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xfd01a4…
10-29 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdabf06…
10-29 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd971b7…
10-29 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x7f4c4d…
10-29 04:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x27d7d7…
10-29 04:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc2d3bd…
10-29 04:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x601a67…
10-29 04:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbcea71…
10-29 04:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf6cf69…
10-29 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xe367df…
10-29 04:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x743a99…
10-29 04:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf586a3…
10-29 04:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc89fd6…
10-29 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbe8c47…
10-29 04:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb5b544…
10-29 04:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x289f57…
10-29 04:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf2649c…
10-29 04:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x49f3a8…
10-29 04:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xaf6fb8…
10-29 04:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x52b631…
10-29 04:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd93ef6…
10-29 04:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x37b2df…
10-29 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe7a18c…
10-29 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x16a69c…