Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

47,966

Trades

385,233

lifetime

Volume

$3.75M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$51,266

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	—	+25	$17	98¢	$25	+$7	10-27 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	—	+235	$61	2¢	$4	-$58	10-27 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-27 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb3ebfd…
10-27 19:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x808cfd…
10-27 19:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xcb06e7…
10-27 19:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xa40164…
10-27 19:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x870e8a…
10-27 19:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xcf4b54…
10-27 19:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc15372…
10-27 19:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x5beb8e…
10-27 19:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1fac97…
10-27 19:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x89179f…
10-27 19:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xb799c0…
10-27 19:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x38d8ac…
10-27 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xdb283e…
10-27 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd651d9…
10-27 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x981140…
10-27 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x8bcf1f…
10-27 19:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1c055d…
10-27 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$1	0x7eed32…
10-27 19:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x8dc07c…
10-27 19:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb25559…
10-27 19:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x04bd53…
10-27 19:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf2f2e0…
10-27 19:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x5dddc7…
10-27 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x633d72…
10-27 19:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbf15c5…
10-27 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x0b465b…
10-27 19:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbf1b49…
10-27 19:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa1cc7b…
10-27 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xcb6dfa…
10-27 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc4999e…
10-27 19:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x04b1a3…
10-27 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe00bd2…
10-27 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xae5a68…
10-27 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x88b14d…
10-27 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x79cdb8…
10-27 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x18341d…
10-27 19:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb45fb8…
10-27 19:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x4929bf…
10-27 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac8e56…
10-27 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x579b08…
10-27 19:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x065ccd…
10-27 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x57df68…
10-27 19:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xaeb324…
10-27 19:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x79cca9…
10-27 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd2f22f…
10-27 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa0e3b1…
10-27 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x4a7e89…
10-27 19:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x448042…
10-27 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf58ff6…
10-27 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x139628…
10-27 19:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0xcea519…
10-27 19:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x2d944a…
10-27 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf42ce5…
10-27 19:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa6887a…
10-27 19:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0d27dc…
10-27 19:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x57cd57…
10-27 19:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2efdb7…
10-27 19:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5ce595…
10-27 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xc6dd6d…
10-27 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x14feaf…
10-27 19:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x4e061a…
10-27 19:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbea041…
10-27 19:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8cca48…
10-27 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe823d0…
10-27 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x44fb15…
10-27 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a42ee…
10-27 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfab0e5…
10-27 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7253d7…
10-27 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x554d49…
10-27 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x419153…
10-27 19:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xccedac…
10-27 19:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1027ff…
10-27 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7810bd…
10-27 19:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc019c5…
10-27 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb40f22…
10-27 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xaadb15…
10-27 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3d94a2…
10-27 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcc75e5…
10-27 19:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x069d02…
10-27 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x750000…
10-27 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f8c9f…
10-27 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x4adbe2…
10-27 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x159c16…
10-27 19:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf71bd5…
10-27 19:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x935f55…
10-27 19:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x92bb10…
10-27 19:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7fded2…
10-27 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x6c1d0a…
10-27 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6bfdd5…
10-27 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0e3b7d…
10-27 19:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x105d9c…
10-27 19:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0fef93…
10-27 19:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb9000d…
10-27 19:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe77a4e…
10-27 19:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe93857…
10-27 19:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x070c95…
10-27 19:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x85b79f…
10-27 19:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x6bc265…
10-27 19:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf868e…
10-27 19:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9f8989…