Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved (30d)

6,768

Trades (30d)

98,370

389,655 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$448.3K

$3.76M lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-28 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$51,986

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xb786b8…
10-28 00:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x280a81…
10-28 00:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7c06b6…
10-28 00:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xabc340…
10-28 00:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4a9668…
10-28 00:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8ed64…
10-28 00:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdb9a14…
10-28 00:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd78496…
10-28 00:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7d48c2…
10-28 00:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x97663f…
10-28 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x235424…
10-28 00:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x90a2de…
10-28 00:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x2c5054…
10-28 00:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf773af…
10-28 00:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xf30296…
10-28 00:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x2fea9b…
10-28 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe740a7…
10-28 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5c4334…
10-28 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x4e9b37…
10-28 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x022958…
10-28 00:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1f4508…
10-28 00:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa0569e…
10-28 00:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x85accb…
10-28 00:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x29394d…
10-28 00:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe5c741…
10-28 00:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd0a67a…
10-28 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf8abb6…
10-28 00:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe2c24b…
10-28 00:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4e588e…
10-28 00:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x30a043…
10-28 00:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xffcaa0…
10-28 00:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x08e37d…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xafed2c…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9a7474…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x4e7203…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x433b27…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x26b6fa…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x20299c…
10-28 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x05f87d…
10-28 00:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6ebafe…
10-28 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x01959b…
10-28 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe437a5…
10-28 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbb1eda…
10-28 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xf0b894…
10-28 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbfdb60…
10-28 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x7ee95c…
10-28 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x5b142f…
10-28 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x1d03e8…
10-28 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc06868…
10-28 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x75ec27…
10-28 00:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x83df05…
10-28 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x992111…
10-28 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9847db…
10-28 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x46a33c…
10-28 00:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xfe06f2…
10-28 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x789f4c…
10-28 00:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x879d92…
10-28 00:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xbbc0b6…
10-28 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x494ca2…
10-28 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x268cf1…
10-28 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x11f735…
10-28 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xec29f7…
10-28 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x56086c…
10-28 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x408606…
10-28 00:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbdfc0b…
10-28 00:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd67519…
10-28 00:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x51f7b5…
10-28 00:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x29ded4…
10-28 00:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x12a25b…
10-28 00:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x0d16b2…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xf455c2…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb41bcd…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb39eca…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x62b45f…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5f2487…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2dee3d…
10-28 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x19ddf2…
10-28 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xff1ec8…
10-28 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb483c8…
10-28 00:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x4941ca…
10-28 00:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3b0655…
10-28 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf09d3f…
10-28 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xe27e62…
10-28 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xcf94af…
10-28 00:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7dd463…
10-28 00:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x1cc87b…
10-28 00:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x2c74f2…
10-28 00:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x662329…
10-28 00:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6d3a46…
10-28 00:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbfec73…
10-28 00:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d79d3…
10-28 00:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1fe846…
10-28 00:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5c42f7…
10-28 00:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xe19acd…
10-28 00:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9d87ea…
10-28 00:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbe672a…
10-28 00:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1379c3…
10-28 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcb372f…
10-28 00:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x75edc7…
10-28 00:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc61700…